Home › Football › III Liga - Group 3 › Sparta Katowice v ROW Rybnik
Back

Sparta Katowice v ROW Rybnik
Sparta Katowice
ROW RybnikIII Liga - Group 3 · SAT 17 OCT
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Sparta Katowice win at 51%.
- 2′Little has changed for our model: Sparta Katowice 51% before kick-off, 51% now. 0–0 · 51–24–25
- 2′KICK-OFF Sparta Katowice v ROW Rybnik
- 7′Sparta Katowice score on 7′ to make it 1–0. 1–0 · 75–16–10
- 7′We said Sparta Katowice at 51% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 75%. 1–0 · 75–16–10
- 7′⚽ GOAL · 7' Sparta Katowice 1–0 ROW Rybnik
- 7′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 7' Sparta Katowice win: 51% at kick-off, 75% now
- 30′The goal count is tracking the 2.9 we expected. 1–0 · 76–17–7
- 45′HALF-TIME Sparta Katowice 1–0 ROW Rybnik
- 46′SECOND HALF Sparta Katowice 1–0 ROW Rybnik
- 47′Sparta Katowice find the net on 47′. 2–0. 2–0 · 95–4–1
- 47′We said Sparta Katowice at 51% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 95%. 2–0 · 95–4–1
- 47′⚽ GOAL · 47' Sparta Katowice 2–0 ROW Rybnik
- 47′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 47' Sparta Katowice win: 51% at kick-off, 95% now
- 82′We said Sparta Katowice at 51% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to over 99%. 2–0 · 100–0–0
- FTFULL TIME Sparta Katowice 2–0 ROW Rybnik
- FTSparta Katowice 2–0 ROW Rybnik · Sparta Katowice win: right · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
PassSparta Katowice are favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Sparta Katowice 51%, draw 23%, ROW Rybnik 25%. Over 2.5 goals 55%, both teams to score 56%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off
Sparta Katowice win51%
ROW Rybnik win25%Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 11:00
RoundGroup III · matchday 13
Match timeline
All events
Sparta KatowiceMIN
ROW RybnikEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Sparta Katowice
ROW Rybnik
Last match: 10 Oct · III Liga - Group 3
Last match: 10 Oct · III Liga - Group 3
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Sparta Katowice a 51% chance to win. The market has them at 53%. We are within 2 points of the market. The model expects 1.8–1.1.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 53% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sparta Katowice win | 51% | 53% | −2 |
| Draw | 23% | 24% | −1 |
| ROW Rybnik win | 25% | 23% | +2 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 55% | 60% | −5 |
| Both teams to score | 56% | 60% | −4 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 78% | 81% | −3 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 33% | 39% | −6 |
| Sparta Katowice or draw | 75% | 77% | −2 |
| Sparta Katowice clean sheet | 32% | – | – |
| ROW Rybnik clean sheet | 18% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 4 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
No meetings since 2026/27No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2026/27.
Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in III Liga - Group 3 this season · since 5 Sept
SPARTA KATOWICE
ROW RYBNIK
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zaglebie Sosnowiec | 12 | +8 | 25 |
| 2 | Sparta Katowice | 12 | +11 | 24 |
| 3 | Zagłębie Lubin II | 12 | +10 | 24 |
| 4 | Odra Bytom Odrzański | 12 | +7 | 24 |
| 5 | Barycz Sułów | 12 | +5 | 21 |
| 6 | ROW Rybnik | 12 | +6 | 20 |
| 7 | Karkonosze Jelenia Góra | 13 | +4 | 19 |
| 8 | Górnik Polkowice | 12 | +4 | 18 |
| 9 | Miedź Legnica II | 12 | +5 | 17 |
| 10 | Stilon Gorzów | 12 | +1 | 16 |
| 11 | Warta Gorzów | 12 | −7 | 14 |
| 12 | Stal Brzeg | 12 | +1 | 12 |
| 13 | Goczałkowice Zdrój | 12 | −5 | 12 |
| 14 | Kluczbork | 11 | −8 | 12 |
| 15 | Polonia Nysa | 13 | −11 | 12 |
| 16 | Ślęza Wrocław | 12 | −10 | 10 |
| 17 | Rakow II | 11 | −7 | 9 |
| 18 | Carina Gubin | 12 | −14 | 9 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.
Zaglebie Sosnowiec
Zagłębie Lubin II
Odra Bytom Odrzański
Barycz Sułów
Karkonosze Jelenia Góra
Górnik Polkowice
Miedź Legnica II
Stilon Gorzów
Warta Gorzów
Stal Brzeg
Goczałkowice Zdrój
Kluczbork
Polonia Nysa
Ślęza Wrocław
Rakow II
Carina Gubin