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Górnik Polkowice v Stilon Gorzów

Górnik Polkowice
4–1Full time
Stilon Gorzów

III Liga - Group 3 · FRI 9 OCT

Full timeGraded 9 Oct 17:04
Górnik Polkowice 4–1 Stilon Gorzów GÓRNIK POLKOWICE WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Górnik Polkowice win49%
The market said58%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.391
The market’s Brier score0.268

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

Górnik Polkowice win49%
Draw24%
Stilon Gorzów win27%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

FRI 9 OCT · 14:30

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · górnik polkowice winPublished 9 Oct 14:32
49% The market58%
Us49%
Market58%

We make Górnik Polkowice a 49% chance to win. The market has them at 58%. We are 9 points less confident than the market. The model expects 1.7–1.2.

How the number movedSince we published
45%50%55%60% 9 OCT 06:209 OCT 11:38
Our probability · górnik polkowice win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. The market has gone from 56% to 58% in the same time.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Górnik Polkowice win49%58%−9
Draw24%22%+1
Stilon Gorzów win27%20%+7
Over 2.5 goals57%60%−3
Both teams to score58%59%−1
Over 1.5 goals79%80%−1
Over 3.5 goals35%39%−5
Górnik Polkowice or draw73%80%−7
Górnik Polkowice clean sheet29%––
Stilon Gorzów clean sheet18%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 7 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 10.8%
0123450 5.4 6.4 4.0 1 8.9 10.8 6.6 2.8 2 7.7 9.2 5.7 2.4 3 4.5 5.4 3.3 4 2.4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Górnik Polkowice down, Stilon Gorzów across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

4 meetings since 2023
Goals a meeting3.75
Over 2.53 of 4
Both scored3 of 4
Last meetingsSTI 1–2 GOR · GOR 0–0 STI · STI 3–4 GOR · GOR 3–2 STI

Form · last six in III Liga - Group 3

GÓRNIK POLKOWICE

WWLLLD3–1 · 2–1 · 1–2 · 1–2 · 0–1 · 1–1

STILON GORZÓW

DDLDWW2–2 · 1–1 · 2–4 · 0–0 · 3–1 · 2–1

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Sparta Katowice11+1224
2Zagłębie Lubin II11+1023
3Odra Bytom Odrzański11+723
4Barycz Sułów11+520
5Zaglebie Sosnowiec10+619
6ROW Rybnik11+517
7Stilon Gorzów11+416
8Karkonosze Jelenia Góra11+315
9Górnik Polkowice11+115
10Miedź Legnica II11+414
11Warta Gorzów11−614
12Kluczbork10−712
13Stal Brzeg11+111
14Goczałkowice Zdrój11−511
15Ślęza Wrocław11−910
16Rakow II9−59
17Polonia Nysa11−128
18Carina Gubin11−148

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.