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Podlasie Biała Podlaska v Wiślanie Jaśkowice
Podlasie Biała Podlaska
Wiślanie JaśkowiceIII Liga - Group 4 · SAT 17 OCT
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Podlasie Biała Podlaska win at 46%.
- 2′Little has changed for our model: Podlasie Biała Podlaska 46% before kick-off, 45% now. 0–0 · 45–26–29
- 2′KICK-OFF Podlasie Biała Podlaska v Wiślanie Jaśkowice
- 44′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 44' Podlasie Biała Podlaska win: 46% at kick-off, 36% now
- 45′HALF-TIME Podlasie Biała Podlaska 0–0 Wiślanie Jaśkowice
- 46′SECOND HALF Podlasie Biała Podlaska 0–0 Wiślanie Jaśkowice
- 47′THE CALL SWINGS · 45+2' Draw is now our likeliest result at 40% (was Podlasie Biała Podlaska win 35%)
- 50′We said Podlasie Biała Podlaska at 46%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 34%. 0–0 · 34–42–24
- 55′Goalless on 55′ when we expected about 2.7 goals — that one is getting away from us. 0–0 · 32–45–23
- 61′We said Podlasie Biała Podlaska at 46%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 29%. 0–0 · 29–50–21
- 64′Wiślanie Jaśkowice score on 64′ to make it 0–1. 0–1 · 6–22–73
- 64′We said Podlasie Biała Podlaska at 46%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 6%. 0–1 · 6–22–73
- 64′⚽ GOAL · 64' Podlasie Biała Podlaska 0–1 Wiślanie Jaśkowice
- 64′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 64' Podlasie Biała Podlaska win: 46% at kick-off, 6% now
- 64′THE CALL SWINGS · 64' Wiślanie Jaśkowice win is now our likeliest result at 73% (was Draw 22%)
- 68′We said Podlasie Biała Podlaska at 46%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 4%. 0–1 · 4–20–75
- 77′Podlasie Biała Podlaska find the net on 77′. 1–1. 1–1 · 17–70–13
- 77′We said Podlasie Biała Podlaska at 46%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 17%. 1–1 · 17–70–13
- 77′The goal count is tracking the 2.7 we expected. 1–1 · 17–70–13
- 77′⚽ GOAL · 77' Podlasie Biała Podlaska 1–1 Wiślanie Jaśkowice
- 77′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 77' Podlasie Biała Podlaska win: 46% at kick-off, 17% now
- 77′THE CALL SWINGS · 77' Draw is now our likeliest result at 70% (was Wiślanie Jaśkowice win 13%)
- 80′We said Podlasie Biała Podlaska at 46%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 14%. 1–1 · 14–76–10
- 81′Podlasie Biała Podlaska find the net on 77′. 1–1. 1–1 · 13–78–9
- 81′We said Podlasie Biała Podlaska at 46%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 13%. 1–1 · 13–78–9
- 84′We said Podlasie Biała Podlaska at 46%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 9%. 1–1 · 9–84–7
- 88′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 88' Podlasie Biała Podlaska win: 46% at kick-off, 6% now
- 91′We said Podlasie Biała Podlaska at 46%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 4%. 1–1 · 4–93–3
- FTFULL TIME Podlasie Biała Podlaska 1–1 Wiślanie Jaśkowice
- FTPodlasie Biała Podlaska 1–1 Wiślanie Jaśkowice · Podlasie Biała Podlaska win: wrong · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: right
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
PassPodlasie Biała Podlaska are favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Podlasie Biała Podlaska 46%, draw 25%, Wiślanie Jaśkowice 29%. Over 2.5 goals 50%, both teams to score 53%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off
Podlasie Biała Podlaska win46%
Wiślanie Jaśkowice win29%Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 13:30
RoundGroup IV · matchday 13
Match timeline
All events
Podlasie Biała PodlaskaMIN
Wiślanie JaśkowiceEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Podlasie Biała Podlaska
Wiślanie Jaśkowice
Last match: 10 Oct · III Liga - Group 4
Last match: 9 Oct · III Liga - Group 4
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Podlasie Biała Podlaska a 46% chance to win. The market has them at 35%. We are 11 points more confident than the market. The model expects 1.5–1.2.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 35% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Podlasie Biała Podlaska win | 46% | 35% | +11 |
| Draw | 25% | 28% | −3 |
| Wiślanie Jaśkowice win | 29% | 37% | −8 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 54% | −4 |
| Both teams to score | 53% | 59% | −6 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 74% | 76% | −2 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 28% | 33% | −5 |
| Podlasie Biała Podlaska or draw | 71% | 63% | +8 |
| Podlasie Biała Podlaska clean sheet | 32% | – | – |
| Wiślanie Jaśkowice clean sheet | 22% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 4 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
6 meetings since 2023/24Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in III Liga - Group 4 this season · since 6 Sept
PODLASIE BIAŁA PODLASKA
WIŚLANIE JAŚKOWICE
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chełmianka Chełm | 12 | +14 | 30 |
| 2 | KSZO 1929 | 12 | +12 | 23 |
| 3 | Naprzód | 12 | +7 | 23 |
| 4 | Wisłoka Dębica | 12 | +3 | 23 |
| 5 | Wiślanie Jaśkowice | 12 | +7 | 20 |
| 6 | Czarni Połaniec | 12 | +1 | 20 |
| 7 | Jarosław | 12 | +6 | 17 |
| 8 | Hetman Zamosc | 12 | +1 | 17 |
| 9 | Wisła Kraków II | 12 | −2 | 16 |
| 10 | Korona Kielce II | 12 | 0 | 14 |
| 11 | Siarka Tarnobrzeg | 12 | −4 | 14 |
| 12 | Busko-Zdroj | 12 | −9 | 14 |
| 13 | Sokół Kolb. | 12 | −1 | 13 |
| 14 | KS Wieczysta Krakow II | 12 | −4 | 12 |
| 15 | Podlasie Biała Podlaska | 12 | −7 | 12 |
| 16 | Star Starachowice | 12 | −5 | 11 |
| 17 | Moravia Morawica | 12 | −9 | 9 |
| 18 | Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów | 12 | −10 | 8 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.
Chełmianka Chełm
KSZO 1929
Naprzód
Wisłoka Dębica
Czarni Połaniec
Jarosław
Hetman Zamosc
Wisła Kraków II
Korona Kielce II
Siarka Tarnobrzeg
Busko-Zdroj
Sokół Kolb.
KS Wieczysta Krakow II
Star Starachowice
Moravia Morawica
Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów