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SL Benfica W v Sporting CP W

SL Benfica W
4–1Full time
Sporting CP W

1a Divisão - Women · SAT 24 OCT · Caixa Futebol Campus

Full timeGraded 25 Oct 01:42
SL Benfica W 4–1 Sporting CP W SL BENFICA W WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said SL Benfica W win52%
The market said64%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.348
The market’s Brier score0.203

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

SL Benfica W are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: SL Benfica W 52%, draw 25%, Sporting CP W 23%. Over 2.5 goals 52%, both teams to score 53%.

The AI’s read on SL Benfica W v Sporting CP WBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

SL Benfica W win52%
Draw25%
Sporting CP W win23%

Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 15:30

RoundMatchday 5

VenueCaixa Futebol Campus

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

SL Benfica W

Sporting CP W

6Days since last match6

Last match: 18 Oct · 1a Divisão - Women

Last match: 18 Oct · 1a Divisão - Women

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#TEAMPGDPTS
1Sporting CP W4+810
3SL Benfica W3+99

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Line-ups, squads and player statistics aren’t currently available for this competition.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · sl benfica w winFirst published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off
52% The market64%
Us52%
Market64%

We make SL Benfica W a 52% chance to win. The market has them at 64%. We are 12 points less confident than the market. The model expects 1.7–1.1.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · SL Benfica W v Sporting CP W1.75 – 1.07
Form · 1a Divisão - Women this season · since 12 SeptW3 D0 L0 · W3 D1 L0
Table places · points 9 v 103 v 1
The market · SL Benfica W win64% · ours 52%

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
50%55%60%65%70% 18 OCT 01:2324 OCT 15:13
Our probability · SL Benfica W win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 64% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
SL Benfica W win52%64%−12
Draw25%23%+2
Sporting CP W win23%14%+9
Over 2.5 goals52%48%+4
Both teams to score53%46%+7
Over 1.5 goals76%70%+6
Over 3.5 goals32%32%0
SL Benfica W or draw77%86%−9
SL Benfica W clean sheet36%––
Sporting CP W clean sheet19%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 6 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 11.3%
0123450 8.0 5.7 3.5 1 10.0 11.3 5.6 2.2 2 9.0 8.8 4.8 3 5.3 5.2 2.8 4 2.5 2.4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+SL Benfica W down, Sporting CP W across0–5 goals a side shown (98.5% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

8 meetings since 2022/23
Goals a meeting2.75
Over 2.54 of 8
Both scored6 of 8
Last meetingsSLB 3–1 SPO · SPO 1–1 SLB · SLB 1–1 SPO · SPO 0–2 SLB

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · 1a Divisão - Women this season · since 12 Sept

SL BENFICA W

WWW3–0 · 2–0 · 4–0

SPORTING CP W

WWDW2–0 · 5–0 · 0–0 · 3–2

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Sporting CP W4+810
2Torreense W4+139
3SL Benfica W3+99
4Sporting Braga W4+78
5Porto W4+26
6Valadares Gaia W406
7Racing Power W4−44
8Rio Ave W4−61
9Vitoria Guimaraes W3−70
10Marítimo W4−220

Based on available league results before kick-off; standings may be incomplete.