Home › Football › III Liga - Group 3 › Goczałkowice Zdrój v Barycz Sułów
Back

Goczałkowice Zdrój v Barycz Sułów
Goczałkowice Zdrój
Barycz SułówIII Liga - Group 3 · SAT 17 OCT
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Goczałkowice Zdrój win at 38%.
- 1′Little has changed for our model: Goczałkowice Zdrój 38% before kick-off, 38% now. 0–0 · 38–27–35
- 1′KICK-OFF Goczałkowice Zdrój v Barycz Sułów
- 2′A goal for Goczałkowice Zdrój on 2′ — 1–0. 1–0 · 65–20–15
- 2′We said Goczałkowice Zdrój at 38% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 65%. 1–0 · 65–20–15
- 2′⚽ GOAL · 2' Goczałkowice Zdrój 1–0 Barycz Sułów
- 2′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 2' Goczałkowice Zdrój win: 38% at kick-off, 65% now
- 21′Barycz Sułów score on 20′ to make it 1–1. 1–1 · 35–32–33
- 21′⚽ GOAL · 20' Goczałkowice Zdrój 1–1 Barycz Sułów
- 21′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 21' Goczałkowice Zdrój win: 38% at kick-off, 35% now
- 37′THE CALL SWINGS · 37' Draw is now our likeliest result at 37% (was Goczałkowice Zdrój win 32%)
- 45′HALF-TIME Goczałkowice Zdrój 1–1 Barycz Sułów
- 46′SECOND HALF Goczałkowice Zdrój 1–1 Barycz Sułów
- 52′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 52' Goczałkowice Zdrój win: 38% at kick-off, 28% now
- 57′We said Goczałkowice Zdrój at 38%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 26%. 1–1 · 26–49–25
- 58′The goal count is tracking the 2.5 we expected. 1–1 · 26–50–24
- 62′We said Goczałkowice Zdrój at 38%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 24%. 1–1 · 24–53–23
- 70′Goczałkowice Zdrój find the net on 70′. 2–1. 2–1 · 82–16–2
- 70′We said Goczałkowice Zdrój at 38% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 82%. 2–1 · 82–16–2
- 70′3 goals already, more than the 2.5 we expected for the whole match. 2–1 · 82–16–2
- 70′⚽ GOAL · 70' Goczałkowice Zdrój 2–1 Barycz Sułów
- 70′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 70' Goczałkowice Zdrój win: 38% at kick-off, 82% now
- 70′THE CALL SWINGS · 70' Goczałkowice Zdrój win is now our likeliest result at 82% (was Draw 16%)
- 75′We said Goczałkowice Zdrój at 38% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 85%. 2–1 · 85–14–1
- 78′A goal for Barycz Sułów on 78′ — 2–2. 2–2 · 13–74–13
- 78′We said Goczałkowice Zdrój at 38%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 13%. 2–2 · 13–74–13
- 78′⚽ GOAL · 78' Goczałkowice Zdrój 2–2 Barycz Sułów
- 78′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 78' Goczałkowice Zdrój win: 38% at kick-off, 13% now
- 78′THE CALL SWINGS · 78' Draw is now our likeliest result at 74% (was Goczałkowice Zdrój win 13%)
- 79′GOAL DISALLOWED · 79' Barycz Sułów
- 79′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 79' Goczałkowice Zdrój win: 38% at kick-off, 88% now
- 79′THE CALL SWINGS · 79' Goczałkowice Zdrój win is now our likeliest result at 88% (was Draw 11%)
- 81′We said Goczałkowice Zdrój at 38% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 90%. 2–1 · 90–10–1
- 88′We said Goczałkowice Zdrój at 38% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 95%. 2–1 · 95–5–0
- 90′A goal for Goczałkowice Zdrój on 90′ — 3–1. 3–1 · 100–0–0
- 90′We said Goczałkowice Zdrój at 38% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to over 99%. 3–1 · 100–0–0
- 90′⚽ GOAL · 90+1' Goczałkowice Zdrój 3–1 Barycz Sułów
- 90′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 90' Goczałkowice Zdrój win: 38% at kick-off, over 99% now
- 91′That is 4, and we only asked for 2.5 across ninety minutes. 3–1 · 100–0–0
- FTFULL TIME Goczałkowice Zdrój 3–1 Barycz Sułów
- FTGoczałkowice Zdrój 3–1 Barycz Sułów · Goczałkowice Zdrój win: right · Under 2.5: wrong · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
PassClose to call, with Goczałkowice Zdrój just ahead.
The Pitchside prediction: Goczałkowice Zdrój 38%, draw 27%, Barycz Sułów 35%. Over 2.5 goals 45%, both teams to score 50%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off
Goczałkowice Zdrój win38%
Barycz Sułów win35%Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 12:00
RoundGroup III · matchday 13
Match timeline
All events
Goczałkowice ZdrójMIN
Barycz SułówEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Goczałkowice Zdrój
Barycz Sułów
Last match: 10 Oct · III Liga - Group 3
Last match: 10 Oct · III Liga - Group 3
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Goczałkowice Zdrój a 38% chance to win. The market has them at 34%. We are 4 points more confident than the market. The model expects 1.3–1.2.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 34% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goczałkowice Zdrój win | 38% | 34% | +4 |
| Draw | 27% | 27% | 0 |
| Barycz Sułów win | 35% | 39% | −4 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 45% | 55% | −10 |
| Both teams to score | 50% | 59% | −9 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 71% | 77% | −6 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 24% | 34% | −10 |
| Goczałkowice Zdrój or draw | 65% | 61% | +4 |
| Goczałkowice Zdrój clean sheet | 30% | – | – |
| Barycz Sułów clean sheet | 28% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 5 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
No meetings since 2026/27No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2026/27.
Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in III Liga - Group 3 this season · since 5 Sept
GOCZAŁKOWICE ZDRÓJ
BARYCZ SUŁÓW
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zaglebie Sosnowiec | 12 | +8 | 25 |
| 2 | Sparta Katowice | 12 | +11 | 24 |
| 3 | Zagłębie Lubin II | 12 | +10 | 24 |
| 4 | Odra Bytom Odrzański | 12 | +7 | 24 |
| 5 | Barycz Sułów | 12 | +5 | 21 |
| 6 | ROW Rybnik | 12 | +6 | 20 |
| 7 | Karkonosze Jelenia Góra | 13 | +4 | 19 |
| 8 | Górnik Polkowice | 12 | +4 | 18 |
| 9 | Miedź Legnica II | 12 | +5 | 17 |
| 10 | Stilon Gorzów | 12 | +1 | 16 |
| 11 | Warta Gorzów | 12 | −7 | 14 |
| 12 | Stal Brzeg | 12 | +1 | 12 |
| 13 | Goczałkowice Zdrój | 12 | −5 | 12 |
| 14 | Kluczbork | 11 | −8 | 12 |
| 15 | Polonia Nysa | 13 | −11 | 12 |
| 16 | Ślęza Wrocław | 12 | −10 | 10 |
| 17 | Rakow II | 11 | −7 | 9 |
| 18 | Carina Gubin | 12 | −14 | 9 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.
Zaglebie Sosnowiec
Sparta Katowice
Zagłębie Lubin II
Odra Bytom Odrzański
ROW Rybnik
Karkonosze Jelenia Góra
Górnik Polkowice
Miedź Legnica II
Stilon Gorzów
Warta Gorzów
Stal Brzeg
Kluczbork
Polonia Nysa
Ślęza Wrocław
Rakow II
Carina Gubin