Marítimo W v SL Benfica W prediction · 1a Divisão

Full timeGraded 19 Oct 01:30

Marítimo W 0–4 SL Benfica W SL BENFICA W WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTNOT BOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTOVER 3.5 · RIGHT0–3 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said SL Benfica W win~~89%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.018

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

SL Benfica W are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Marítimo W 3%, draw 8%, SL Benfica W 89%. Over 2.5 goals 81%, both teams to score 43%.

The AI’s read on Marítimo W v SL Benfica WBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

Marítimo W win3%

Draw8%

SL Benfica W win89%

Kick-offSUN 18 OCT · 11:00

RoundMatchday 4

Line-ups

Marítimo W

SL Benfica W

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Marítimo W

SL Benfica W

21Days since last match18

Last match: 27 Sept · 1a Divisão - Women

Last match: 30 Sept · UEFA Champions League Women

0Matches in previous 14 days0

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
4	SL Benfica W	2	+5	6
10	Marítimo W	3	−18	0

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Line-ups, squads and player statistics aren’t currently available for this competition.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Marítimo W

Formation not confirmed

1 C. Rodrigues

30 M. Contente

13 Duda Nascimento

8 S. Riese

2 J. Holtz

10 R. Coutinho

18 B. Aguiar

21 E. Silva

9 M. Foster

12 E. Costa

5 J. Hunt

Coach · –

Substitutes

– · M. Nobrega

15 · D. Freitas

14 · C. Abreu

7 · L. Oliveira

6 · C. Nunes

24 · L. Roch

– · S. Jardim

17 · A. Silva

SL Benfica W

Formation not confirmed

1 L. Pauels

19 C. Amado

22 D. Gomes

4 O. Demehin

5 M. Lund

14 A. Csiki

10 C. Moller

8 A. Norton

25 C. Davidson

26 Shao Ziqin

9 N. Raysla

Coach · Ivan Baptista

Substitutes

46 · M. Bihina

11 · A. Borges

3 · Ines Meninas

44 · M. Loucao

23 · C. Tristao

77 · N. Guedes

7 · F. Brennskag-Dorsin

18 · F. Sabastine

13 · L. C. Sousa Alves

Our number · sl benfica w winFirst published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

89% The market–

Us89%

We make SL Benfica W an 89% chance to win. The model expects 0.6–4.2, and 0–3 is the single most likely score at 9%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Marítimo W v SL Benfica W~~0.61 – 4.21

~~Form · 1a Divisão - Women this season · since 12 Sept~~W0 D0 L3 · W2 D0 L0

~~Table places · points 0 v 6~~10 v 4

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Marítimo W win	3%	–	–
Draw	8%	–	–
SL Benfica W win	89%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	81%	–	–
Both teams to score	43%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	93%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	66%	–	–
Marítimo W or draw	11%	–	–
Marítimo W clean sheet	3%	–	–
SL Benfica W clean sheet	56%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 0–3 at 9.5%

0123450 4.4 8.0 9.5 8.9 7.21 3.4 5.1 5.8 5.1 3.92 3 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Marítimo W down, SL Benfica W across0–5 goals a side shown (74.2% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 507 1a Divisão - Women matches up to 17 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: 1a Divisão - Women matches have gone over 2.5 in 56.5% of games recently, across 400 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 8 previous meetings since 2022/23 in every competition we cover, 3.62 goals a meeting; 5 of 8 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Marítimo W at home: 0.67 scored, 1.33 conceded a game (last 6). SL Benfica W away: 3.00 scored, 0.33 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

0.61 goals for Marítimo W, 4.21 for SL Benfica W. Most likely score 0–3.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

8 meetings since 2022/23

~~Goals a meeting~~3.62

~~Over 2.5~~5 of 8

~~Both scored~~2 of 8

~~Last meetings~~MAR 1–3 SLB · SLB 5–0 MAR · MAR 0–1 SLB · SLB 2–0 MAR

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · 1a Divisão - Women this season · since 12 Sept

MARÍTIMO W

LLL0–5 · 0–5 · 0–8

SL BENFICA W

WW3–0 · 2–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Torreense W	3	+14	9
2	Sporting Braga W	4	+7	8
3	Sporting CP W	3	+7	7
4	SL Benfica W	2	+5	6
5	Porto W	4	+2	6
6	Valadares Gaia W	4	0	6
7	Racing Power W	4	−4	4
8	Rio Ave W	4	−6	1
9	Vitoria Guimaraes W	3	−7	0
10	Marítimo W	3	−18	0