Luzino v Lech Poznań II

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Luzino win at 64%.
2. 1′Much as we predicted: Luzino was 64% before kick-off and our model makes it 64% now. 0–0 · 64–17–19
3. 1′KICK-OFF Luzino v Lech Poznań II
4. 7′Lech Poznań II score on 7′ to make it 0–1. 0–1 · 42–20–37
5. 7′⚽ GOAL · 7' Luzino 0–1 Lech Poznań II
6. 7′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 7' Luzino win: 64% at kick-off, 42% now
7. 8′We said Luzino at 64%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 42%. 0–1 · 42–20–37
8. 12′Lech Poznań II find the net on 12′. 0–2. 0–2 · 23–18–59
9. 12′We said Luzino at 64%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 23%. 0–2 · 23–18–59
10. 12′⚽ GOAL · 12' Luzino 0–2 Lech Poznań II
11. 12′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 12' Luzino win: 64% at kick-off, 23% now
12. 12′THE CALL SWINGS · 12' Lech Poznań II win is now our likeliest result at 59% (was Luzino win 41%)
13. 22′We said Luzino at 64%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 19%. 0–2 · 19–18–63
14. 35′We said Luzino at 64%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 14%. 0–2 · 14–17–69
15. 35′Goals are coming at about the 4.2 we expected. 0–2 · 14–17–69
16. 35′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 35' Luzino win: 64% at kick-off, 14% now
17. 39′A goal for Lech Poznań II on 39′ — 0–3. 0–3 · 5–8–87
18. 39′⚽ GOAL · 39' Luzino 0–3 Lech Poznań II
19. 40′We said Luzino at 64%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 4%. 0–3 · 4–8–88
20. 40′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 40' Luzino win: 64% at kick-off, 4% now
21. 45′HALF-TIME Luzino 0–3 Lech Poznań II
22. 47′SECOND HALF Luzino 0–3 Lech Poznań II
23. 54′Luzino score on 53′ to make it 1–3. 1–3 · 7–14–79
24. 54′We said Luzino at 64%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 7%. 1–3 · 7–14–79
25. 54′⚽ GOAL · 53' Luzino 1–3 Lech Poznań II
26. 88′Luzino find the net on 88′. 2–3. 2–3 · 1–10–89
27. 88′⚽ GOAL · 88' Luzino 2–3 Lech Poznań II
28. 89′That is 5, and we only asked for 4.2 across ninety minutes. 2–3 · 1–9–90
29. 90′A goal for Lech Poznań II on 90′ — 2–4. 2–4 · 0–0–100
30. 90′6 goals already, more than the 4.2 we expected for the whole match. 2–4 · 0–0–100
31. 90′⚽ GOAL · 90+1' Luzino 2–4 Lech Poznań II
32. FTFULL TIME Luzino 2–4 Lech Poznań II
33. FTLuzino 2–4 Lech Poznań II · Luzino win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Over 3.5: right · 2–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.