Goczałkowice Zdrój v Odra Bytom Odrzański prediction · III Liga

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Goczałkowice ZdrójDrawOdra Bytom Odrzański

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 12:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Goczałkowice Zdrój 42%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Goczałkowice Zdrój are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Goczałkowice Zdrój 42%, draw 28%, Odra Bytom Odrzański 30%. Over 2.5 goals 39%, both teams to score 45%.

The AI’s read on Goczałkowice Zdrój v Odra Bytom OdrzańskiBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

Goczałkowice Zdrój win42%

Draw28%

Odra Bytom Odrzański win30%

Kick-offSAT 31 OCT · 12:00

RoundGroup III · matchday 15

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Goczałkowice Zdrój

Odra Bytom Odrzański

7Days since last match7

Last match: 24 Oct · III Liga - Group 3

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
3	Odra Bytom Odrzański	14	+8	28
13	Goczałkowice Zdrój	14	−6	15

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · goczałkowice zdrój winFirst published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

42% The market–

Us42%

We make Goczałkowice Zdrój a 42% chance to win. The model expects 1.3–1.0, and 1–0 is the single most likely score at 13%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Goczałkowice Zdrój v Odra Bytom Odrzański~~1.26 – 1.00

~~Form · last six in III Liga - Group 3 this season · since 18 Sept~~W2 D1 L3 · W3 D2 L1

~~Table places · points 15 v 28~~13 v 3

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Goczałkowice Zdrój win	42%	–	–
Draw	28%	–	–
Odra Bytom Odrzański win	30%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	39%	–	–
Both teams to score	45%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	66%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	19%	–	–
Goczałkowice Zdrój or draw	70%	–	–
Goczałkowice Zdrój clean sheet	37%	–	–
Odra Bytom Odrzański clean sheet	29%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 13.1%

0123450 10.8 10.5 5.3 1 13.1 12.9 6.4 2.2 2 8.2 8.0 4.0 3 3.5 3.4 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Goczałkowice Zdrój down, Odra Bytom Odrzański across0–5 goals a side shown (99.7% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,638 III Liga - Group 3 matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: III Liga - Group 3 matches have gone over 2.5 in 54.8% of games this season, across 124 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 4 previous meetings since 2023/24 in every competition we cover, 2.00 goals a meeting; 0 of 4 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Goczałkowice Zdrój at home: 2.00 scored, 0.83 conceded a game (last 6). Odra Bytom Odrzański away: 0.67 scored, 0.17 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.26 goals for Goczałkowice Zdrój, 1.00 for Odra Bytom Odrzański. Most likely score 1–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

4 meetings since 2023/24

~~Goals a meeting~~2.00

~~Over 2.5~~0 of 4

~~Both scored~~3 of 4

~~Last meetings~~ODR 1–1 GOC · GOC 1–1 ODR · ODR 1–1 GOC · GOC 2–0 ODR

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in III Liga - Group 3 this season · since 18 Sept

GOCZAŁKOWICE ZDRÓJ

WLLDWL4–1 · 0–2 · 0–1 · 0–0 · 3–1 · 1–4

ODRA BYTOM ODRZAŃSKI

WWLDDW1–0 · 1–0 · 0–1 · 1–1 · 0–0 · 3–2

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Zaglebie Sosnowiec	14	+11	31
2	Sparta Katowice	14	+15	30
3	Odra Bytom Odrzański	14	+8	28
4	Zagłębie Lubin II	13	+9	24
5	ROW Rybnik	14	+7	23
6	Karkonosze Jelenia Góra	14	+6	22
7	Górnik Polkowice	14	+5	21
8	Barycz Sułów	14	+2	21
9	Kluczbork	13	−4	18
10	Miedź Legnica II	14	+1	17
11	Stilon Gorzów	13	+1	17
12	Stal Brzeg	14	+2	15
13	Goczałkowice Zdrój	14	−6	15
14	Warta Gorzów	14	−10	14
15	Ślęza Wrocław	14	−11	13
16	Rakow II	13	−8	12
17	Polonia Nysa	14	−14	12
18	Carina Gubin	14	−14	12