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Wda Świecie v Flota Świnoujście
Wda Świecie
Flota ŚwinoujścieIII Liga - Group 2 · SUN 18 OCT
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Wda Świecie win at 47%.
- 2′Little has changed for our model: Wda Świecie 47% before kick-off, 47% now. 0–0 · 47–25–29
- 2′KICK-OFF Wda Świecie v Flota Świnoujście
- 45′HALF-TIME Wda Świecie 0–0 Flota Świnoujście
- 47′SECOND HALF Wda Świecie 0–0 Flota Świnoujście
- 47′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 47' Wda Świecie win: 47% at kick-off, 37% now
- 53′We said Wda Świecie at 47%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 35%. 0–0 · 35–41–24
- 53′THE CALL SWINGS · 53' Draw is now our likeliest result at 41% (was Wda Świecie win 35%)
- 55′We said Wda Świecie at 47%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 34%. 0–0 · 34–42–23
- 55′Goalless on 55′ when we expected about 3.0 goals — that one is getting away from us. 0–0 · 34–42–23
- 65′We said Wda Świecie at 47%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 29%. 0–0 · 29–51–20
- 67′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 67' Wda Świecie win: 47% at kick-off, 27% now
- 71′We said Wda Świecie at 47%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 24%. 0–0 · 24–58–17
- 77′A goal for Wda Świecie on 76′ — 1–0. 1–0 · 86–12–1
- 77′We said Wda Świecie at 47% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 86%. 1–0 · 86–12–1
- 77′⚽ GOAL · 76' Wda Świecie 1–0 Flota Świnoujście
- 77′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 77' Wda Świecie win: 47% at kick-off, 86% now
- 77′THE CALL SWINGS · 77' Wda Świecie win is now our likeliest result at 86% (was Draw 12%)
- 78′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 78' Wda Świecie win: 47% at kick-off, 87% now
- 83′We said Wda Świecie at 47% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 92%. 1–0 · 92–8–0
- 88′We said Wda Świecie at 47% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 95%. 1–0 · 95–5–0
- 91′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 90+1' Wda Świecie win: 47% at kick-off, 97% now
- FTFULL TIME Wda Świecie 1–0 Flota Świnoujście
- FTWda Świecie 1–0 Flota Świnoujście · Wda Świecie win: right · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
Wda Świecie are favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Wda Świecie 47%, draw 24%, Flota Świnoujście 29%. Over 2.5 goals 58%, both teams to score 59%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off
Wda Świecie win47%
Flota Świnoujście win29%Kick-offSUN 18 OCT · 13:00
RoundGroup II · matchday 13
Match timeline
All events
Wda ŚwiecieMIN
Flota ŚwinoujścieEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Wda Świecie
Flota Świnoujście
Last match: 14 Oct · III Liga - Group 2
Last match: 9 Oct · III Liga - Group 2
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Wda Świecie a 47% chance to win. The market has them at 51%. We are 4 points less confident than the market. The model expects 1.7–1.3.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Published at 45%, 47% now. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 51% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wda Świecie win | 47% | 51% | −4 |
| Draw | 24% | 25% | −1 |
| Flota Świnoujście win | 29% | 25% | +4 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 58% | 58% | 0 |
| Both teams to score | 59% | 60% | −1 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 81% | 79% | +2 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 36% | 39% | −3 |
| Wda Świecie or draw | 71% | 75% | −4 |
| Wda Świecie clean sheet | 28% | – | – |
| Flota Świnoujście clean sheet | 18% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 5 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
4 meetings since 2024/25Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in III Liga - Group 2 this season · since 4 Sept
WDA ŚWIECIE
FLOTA ŚWINOUJŚCIE
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Polonia Środa | 12 | +19 | 30 |
| 2 | Luzino | 13 | +20 | 28 |
| 3 | Kluczevia Stargard | 12 | +2 | 22 |
| 4 | Wda Świecie | 12 | +1 | 21 |
| 5 | Stargard Szczeciński | 13 | +7 | 19 |
| 6 | Bałtyk Koszalin | 13 | +3 | 19 |
| 7 | Lech Poznań II | 11 | +1 | 18 |
| 8 | Noteć Czarnków | 13 | 0 | 17 |
| 9 | Kalisz | 13 | −2 | 17 |
| 10 | Grom Nowy Staw | 13 | +1 | 16 |
| 11 | Elana Toruń | 13 | −3 | 16 |
| 12 | Unia Swarzędz | 13 | +1 | 15 |
| 13 | Gedania Gdansk | 13 | 0 | 15 |
| 14 | Flota Świnoujście | 12 | −6 | 14 |
| 15 | Chemik Bydgoszcz | 13 | −7 | 12 |
| 16 | Victoria Września | 13 | −11 | 12 |
| 17 | Lipno Stęszew | 13 | −10 | 11 |
| 18 | Kotwica Kórnik | 13 | −16 | 11 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.
Polonia Środa
Luzino
Kluczevia Stargard
Stargard Szczeciński
Bałtyk Koszalin
Lech Poznań II
Noteć Czarnków
Kalisz
Grom Nowy Staw
Elana Toruń
Unia Swarzędz
Gedania Gdansk
Chemik Bydgoszcz
Victoria Września
Lipno Stęszew
Kotwica Kórnik