Racing Power W v Rio Ave W prediction · 1a Divisão

Full timeGraded 25 Oct 01:42

Racing Power W 0–0 Rio Ave W DRAW · RIGHTUNDER 2.5 · RIGHTNOT BOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTUNDER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT0–0 EXACTLY · RIGHT

~~We said a draw~~38%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.576

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

A draw is the likeliest result.

The Pitchside prediction: Racing Power W 35%, draw 38%, Rio Ave W 27%. Over 2.5 goals 22%, both teams to score 30%.

The AI’s read on Racing Power W v Rio Ave WBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

Racing Power W win35%

Draw38%

Rio Ave W win27%

Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 16:00

RoundMatchday 5

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Racing Power W

Rio Ave W

7Days since last match7

Last match: 17 Oct · 1a Divisão - Women

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
7	Racing Power W	4	−4	4
8	Rio Ave W	4	−6	1

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Line-ups, squads and player statistics aren’t currently available for this competition.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · drawFirst published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

38% The market–

Us38%

We make the draw a 38% chance. The model expects 0.9–0.7, and 0–0 is the single most likely score at 23%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Racing Power W v Rio Ave W~~0.86 – 0.73

~~Form · 1a Divisão - Women this season · since 12 Sept~~W1 D1 L2 · W0 D1 L3

~~Table places · points 4 v 1~~7 v 8

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Racing Power W win	35%	–	–
Draw	38%	–	–
Rio Ave W win	27%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	22%	–	–
Both teams to score	30%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	47%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	9%	–	–
Racing Power W or draw	73%	–	–
Racing Power W clean sheet	50%	–	–
Rio Ave W clean sheet	44%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 0–0 at 23.1%

0123450 23.1 13.4 5.3 1 16.1 12.8 4.5 2 7.3 5.2 2.0 3 2.3 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Racing Power W down, Rio Ave W across0–5 goals a side shown (99.9% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 509 1a Divisão - Women matches up to 18 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: 1a Divisão - Women matches have gone over 2.5 in 56.8% of games recently, across 400 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 2 previous meetings since 2025/26 in every competition we cover, 1.00 goals a meeting; 0 of 2 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Racing Power W at home: 1.17 scored, 1.83 conceded a game (last 6). Rio Ave W away: 0.67 scored, 1.00 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

0.86 goals for Racing Power W, 0.73 for Rio Ave W. Most likely score 0–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2025/26

~~Goals a meeting~~1.00

~~Over 2.5~~0 of 2

~~Both scored~~0 of 2

~~Last meetings~~RIO 1–0 RAC · RAC 1–0 RIO

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · 1a Divisão - Women this season · since 12 Sept

RACING POWER W

LWDL0–3 · 1–0 · 0–0 · 0–2

RIO AVE W

LLLD0–3 · 0–2 · 0–1 · 1–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Sporting CP W	4	+8	10
2	Torreense W	4	+13	9
3	SL Benfica W	3	+9	9
4	Sporting Braga W	4	+7	8
5	Porto W	4	+2	6
6	Valadares Gaia W	4	0	6
7	Racing Power W	4	−4	4
8	Rio Ave W	4	−6	1
9	Vitoria Guimaraes W	3	−7	0
10	Marítimo W	4	−22	0