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Miedź Legnica II v Rakow II
III Liga - Group 3 · SAT 10 OCT
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Miedź Legnica II win at 60%.
- 2′Much as we predicted: Miedź Legnica II was 60% before kick-off and our model makes it 60% now. 0–0 · 60–19–21
- 2′KICK-OFF Miedź Legnica II v Rakow II
- 7′⚽ GOAL · 6' Miedź Legnica II 0–1 Rakow II
- 12′6′ and it is 0–1: D. Kabala on the scoresheet for Rakow II. 0–1 · 36–22–42
- 12′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 12' Miedź Legnica II win: 60% at kick-off, 36% now
- 12′THE CALL SWINGS · 12' Rakow II win is now our likeliest result at 42% (was Miedź Legnica II win 36%)
- 23′We said Miedź Legnica II at 60%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 32%. 0–1 · 32–24–44
- 33′We said Miedź Legnica II at 60%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 28%. 0–1 · 28–25–47
- 33′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 33' Miedź Legnica II win: 60% at kick-off, 28% now
- 44′We said Miedź Legnica II at 60%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 23%. 0–1 · 23–27–51
- 45′HALF-TIME Miedź Legnica II 0–1 Rakow II
- 46′SECOND HALF Miedź Legnica II 0–1 Rakow II
- 57′We said Miedź Legnica II at 60%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 16%. 0–1 · 16–27–57
- 57′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 57' Miedź Legnica II win: 60% at kick-off, 16% now
- 58′⚽ GOAL · 57' Miedź Legnica II 1–1 Rakow II
- 71′PENALTY MISSED · 68' Miedź Legnica II
- 74′⚽ GOAL · 73' Miedź Legnica II 2–1 Rakow II
- FTFULL TIME Miedź Legnica II 2–1 Rakow II
- FTMiedź Legnica II 2–1 Rakow II · Miedź Legnica II win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Over 3.5: wrong · 2–1 exactly: right
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
Match updates
Recorded match details below.
Timeline
Events will appear when the match starts.
Pre-match prediction
Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15
Match information
SAT 10 OCT · 10:00
The game so far
Recorded statisticsMatch statistics
Match statistics are not available yet.
Players on the pitch
Recorded line-upsLine-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics are not available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Miedź Legnica II a 60% chance to win. The market has them at 58%. We are within 2 points of the market. The model expects 2.5–1.4.
Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 58% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Miedź Legnica II win | 60% | 58% | +2 |
| Draw | 19% | 22% | −3 |
| Rakow II win | 21% | 20% | +1 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 74% | 66% | +8 |
| Both teams to score | 68% | 63% | +5 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 89% | 83% | +6 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 54% | 46% | +8 |
| Miedź Legnica II or draw | 79% | 80% | −1 |
| Miedź Legnica II clean sheet | 25% | – | – |
| Rakow II clean sheet | 9% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 7 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
0 meetings since 2021No previous meeting of these two in our records. We say so rather than invent one.
Form · last six in III Liga - Group 3
MIEDŹ LEGNICA II
RAKOW II
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sparta Katowice | 11 | +12 | 24 |
| 2 | Zagłębie Lubin II | 11 | +10 | 23 |
| 3 | Odra Bytom Odrzański | 11 | +7 | 23 |
| 4 | Barycz Sułów | 11 | +5 | 20 |
| 5 | Zaglebie Sosnowiec | 10 | +6 | 19 |
| 6 | Górnik Polkowice | 12 | +4 | 18 |
| 7 | ROW Rybnik | 11 | +5 | 17 |
| 8 | Stilon Gorzów | 12 | +1 | 16 |
| 9 | Karkonosze Jelenia Góra | 11 | +3 | 15 |
| 10 | Miedź Legnica II | 11 | +4 | 14 |
| 11 | Warta Gorzów | 11 | −6 | 14 |
| 12 | Kluczbork | 10 | −7 | 12 |
| 13 | Stal Brzeg | 11 | +1 | 11 |
| 14 | Goczałkowice Zdrój | 11 | −5 | 11 |
| 15 | Ślęza Wrocław | 11 | −9 | 10 |
| 16 | Rakow II | 9 | −5 | 9 |
| 17 | Polonia Nysa | 11 | −12 | 8 |
| 18 | Carina Gubin | 11 | −14 | 8 |
Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.
Sparta Katowice
Zagłębie Lubin II
Odra Bytom Odrzański
Barycz Sułów
Zaglebie Sosnowiec
Górnik Polkowice
ROW Rybnik
Stilon Gorzów
Karkonosze Jelenia Góra
Warta Gorzów
Kluczbork
Stal Brzeg
Goczałkowice Zdrój
Ślęza Wrocław
Polonia Nysa
Carina Gubin