Kluczbork v Karkonosze Jelenia Góra prediction · III Liga

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

KluczborkDrawKarkonosze Jelenia Góra

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 17:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Kluczbork 52%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Kluczbork are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Kluczbork 52%, draw 24%, Karkonosze Jelenia Góra 24%. Over 2.5 goals 51%, both teams to score 52%.

The AI’s read on Kluczbork v Karkonosze Jelenia GóraBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 24 Oct 00:02 · locked at kick-off

Kluczbork win52%

Draw24%

Karkonosze Jelenia Góra win24%

Kick-offFRI 30 OCT · 17:00

RoundGroup III · matchday 15

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Kluczbork

Karkonosze Jelenia Góra

13Days since last match6

Last match: 17 Oct · III Liga - Group 3

Last match: 24 Oct · III Liga - Group 3

1Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
8	Karkonosze Jelenia Góra	13	+4	19
13	Kluczbork	12	−6	15

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · kluczbork winFirst published 24 Oct 00:02 · locked at kick-off

52% The market–

Us52%

We make Kluczbork a 52% chance to win. The model expects 1.7–1.0, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 11%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Kluczbork v Karkonosze Jelenia Góra~~1.68 – 1.05

~~Form · last six in III Liga - Group 3 this season · since 5 Sept~~W2 D0 L4 · W3 D1 L2

~~Table places · points 15 v 19~~13 v 8

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Kluczbork win	52%	–	–
Draw	24%	–	–
Karkonosze Jelenia Góra win	24%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	51%	–	–
Both teams to score	52%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	75%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	29%	–	–
Kluczbork or draw	76%	–	–
Kluczbork clean sheet	36%	–	–
Karkonosze Jelenia Góra clean sheet	19%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 11.3%

0123450 6.8 6.9 3.6 1 11.0 11.3 5.9 2.1 2 9.2 9.4 4.9 3 5.2 5.3 2.8 4 2.2 2.3 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Kluczbork down, Karkonosze Jelenia Góra across0–5 goals a side shown (99.0% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,631 III Liga - Group 3 matches up to 23 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: III Liga - Group 3 matches have gone over 2.5 in 53.0% of games this season, across 117 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 8 previous meetings since 2021/22 in every competition we cover, 4.25 goals a meeting; 6 of 8 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Kluczbork at home: 1.67 scored, 1.50 conceded a game (last 6). Karkonosze Jelenia Góra away: 0.67 scored, 1.50 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.68 goals for Kluczbork, 1.05 for Karkonosze Jelenia Góra. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

8 meetings since 2021/22

~~Goals a meeting~~4.25

~~Over 2.5~~6 of 8

~~Both scored~~4 of 8

~~Last meetings~~KAR 1–4 KLU · KLU 6–3 KAR · KAR 1–0 KLU · KLU 6–0 KAR

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in III Liga - Group 3 this season · since 5 Sept

KLUCZBORK

LWLLLW0–3 · 3–2 · 1–2 · 1–3 · 0–1 · 2–0

KARKONOSZE JELENIA GÓRA

LWLWDW0–1 · 2–0 · 0–2 · 1–0 · 2–2 · 3–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Zaglebie Sosnowiec	14	+11	31
2	Sparta Katowice	13	+13	27
3	Odra Bytom Odrzański	13	+7	25
4	Zagłębie Lubin II	13	+9	24
5	Górnik Polkowice	14	+5	21
6	Barycz Sułów	13	+3	21
7	ROW Rybnik	13	+4	20
8	Karkonosze Jelenia Góra	13	+4	19
9	Miedź Legnica II	14	+1	17
10	Stilon Gorzów	13	+1	17
11	Stal Brzeg	13	+3	15
12	Goczałkowice Zdrój	14	−6	15
13	Kluczbork	12	−6	15
14	Warta Gorzów	13	−8	14
15	Rakow II	12	−6	12
16	Polonia Nysa	13	−11	12
17	Carina Gubin	13	−12	12
18	Ślęza Wrocław	13	−12	10