Wisłoka Dębica v KSZO 1929 prediction · III Liga

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Wisłoka DębicaDrawKSZO 1929

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 18:08

Before kick-off · Match result · KSZO 1929 43%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

KSZO 1929 are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Wisłoka Dębica 28%, draw 28%, KSZO 1929 43%. Over 2.5 goals 39%, both teams to score 44%.

The AI’s read on Wisłoka Dębica v KSZO 1929Before, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

Wisłoka Dębica win28%

Draw28%

KSZO 1929 win43%

Kick-offSAT 31 OCT · 18:08

RoundGroup IV · matchday 15

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Wisłoka Dębica

KSZO 1929

7Days since last match7

Last match: 24 Oct · III Liga - Group 4

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
2	KSZO 1929	14	+15	29
3	Wisłoka Dębica	14	+5	26

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · kszo 1929 winFirst published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

43% The market–

Us43%

We make KSZO 1929 a 43% chance to win. The model expects 1.0–1.3, and 0–1 is the single most likely score at 13%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Wisłoka Dębica v KSZO 1929~~0.98 – 1.28

~~Form · last six in III Liga - Group 4 this season · since 19 Sept~~W4 D1 L1 · W3 D2 L1

~~Table places · points 26 v 29~~3 v 2

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Wisłoka Dębica win	28%	–	–
Draw	28%	–	–
KSZO 1929 win	43%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	39%	–	–
Both teams to score	44%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	65%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	19%	–	–
Wisłoka Dębica or draw	57%	–	–
Wisłoka Dębica clean sheet	28%	–	–
KSZO 1929 clean sheet	38%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 0–1 at 13.4%

0123450 11.0 13.4 8.5 3.7 1 10.1 12.9 8.1 3.5 2 5.0 6.3 4.0 3 2.1 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Wisłoka Dębica down, KSZO 1929 across0–5 goals a side shown (99.7% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,636 III Liga - Group 4 matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: III Liga - Group 4 matches have gone over 2.5 in 58.1% of games this season, across 124 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: the last 10 meetings in every competition we cover, 1.60 goals a meeting; 2 of 10 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Wisłoka Dębica at home: 1.83 scored, 0.83 conceded a game (last 6). KSZO 1929 away: 1.83 scored, 0.67 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

0.98 goals for Wisłoka Dębica, 1.28 for KSZO 1929. Most likely score 0–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

Last 10 meetings

~~Goals a meeting~~1.60

~~Over 2.5~~2 of 10

~~Both scored~~4 of 10

~~Last meetings~~KSZ 0–0 WIS · WIS 0–1 KSZ · KSZ 1–1 WIS · WIS 0–1 KSZ

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in III Liga - Group 4 this season · since 19 Sept

WISŁOKA DĘBICA

WWWDWL1–0 · 2–1 · 2–1 · 0–0 · 4–0 · 1–3

KSZO 1929

DLDWWW0–0 · 1–2 · 1–1 · 5–0 · 3–1 · 2–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Chełmianka Chełm	14	+16	34
2	KSZO 1929	14	+15	29
3	Wisłoka Dębica	14	+5	26
4	Naprzód	14	+3	24
5	Czarni Połaniec	14	+2	24
6	Wiślanie Jaśkowice	14	+6	21
7	Hetman Zamosc	13	+3	20
8	Siarka Tarnobrzeg	14	+1	20
9	Wisła Kraków II	14	−1	19
10	Jarosław	13	+4	17
11	Star Starachowice	14	−1	17
12	Sokół Kolb.	14	−1	16
13	KS Wieczysta Krakow II	14	−3	16
14	Korona Kielce II	14	−5	14
15	Busko-Zdroj	14	−12	14
16	Podlasie Biała Podlaska	13	−7	13
17	Moravia Morawica	14	−11	9
18	Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów	13	−14	8