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Carina Gubin v Goczałkowice Zdrój

Carina Gubin

0–0Full time

Goczałkowice Zdrój

III Liga - Group 3 · SAT 10 OCT

Full timeGraded 11 Oct 01:30

Carina Gubin 0–0 Goczałkowice Zdrój CARINA GUBIN WIN · WRONGUNDER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · WRONGUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Carina Gubin win~~39%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.797

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

Carina Gubin win39%

Draw27%

Goczałkowice Zdrój win34%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

SAT 10 OCT · 14:00

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · carina gubin winPublished 10 Oct 23:45

39% The market–

Us39%

We make Carina Gubin a 39% chance to win. The model expects 1.3–1.2, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 13%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Carina Gubin win	39%	–	–
Draw	27%	–	–
Goczałkowice Zdrój win	34%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	45%	–	–
Both teams to score	50%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	70%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	24%	–	–
Carina Gubin or draw	66%	–	–
Carina Gubin clean sheet	31%	–	–
Goczałkowice Zdrój clean sheet	28%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 12.7%

0123450 8.8 10.0 5.9 2.4 1 10.9 12.7 7.4 3.0 2 7.0 8.1 4.8 3 3.1 3.6 2.1 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Carina Gubin down, Goczałkowice Zdrój across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,612 III Liga - Group 3 matches up to 10 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

III Liga - Group 3 matches have gone over 2.5 in 56.1% of games this season, across 98 played.

Head to head

10 previous meetings, 2.60 goals a meeting; 6 of 10 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Carina Gubin at home: 0.83 scored, 1.83 conceded a game (last 6). Goczałkowice Zdrój away: 0.33 scored, 2.00 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.29 goals for Carina Gubin, 1.18 for Goczałkowice Zdrój. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

10 meetings since 2021

~~Goals a meeting~~2.60

~~Over 2.5~~6 of 10

~~Both scored~~6 of 10

~~Last meetings~~GOC 1–2 CAR · CAR 1–2 GOC · GOC 1–2 CAR · CAR 1–3 GOC

Form · last six in III Liga - Group 3

CARINA GUBIN

LLDLLW0–1 · 1–2 · 1–1 · 0–3 · 1–3 · 1–0

GOCZAŁKOWICE ZDRÓJ

DWLWLL0–0 · 3–0 · 0–5 · 4–1 · 0–2 · 0–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Sparta Katowice	11	+12	24
2	Zagłębie Lubin II	11	+10	23
3	Odra Bytom Odrzański	11	+7	23
4	Barycz Sułów	11	+5	20
5	Zaglebie Sosnowiec	10	+6	19
6	Górnik Polkowice	12	+4	18
7	ROW Rybnik	11	+5	17
8	Stilon Gorzów	12	+1	16
9	Karkonosze Jelenia Góra	11	+3	15
10	Miedź Legnica II	11	+4	14
11	Warta Gorzów	11	−6	14
12	Kluczbork	10	−7	12
13	Stal Brzeg	11	+1	11
14	Goczałkowice Zdrój	11	−5	11
15	Ślęza Wrocław	11	−9	10
16	Rakow II	9	−5	9
17	Polonia Nysa	11	−12	8
18	Carina Gubin	11	−14	8