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Home › Football › III Liga - Group 4 › Podlasie Biała Podlaska v Wiślanie Jaśkowice

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Podlasie Biała Podlaska v Wiślanie Jaśkowice

Podlasie Biała Podlaska
1–1Full time
Wiślanie Jaśkowice

III Liga - Group 4 · SAT 17 OCT

Full timeGraded 17 Oct 16:26
Podlasie Biała Podlaska 1–1 Wiślanie Jaśkowice PODLASIE BIAŁA PODLASKA WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · RIGHT
We said Podlasie Biała Podlaska win46%
The market said35%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.848
The market’s Brier score0.785

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay15 notes · 13 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Podlasie Biała Podlaska win at 46%.
  2. 2′Little has changed for our model: Podlasie Biała Podlaska 46% before kick-off, 45% now. 0–0 · 45–26–29
  3. 2′KICK-OFF Podlasie Biała Podlaska v Wiślanie Jaśkowice
  4. 44′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 44' Podlasie Biała Podlaska win: 46% at kick-off, 36% now
  5. 45′HALF-TIME Podlasie Biała Podlaska 0–0 Wiślanie Jaśkowice
  6. 46′SECOND HALF Podlasie Biała Podlaska 0–0 Wiślanie Jaśkowice
  7. 47′THE CALL SWINGS · 45+2' Draw is now our likeliest result at 40% (was Podlasie Biała Podlaska win 35%)
  8. 50′We said Podlasie Biała Podlaska at 46%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 34%. 0–0 · 34–42–24
  9. 55′Goalless on 55′ when we expected about 2.7 goals — that one is getting away from us. 0–0 · 32–45–23
  10. 61′We said Podlasie Biała Podlaska at 46%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 29%. 0–0 · 29–50–21
  11. 64′Wiślanie Jaśkowice score on 64′ to make it 0–1. 0–1 · 6–22–73
  12. 64′We said Podlasie Biała Podlaska at 46%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 6%. 0–1 · 6–22–73
  13. 64′⚽ GOAL · 64' Podlasie Biała Podlaska 0–1 Wiślanie Jaśkowice
  14. 64′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 64' Podlasie Biała Podlaska win: 46% at kick-off, 6% now
  15. 64′THE CALL SWINGS · 64' Wiślanie Jaśkowice win is now our likeliest result at 73% (was Draw 22%)
  16. 68′We said Podlasie Biała Podlaska at 46%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 4%. 0–1 · 4–20–75
  17. 77′Podlasie Biała Podlaska find the net on 77′. 1–1. 1–1 · 17–70–13
  18. 77′We said Podlasie Biała Podlaska at 46%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 17%. 1–1 · 17–70–13
  19. 77′The goal count is tracking the 2.7 we expected. 1–1 · 17–70–13
  20. 77′⚽ GOAL · 77' Podlasie Biała Podlaska 1–1 Wiślanie Jaśkowice
  21. 77′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 77' Podlasie Biała Podlaska win: 46% at kick-off, 17% now
  22. 77′THE CALL SWINGS · 77' Draw is now our likeliest result at 70% (was Wiślanie Jaśkowice win 13%)
  23. 80′We said Podlasie Biała Podlaska at 46%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 14%. 1–1 · 14–76–10
  24. 81′Podlasie Biała Podlaska find the net on 77′. 1–1. 1–1 · 13–78–9
  25. 81′We said Podlasie Biała Podlaska at 46%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 13%. 1–1 · 13–78–9
  26. 84′We said Podlasie Biała Podlaska at 46%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 9%. 1–1 · 9–84–7
  27. 88′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 88' Podlasie Biała Podlaska win: 46% at kick-off, 6% now
  28. 91′We said Podlasie Biała Podlaska at 46%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 4%. 1–1 · 4–93–3
  29. FTFULL TIME Podlasie Biała Podlaska 1–1 Wiślanie Jaśkowice
  30. FTPodlasie Biała Podlaska 1–1 Wiślanie Jaśkowice · Podlasie Biała Podlaska win: wrong · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: right

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pass
Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Podlasie Biała Podlaska are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Podlasie Biała Podlaska 46%, draw 25%, Wiślanie Jaśkowice 29%. Over 2.5 goals 50%, both teams to score 53%.

The AI’s read on Podlasie Biała Podlaska v Wiślanie JaśkowiceBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

Podlasie Biała Podlaska win46%
Draw25%
Wiślanie Jaśkowice win29%

Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 13:30

RoundGroup IV · matchday 13

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Podlasie Biała Podlaska

Wiślanie Jaśkowice

7Days since last match8

Last match: 10 Oct · III Liga - Group 4

Last match: 9 Oct · III Liga - Group 4

1Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#TEAMPGDPTS
5Wiślanie Jaśkowice12+720
15Podlasie Biała Podlaska12−712

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · podlasie biała podlaska winFirst published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off
46% The market35%
Us46%
Market35%

We make Podlasie Biała Podlaska a 46% chance to win. The market has them at 35%. We are 11 points more confident than the market. The model expects 1.5–1.2.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Podlasie Biała Podlaska v Wiślanie Jaśkowice1.53 – 1.15
Form · last six in III Liga - Group 4 this season · since 6 SeptW1 D1 L4 · W2 D1 L3
Table places · points 12 v 2015 v 5
The market · Podlasie Biała Podlaska win35% · ours 46%

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
30%35%40%45%50% 11 OCT 04:0517 OCT 12:55
Our probability · Podlasie Biała Podlaska win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 35% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Podlasie Biała Podlaska win46%35%+11
Draw25%28%−3
Wiślanie Jaśkowice win29%37%−8
Over 2.5 goals50%54%−4
Both teams to score53%59%−6
Over 1.5 goals74%76%−2
Over 3.5 goals28%33%−5
Podlasie Biała Podlaska or draw71%63%+8
Podlasie Biała Podlaska clean sheet32%––
Wiślanie Jaśkowice clean sheet22%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 4 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 11.9%
0123450 7.2 7.9 4.6 1 10.4 11.9 6.8 2.7 2 7.9 8.9 5.1 2.0 3 4.1 4.6 2.6 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Podlasie Biała Podlaska down, Wiślanie Jaśkowice across0–5 goals a side shown (99.3% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

6 meetings since 2023/24
Goals a meeting2.17
Over 2.53 of 6
Both scored3 of 6
Last meetingsWIS 1–2 POD · POD 2–2 WIS · WIS 1–0 POD · POD 2–1 WIS

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in III Liga - Group 4 this season · since 6 Sept

PODLASIE BIAŁA PODLASKA

LWLLDL0–1 · 2–1 · 0–2 · 1–2 · 2–2 · 0–4

WIŚLANIE JAŚKOWICE

LWDLLW1–2 · 3–1 · 1–1 · 1–2 · 0–1 · 4–1

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Chełmianka Chełm12+1430
2KSZO 192912+1223
3Naprzód12+723
4Wisłoka Dębica12+323
5Wiślanie Jaśkowice12+720
6Czarni Połaniec12+120
7Jarosław12+617
8Hetman Zamosc12+117
9Wisła Kraków II12−216
10Korona Kielce II12014
11Siarka Tarnobrzeg12−414
12Busko-Zdroj12−914
13Sokół Kolb.12−113
14KS Wieczysta Krakow II12−412
15Podlasie Biała Podlaska12−712
16Star Starachowice12−511
17Moravia Morawica12−99
18Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów12−108

The competition's standings before kick-off.