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Kluczevia Stargard v Flota Świnoujście
Kluczevia Stargard
Flota ŚwinoujścieIII Liga - Group 2 · SAT 24 OCT
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Kluczevia Stargard win at 58%.
- 2′Little has changed for our model: Kluczevia Stargard 58% before kick-off, 57% now. 0–0 · 57–22–20
- 2′KICK-OFF Kluczevia Stargard v Flota Świnoujście
- 24′Kluczevia Stargard find the net on 24′. 1–0. 1–0 · 79–14–6
- 24′We said Kluczevia Stargard at 58% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 79%. 1–0 · 79–14–6
- 24′⚽ GOAL · 24' Kluczevia Stargard 1–0 Flota Świnoujście
- 24′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 24' Kluczevia Stargard win: 58% at kick-off, 79% now
- 25′A goal for Kluczevia Stargard on 25′ — 2–0. 2–0 · 94–5–1
- 25′We said Kluczevia Stargard at 58% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 94%. 2–0 · 94–5–1
- 25′⚽ GOAL · 25' Kluczevia Stargard 2–0 Flota Świnoujście
- 25′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 25' Kluczevia Stargard win: 58% at kick-off, 94% now
- 37′We said Kluczevia Stargard at 58% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 95%. 2–0 · 95–4–1
- 45′HALF-TIME Kluczevia Stargard 2–0 Flota Świnoujście
- 46′SECOND HALF Kluczevia Stargard 2–0 Flota Świnoujście
- 47′The goal count is tracking the 3.1 we expected. 2–0 · 96–4–1
- 64′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 64' Kluczevia Stargard win: 58% at kick-off, 98% now
- 73′Flota Świnoujście score on 73′ to make it 2–1. 2–1 · 87–12–1
- 73′We said Kluczevia Stargard at 58% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 87%. 2–1 · 87–12–1
- 73′⚽ GOAL · 73' Kluczevia Stargard 2–1 Flota Świnoujście
- 73′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 73' Kluczevia Stargard win: 58% at kick-off, 87% now
- 82′Flota Świnoujście find the net on 82′. 2–2. 2–2 · 15–77–8
- 82′We said Kluczevia Stargard at 58%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 15%. 2–2 · 15–77–8
- 82′⚽ GOAL · 82' Kluczevia Stargard 2–2 Flota Świnoujście
- 82′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 82' Kluczevia Stargard win: 58% at kick-off, 15% now
- 82′THE CALL SWINGS · 82' Draw is now our likeliest result at 77% (was Kluczevia Stargard win 91%)
- 83′We said Kluczevia Stargard at 58%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 13%. 2–2 · 13–80–7
- 83′That is 4, and we only asked for 3.1 across ninety minutes. 2–2 · 13–80–7
- 87′We said Kluczevia Stargard at 58%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 9%. 2–2 · 9–86–5
- 88′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 88' Kluczevia Stargard win: 58% at kick-off, 8% now
- 92′We said Kluczevia Stargard at 58%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 4%. 2–2 · 4–93–2
- FTFULL TIME Kluczevia Stargard 2–2 Flota Świnoujście
- FTKluczevia Stargard 2–2 Flota Świnoujście · Kluczevia Stargard win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
Kluczevia Stargard are favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Kluczevia Stargard 58%, draw 22%, Flota Świnoujście 20%. Over 2.5 goals 59%, both teams to score 57%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off
Kluczevia Stargard win58%
Flota Świnoujście win20%Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 13:00
RoundGroup II · matchday 14
Match timeline
All events
Kluczevia StargardMIN
Flota ŚwinoujścieEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Kluczevia Stargard
Flota Świnoujście
Last match: 17 Oct · III Liga - Group 2
Last match: 18 Oct · III Liga - Group 2
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Kluczevia Stargard a 58% chance to win. The market has them at 58%. We are level with the market. The model expects 2.0–1.1.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 58% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kluczevia Stargard win | 58% | 58% | 0 |
| Draw | 22% | 23% | −1 |
| Flota Świnoujście win | 20% | 19% | +1 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 59% | 59% | 0 |
| Both teams to score | 57% | 58% | −1 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 81% | 80% | +1 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 37% | 38% | −1 |
| Kluczevia Stargard or draw | 80% | 81% | −1 |
| Kluczevia Stargard clean sheet | 34% | – | – |
| Flota Świnoujście clean sheet | 14% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 7 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
2 meetings since 2023/24Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in III Liga - Group 2 this season · since 5 Sept
KLUCZEVIA STARGARD
FLOTA ŚWINOUJŚCIE
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Polonia Środa | 13 | +20 | 33 |
| 2 | Luzino | 13 | +20 | 28 |
| 3 | Wda Świecie | 13 | +2 | 24 |
| 4 | Kluczevia Stargard | 12 | +2 | 22 |
| 5 | Stargard Szczeciński | 13 | +7 | 19 |
| 6 | Bałtyk Koszalin | 13 | +3 | 19 |
| 7 | Lech Poznań II | 12 | 0 | 18 |
| 8 | Noteć Czarnków | 13 | 0 | 17 |
| 9 | Kalisz | 13 | −2 | 17 |
| 10 | Grom Nowy Staw | 13 | +1 | 16 |
| 11 | Elana Toruń | 13 | −3 | 16 |
| 12 | Unia Swarzędz | 13 | +1 | 15 |
| 13 | Gedania Gdansk | 13 | 0 | 15 |
| 14 | Flota Świnoujście | 13 | −7 | 14 |
| 15 | Chemik Bydgoszcz | 13 | −7 | 12 |
| 16 | Victoria Września | 13 | −11 | 12 |
| 17 | Lipno Stęszew | 13 | −10 | 11 |
| 18 | Kotwica Kórnik | 13 | −16 | 11 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.
Polonia Środa
Luzino
Wda Świecie
Stargard Szczeciński
Bałtyk Koszalin
Lech Poznań II
Noteć Czarnków
Kalisz
Grom Nowy Staw
Elana Toruń
Unia Swarzędz
Gedania Gdansk
Chemik Bydgoszcz
Victoria Września
Lipno Stęszew
Kotwica Kórnik