Rakow II v Warta Gorzów

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Rakow II win at 38%.
2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Rakow II 38% before kick-off, 38% now. 0–0 · 38–26–37
3. 1′KICK-OFF Rakow II v Warta Gorzów
4. 25′Rakow II find the net on 23′. 1–0. 1–0 · 66–21–13
5. 25′We said Rakow II at 38% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 66%. 1–0 · 66–21–13
6. 25′⚽ GOAL · 23' Rakow II 1–0 Warta Gorzów
7. 25′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 25' Rakow II win: 38% at kick-off, 66% now
8. 30′The goal count is tracking the 2.7 we expected. 1–0 · 67–21–12
9. 35′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 35' Rakow II win: 38% at kick-off, 68% now
10. 45′We said Rakow II at 38% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 70%. 1–0 · 70–22–9
11. 45′HALF-TIME Rakow II 1–0 Warta Gorzów
12. 46′SECOND HALF Rakow II 1–0 Warta Gorzów
13. 50′A goal for Warta Gorzów on 49′ — 1–1. 1–1 · 29–42–29
14. 50′⚽ GOAL · 49' Rakow II 1–1 Warta Gorzów
15. 50′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 50' Rakow II win: 38% at kick-off, 29% now
16. 50′THE CALL SWINGS · 50' Draw is now our likeliest result at 42% (was Rakow II win 29%)
17. 53′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 53' Rakow II win: 38% at kick-off, 28% now
18. 59′We said Rakow II at 38%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 26%. 1–1 · 26–48–26
19. 63′We said Rakow II at 38%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 24%. 1–1 · 24–52–24
20. 72′Warta Gorzów score on 72′ to make it 1–2. 1–2 · 3–16–81
21. 72′We said Rakow II at 38%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 3%. 1–2 · 3–16–81
22. 72′3 goals already, more than the 2.7 we expected for the whole match. 1–2 · 3–16–81
23. 72′⚽ GOAL · 72' Rakow II 1–2 Warta Gorzów
24. 72′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 72' Rakow II win: 38% at kick-off, 3% now
25. 72′THE CALL SWINGS · 72' Warta Gorzów win is now our likeliest result at 81% (was Draw 16%)
26. 76′Rakow II find the net on 75′. 2–2. 2–2 · 16–68–16
27. 76′We said Rakow II at 38%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 16%. 2–2 · 16–68–16
28. 76′⚽ GOAL · 75' Rakow II 2–2 Warta Gorzów
29. 76′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 76' Rakow II win: 38% at kick-off, 16% now
30. 76′THE CALL SWINGS · 76' Draw is now our likeliest result at 68% (was Warta Gorzów win 16%)
31. 77′That is 4, and we only asked for 2.7 across ninety minutes. 2–2 · 15–70–15
32. 78′We said Rakow II at 38%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 14%. 2–2 · 14–72–14
33. 83′We said Rakow II at 38%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 9%. 2–2 · 9–82–9
34. 84′A goal for Rakow II on 83′ — 3–2. 3–2 · 92–8–0
35. 84′We said Rakow II at 38% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 92%. 3–2 · 92–8–0
36. 84′5 goals already, more than the 2.7 we expected for the whole match. 3–2 · 92–8–0
37. 84′⚽ GOAL · 83' Rakow II 3–2 Warta Gorzów
38. 84′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 84' Rakow II win: 38% at kick-off, 92% now
39. 84′THE CALL SWINGS · 84' Rakow II win is now our likeliest result at 92% (was Draw 8%)
40. 89′We said Rakow II at 38% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 95%. 3–2 · 95–5–0
41. 93′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 90+3' Rakow II win: 38% at kick-off, 98% now
42. FTFULL TIME Rakow II 3–2 Warta Gorzów
43. FTRakow II 3–2 Warta Gorzów · Rakow II win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.