KSZO 1929 v Sokół Kolb. prediction · III Liga

Full timeGraded 25 Oct 01:42

KSZO 1929 2–1 Sokół Kolb. KSZO 1929 WIN · RIGHTUNDER 2.5 · WRONGNOT BOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–0 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said KSZO 1929 win~~60%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.245

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

KSZO 1929 are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: KSZO 1929 60%, draw 24%, Sokół Kolb. 16%. Over 2.5 goals 41%, both teams to score 40%.

The AI’s read on KSZO 1929 v Sokół Kolb.Before, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

KSZO 1929 win60%

Draw24%

Sokół Kolb. win16%

Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 16:00

RoundGroup IV · matchday 14

VenueMiejski Stadion Sportowy

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

KSZO 1929

Sokół Kolb.

7Days since last match7

Last match: 17 Oct · III Liga - Group 4

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
2	KSZO 1929	13	+14	26
12	Sokół Kolb.	13	0	16

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · kszo 1929 winFirst published 18 Oct 01:23 · updated 18 Oct 02:11 · locked at kick-off

60% The market–

Us60%

We make KSZO 1929 a 60% chance to win. The model expects 1.6–0.7, and 1–0 is the single most likely score at 16%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · KSZO 1929 v Sokół Kolb.~~1.65 – 0.69

~~Form · last six in III Liga - Group 4 this season · since 12 Sept~~W3 D2 L1 · W2 D3 L1

~~Table places · points 26 v 16~~2 v 12

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · KSZO 1929 win

Published at 59%, 60% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
KSZO 1929 win	60%	–	–
Draw	24%	–	–
Sokół Kolb. win	16%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	41%	–	–
Both teams to score	40%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	67%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	21%	–	–
KSZO 1929 or draw	84%	–	–
KSZO 1929 clean sheet	50%	–	–
Sokół Kolb. clean sheet	20%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 15.8%

0123450 10.1 6.7 2.4 1 15.8 10.9 3.8 2 12.9 8.8 3.1 3 7.1 4.8 4 3.0 2.0 5

under 2% 5% 12%+KSZO 1929 down, Sokół Kolb. across0–5 goals a side shown (99.2% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,630 III Liga - Group 4 matches up to 23 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: III Liga - Group 4 matches have gone over 2.5 in 56.8% of games this season, across 118 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 2 previous meetings since 2025/26 in every competition we cover, 4.50 goals a meeting; 2 of 2 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

KSZO 1929 at home: 2.00 scored, 1.00 conceded a game (last 6). Sokół Kolb. away: 0.67 scored, 1.00 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.65 goals for KSZO 1929, 0.69 for Sokół Kolb.. Most likely score 1–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2025/26

~~Goals a meeting~~4.50

~~Over 2.5~~2 of 2

~~Both scored~~2 of 2

~~Last meetings~~KSZ 2–1 SOK · SOK 1–5 KSZ

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in III Liga - Group 4 this season · since 12 Sept

KSZO 1929

WDLDWW1–0 · 0–0 · 1–2 · 1–1 · 5–0 · 3–1

SOKÓŁ KOLB.

DDWDLW2–2 · 1–1 · 1–0 · 2–2 · 0–1 · 1–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Chełmianka Chełm	13	+14	31
2	KSZO 1929	13	+14	26
3	Wisłoka Dębica	14	+5	26
4	Czarni Połaniec	14	+2	24
5	Naprzód	13	+3	23
6	Wiślanie Jaśkowice	14	+6	21
7	Hetman Zamosc	13	+3	20
8	Wisła Kraków II	14	−1	19
9	Jarosław	13	+4	17
10	Siarka Tarnobrzeg	13	0	17
11	Star Starachowice	14	−1	17
12	Sokół Kolb.	13	0	16
13	KS Wieczysta Krakow II	13	−3	15
14	Korona Kielce II	13	−3	14
15	Busko-Zdroj	14	−12	14
16	Podlasie Biała Podlaska	13	−7	13
17	Moravia Morawica	13	−10	9
18	Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów	13	−14	8