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Home › Football › III Liga - Group 4 › KS Wieczysta Krakow II v Moravia Morawica

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KS Wieczysta Krakow II v Moravia Morawica

KS Wieczysta Krakow II
1–0Full time
Moravia Morawica

III Liga - Group 4 · SAT 17 OCT · Stadion KS Wieczysta

Full timeGraded 17 Oct 13:56
KS Wieczysta Krakow II 1–0 Moravia Morawica KS WIECZYSTA KRAKOW II WIN · RIGHTUNDER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · WRONGUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said KS Wieczysta Krakow II win47%
The market said58%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.414
The market’s Brier score0.259

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay8 notes · 9 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said KS Wieczysta Krakow II win at 47%.
  2. 2′Little has changed for our model: KS Wieczysta Krakow II 47% before kick-off, 47% now. 0–0 · 47–26–27
  3. 2′KICK-OFF KS Wieczysta Krakow II v Moravia Morawica
  4. 42′KS Wieczysta Krakow II find the net on 41′. 1–0. 1–0 · 76–18–6
  5. 42′We said KS Wieczysta Krakow II at 47% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 76%. 1–0 · 76–18–6
  6. 42′⚽ GOAL · 41' KS Wieczysta Krakow II 1–0 Moravia Morawica
  7. 42′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 42' KS Wieczysta Krakow II win: 47% at kick-off, 76% now
  8. 43′The goal count is tracking the 2.7 we expected. 1–0 · 76–18–6
  9. 45′HALF-TIME KS Wieczysta Krakow II 1–0 Moravia Morawica
  10. 46′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 45+1' KS Wieczysta Krakow II win: 47% at kick-off, 77% now
  11. 46′SECOND HALF KS Wieczysta Krakow II 1–0 Moravia Morawica
  12. 59′We said KS Wieczysta Krakow II at 47% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 80%. 1–0 · 80–17–4
  13. 72′We said KS Wieczysta Krakow II at 47% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 85%. 1–0 · 85–13–2
  14. 75′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 75' KS Wieczysta Krakow II win: 47% at kick-off, 87% now
  15. 80′We said KS Wieczysta Krakow II at 47% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 90%. 1–0 · 90–9–1
  16. 86′We said KS Wieczysta Krakow II at 47% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 95%. 1–0 · 95–5–0
  17. 90′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 90' KS Wieczysta Krakow II win: 47% at kick-off, 97% now
  18. FTFULL TIME KS Wieczysta Krakow II 1–0 Moravia Morawica
  19. FTKS Wieczysta Krakow II 1–0 Moravia Morawica · KS Wieczysta Krakow II win: right · Under 2.5: right · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pass
Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

KS Wieczysta Krakow II are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: KS Wieczysta Krakow II 47%, draw 25%, Moravia Morawica 27%. Over 2.5 goals 49%, both teams to score 52%.

The AI’s read on KS Wieczysta Krakow II v Moravia MorawicaBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

KS Wieczysta Krakow II win47%
Draw25%
Moravia Morawica win27%

Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 11:00

RoundGroup IV · matchday 13

VenueStadion KS Wieczysta

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

KS Wieczysta Krakow II

Moravia Morawica

7Days since last match7

Last match: 10 Oct · III Liga - Group 4

Last match: 10 Oct · III Liga - Group 4

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#TEAMPGDPTS
14KS Wieczysta Krakow II12−412
17Moravia Morawica12−99

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · ks wieczysta krakow ii winFirst published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off
47% The market58%
Us47%
Market58%

We make KS Wieczysta Krakow II a 47% chance to win. The market has them at 58%. We are 11 points less confident than the market. The model expects 1.6–1.1.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · KS Wieczysta Krakow II v Moravia Morawica1.56 – 1.11
Form · last six in III Liga - Group 4 this season · since 5 SeptW1 D2 L3 · W0 D3 L3
Table places · points 12 v 914 v 17
The market · KS Wieczysta Krakow II win58% · ours 47%

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
45%50%55%60% 11 OCT 04:0517 OCT 10:43
Our probability · KS Wieczysta Krakow II win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 58% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
KS Wieczysta Krakow II win47%58%−11
Draw25%22%+3
Moravia Morawica win27%19%+8
Over 2.5 goals49%61%−12
Both teams to score52%59%−7
Over 1.5 goals74%81%−7
Over 3.5 goals28%41%−13
KS Wieczysta Krakow II or draw73%81%−8
KS Wieczysta Krakow II clean sheet34%––
Moravia Morawica clean sheet22%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 5 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 11.8%
0123450 7.5 7.8 4.3 1 10.9 11.8 6.5 2.4 2 8.4 9.0 4.9 3 4.4 4.7 2.6 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+KS Wieczysta Krakow II down, Moravia Morawica across0–5 goals a side shown (99.2% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

No meetings since 2026/27

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2026/27.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in III Liga - Group 4 this season · since 5 Sept

KS WIECZYSTA KRAKOW II

LLDLWD0–2 · 1–2 · 0–0 · 0–1 · 1–0 · 1–1

MORAVIA MORAWICA

LLLDDD1–2 · 1–2 · 1–2 · 2–2 · 2–2 · 0–0

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Chełmianka Chełm12+1430
2KSZO 192912+1223
3Naprzód12+723
4Wisłoka Dębica12+323
5Wiślanie Jaśkowice12+720
6Czarni Połaniec12+120
7Jarosław12+617
8Hetman Zamosc12+117
9Wisła Kraków II12−216
10Korona Kielce II12014
11Siarka Tarnobrzeg12−414
12Busko-Zdroj12−914
13Sokół Kolb.12−113
14KS Wieczysta Krakow II12−412
15Podlasie Biała Podlaska12−712
16Star Starachowice12−511
17Moravia Morawica12−99
18Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów12−108

The competition's standings before kick-off.