Rakow II v ROW Rybnik prediction · III Liga

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Rakow IIDrawROW Rybnik

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 12:30

Before kick-off · Match result · ROW Rybnik 43%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

ROW Rybnik are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Rakow II 35%, draw 22%, ROW Rybnik 43%. Over 2.5 goals 67%, both teams to score 66%.

The AI’s read on Rakow II v ROW RybnikBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 24 Oct 00:02 · locked at kick-off

Rakow II win35%

Draw22%

ROW Rybnik win43%

Kick-offFRI 30 OCT · 12:30

RoundGroup III · matchday 15

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Rakow II

ROW Rybnik

6Days since last match6

Last match: 24 Oct · III Liga - Group 3

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
8	ROW Rybnik	13	+4	20
15	Rakow II	13	−8	12

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · row rybnik winFirst published 24 Oct 00:02 · updated 25 Oct 01:59 · locked at kick-off

43% The market–

Us43%

We make ROW Rybnik a 43% chance to win. The model expects 1.6–1.8, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 9%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Rakow II v ROW Rybnik~~1.63 – 1.83

~~Form · last six in III Liga - Group 3 this season · since 13 Sept~~W2 D1 L3 · W4 D1 L1

~~Table places · points 12 v 20~~15 v 8

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · ROW Rybnik win

Published at 40%, 43% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Rakow II win	35%	–	–
Draw	22%	–	–
ROW Rybnik win	43%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	67%	–	–
Both teams to score	66%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	85%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	45%	–	–
Rakow II or draw	57%	–	–
Rakow II clean sheet	17%	–	–
ROW Rybnik clean sheet	20%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 9.3%

0123450 3.4 5.9 5.3 3.2 1 5.3 9.3 8.3 5.0 2.4 2 4.3 7.5 6.6 4.0 3 2.3 4.1 3.7 2.2 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Rakow II down, ROW Rybnik across0–5 goals a side shown (97.8% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,638 III Liga - Group 3 matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: III Liga - Group 3 matches have gone over 2.5 in 54.8% of games this season, across 124 played.

Head to head

No meeting between these two in any competition we cover since 2026/27.

Home and away form

Rakow II at home: 1.00 scored, 1.60 conceded a game (last 5). ROW Rybnik away: 0.50 scored, 1.67 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.63 goals for Rakow II, 1.83 for ROW Rybnik. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

No meetings since 2026/27

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2026/27.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in III Liga - Group 3 this season · since 13 Sept

RAKOW II

DWLLWL1–1 · 2–0 · 1–2 · 0–1 · 3–2 · 1–3

ROW RYBNIK

DWWWLW0–0 · 4–3 · 1–0 · 2–1 · 0–2 · 3–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Zaglebie Sosnowiec	14	+11	31
2	Odra Bytom Odrzański	14	+8	28
3	Sparta Katowice	13	+13	27
4	Zagłębie Lubin II	13	+9	24
5	Karkonosze Jelenia Góra	14	+6	22
6	Górnik Polkowice	14	+5	21
7	Barycz Sułów	13	+3	21
8	ROW Rybnik	13	+4	20
9	Miedź Legnica II	14	+1	17
10	Stilon Gorzów	13	+1	17
11	Stal Brzeg	14	+2	15
12	Goczałkowice Zdrój	14	−6	15
13	Kluczbork	12	−6	15
14	Warta Gorzów	13	−8	14
15	Rakow II	13	−8	12
16	Polonia Nysa	13	−11	12
17	Carina Gubin	13	−12	12
18	Ślęza Wrocław	13	−12	10