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KSZO 1929 v Busko-Zdroj

KSZO 1929
5–0Full time
Busko-Zdroj

III Liga - Group 4 · SAT 10 OCT · Miejski Stadion Sportowy

Full timeGraded 10 Oct 20:02
KSZO 1929 5–0 Busko-Zdroj KSZO 1929 WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG2–0 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said KSZO 1929 win62%
The market said72%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.212
The market’s Brier score0.118

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay5 notes · 20 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said KSZO 1929 win at 62%.
  2. 2′Little has changed for our model: KSZO 1929 62% before kick-off, 63% now. 0–0 · 63–21–16
  3. 8′Little has changed for our model: KSZO 1929 62% before kick-off, 61% now. 0–0 · 61–22–17
  4. 23′16′ and it is 1–0: D. Lisowski on the scoresheet for KSZO 1929. 1–0 · 83–12–5
  5. 29′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 29' KSZO 1929 win: 62% at kick-off, 83% now
  6. 29′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 29' KSZO 1929 win: 62% at kick-off, 61% now
  7. 30′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 30' KSZO 1929 win: 62% at kick-off, 61% now
  8. 30′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 30' KSZO 1929 win: 62% at kick-off, 83% now
  9. 31′16′ and it is 1–0: D. Lisowski on the scoresheet for KSZO 1929. 1–0 · 83–13–4
  10. 31′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 31' KSZO 1929 win: 62% at kick-off, 61% now
  11. 31′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 31' KSZO 1929 win: 62% at kick-off, 83% now
  12. 32′⚽ GOAL · 32' KSZO 1929 2–0 Busko-Zdroj
  13. 43′⚽ GOAL · 42' KSZO 1929 3–0 Busko-Zdroj
  14. 45′A goal for KSZO 1929 on 42′ — 3–0. 3–0 · 100–0–0
  15. 45′HALF-TIME KSZO 1929 3–0 Busko-Zdroj
  16. 45′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 45' KSZO 1929 win: 62% at kick-off, 100% now
  17. 45′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 45' KSZO 1929 win: 62% at kick-off, 83% now
  18. 47′SECOND HALF KSZO 1929 3–0 Busko-Zdroj
  19. 52′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 52' KSZO 1929 win: 62% at kick-off, 100% now
  20. 53′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 53' KSZO 1929 win: 62% at kick-off, 100% now
  21. 54′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 54' KSZO 1929 win: 62% at kick-off, 100% now
  22. 55′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 55' KSZO 1929 win: 62% at kick-off, 100% now
  23. 57′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 57' KSZO 1929 win: 62% at kick-off, 100% now
  24. 85′⚽ GOAL · 84' KSZO 1929 4–0 Busko-Zdroj
  25. 88′⚽ GOAL · 87' KSZO 1929 5–0 Busko-Zdroj
  26. FTFULL TIME KSZO 1929 5–0 Busko-Zdroj
  27. FTKSZO 1929 5–0 Busko-Zdroj · KSZO 1929 win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 2–0 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

KSZO 1929 win62%
Draw21%
Busko-Zdroj win17%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

SAT 10 OCT · 17:00

Venue · Miejski Stadion Sportowy

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · kszo 1929 winPublished 10 Oct 17:01
62% The market72%
Us62%
Market72%

We make KSZO 1929 a 62% chance to win. The market has them at 72%. We are 10 points less confident than the market. The model expects 2.0–0.9.

How the number movedSince we published
60%65%70%75% 9 OCT 06:2010 OCT 14:23
Our probability · kszo 1929 win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 72% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
KSZO 1929 win62%72%−10
Draw21%18%+3
Busko-Zdroj win17%10%+7
Over 2.5 goals57%67%−10
Both teams to score52%55%−3
Over 1.5 goals79%83%−3
Over 3.5 goals35%47%−12
KSZO 1929 or draw83%90%−7
KSZO 1929 clean sheet40%––
Busko-Zdroj clean sheet14%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 7 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–0 at 10.5%
0123450 5.5 4.8 2.3 1 10.5 9.6 4.5 2 10.5 9.5 4.5 3 7.1 6.5 3.0 4 3.7 3.4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+KSZO 1929 down, Busko-Zdroj across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

0 meetings since 2021

No previous meeting of these two in our records. We say so rather than invent one.

Form · last six in III Liga - Group 4

KSZO 1929

WDWDLD4–0 · 2–2 · 1–0 · 0–0 · 1–2 · 1–1

BUSKO-ZDROJ

LWLWLW1–4 · 2–1 · 1–2 · 2–1 · 1–4 · 3–0

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Chełmianka Chełm11+1327
2Wisłoka Dębica11+322
3Wiślanie Jaśkowice12+720
4KSZO 192911+720
5Naprzód11+620
6Czarni Połaniec11+220
7Jarosław11+717
8Hetman Zamosc11014
9Busko-Zdroj11−414
10Siarka Tarnobrzeg12−414
11Sokół Kolb.11013
12Wisła Kraków II11−313
13Podlasie Biała Podlaska11−312
14Korona Kielce II11−411
15Star Starachowice11−411
16KS Wieczysta Krakow II11−411
17Moravia Morawica11−98
18Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów11−107

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.