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Luzino v Wda Świecie
III Liga - Group 2 · SAT 10 OCT
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Luzino win at 69%.
- 2′Little has changed for our model: Luzino 69% before kick-off, 69% now. 0–0 · 69–17–14
- 2′KICK-OFF Luzino v Wda Świecie
- 13′A goal for Luzino on 9′ — 1–0. 1–0 · 86–10–5
- 13′⚽ GOAL · 9' Luzino 1–0 Wda Świecie
- 13′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 13' Luzino win: 69% at kick-off, 86% now
- 23′We said Luzino at 69% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 85%. 1–0 · 85–11–5
- 45′We said Luzino at 69% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 84%. 1–0 · 84–12–4
- 45′HALF-TIME Luzino 1–0 Wda Świecie
- 47′SECOND HALF Luzino 1–0 Wda Świecie
- 54′⚽ GOAL · 53' Luzino 2–0 Wda Świecie
- 71′⚽ GOAL · 70' Luzino 3–0 Wda Świecie
- FTFULL TIME Luzino 3–0 Wda Świecie
- FTLuzino 3–0 Wda Świecie · Luzino win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Over 3.5: wrong · 2–1 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
Match updates
Recorded match details below.
Timeline
Events will appear when the match starts.
Pre-match prediction
Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15
Match information
SAT 10 OCT · 11:00
The game so far
Recorded statisticsMatch statistics
Match statistics are not available yet.
Players on the pitch
Recorded line-upsLine-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics are not available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Luzino a 69% chance to win. The market has them at 67%. We are within 2 points of the market. The model expects 2.6–1.1.
Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 67% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Luzino win | 69% | 67% | +2 |
| Draw | 17% | 19% | −2 |
| Wda Świecie win | 14% | 14% | 0 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 71% | 66% | +5 |
| Both teams to score | 61% | 58% | +3 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 88% | 83% | +5 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 50% | 46% | +4 |
| Luzino or draw | 86% | 86% | 0 |
| Luzino clean sheet | 34% | – | – |
| Wda Świecie clean sheet | 8% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 7 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
2 meetings since 2025Form · last six in III Liga - Group 2
LUZINO
WDA ŚWIECIE
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Polonia Środa | 12 | +19 | 30 |
| 2 | Luzino | 11 | +18 | 25 |
| 3 |  Kluczevia Stargard | 10 | +4 | 19 |
| 4 |  Stargard Szczeciński | 11 | +8 | 18 |
| 5 | Wda Świecie | 10 | +1 | 18 |
| 6 |  Kalisz | 11 | +1 | 17 |
| 7 |  Noteć Czarnków | 11 | +3 | 16 |
| 8 |  Lech Poznań II | 9 | +2 | 15 |
| 9 |  Bałtyk Koszalin | 11 | 0 | 15 |
| 10 |  Flota Świnoujście | 12 | −6 | 14 |
| 11 |  Unia Swarzędz | 11 | +1 | 13 |
| 12 |  Grom Nowy Staw | 11 | 0 | 13 |
| 13 |  Elana Toruń | 12 | −5 | 13 |
| 14 |  Gedania Gdansk | 11 | −1 | 11 |
| 15 |  Kotwica Kórnik | 11 | −14 | 10 |
| 16 |  Chemik Bydgoszcz | 10 | −7 | 9 |
| 17 |  Victoria Września | 11 | −12 | 8 |
| 18 |  Lipno Stęszew | 11 | −12 | 5 |
Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.