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Grom Nowy Staw v Chemik Bydgoszcz
Grom Nowy Staw
Chemik BydgoszczIII Liga - Group 2 · SAT 17 OCT
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Grom Nowy Staw win at 52%.
- 2′Little has changed for our model: Grom Nowy Staw 52% before kick-off, 52% now. 0–0 · 52–20–28
- 2′KICK-OFF Grom Nowy Staw v Chemik Bydgoszcz
- 22′A goal for Chemik Bydgoszcz on 21′ — 0–1. 0–1 · 27–22–51
- 22′We said Grom Nowy Staw at 52%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 27%. 0–1 · 27–22–51
- 22′⚽ GOAL · 21' Grom Nowy Staw 0–1 Chemik Bydgoszcz
- 22′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 22' Grom Nowy Staw win: 52% at kick-off, 27% now
- 22′THE CALL SWINGS · 22' Chemik Bydgoszcz win is now our likeliest result at 51% (was Grom Nowy Staw win 27%)
- 23′GOAL DISALLOWED · 23' Chemik Bydgoszcz
- 23′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 23' Grom Nowy Staw win: 52% at kick-off, 49% now
- 23′THE CALL SWINGS · 23' Grom Nowy Staw win is now our likeliest result at 49% (was Chemik Bydgoszcz win 28%)
- 32′A goal for Grom Nowy Staw on 31′ — 1–0. 1–0 · 73–17–11
- 32′⚽ GOAL · 31' Grom Nowy Staw 1–0 Chemik Bydgoszcz
- 32′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 32' Grom Nowy Staw win: 52% at kick-off, 73% now
- 33′We said Grom Nowy Staw at 52% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 73%. 1–0 · 73–17–11
- 45′HALF-TIME Grom Nowy Staw 1–0 Chemik Bydgoszcz
- 47′SECOND HALF Grom Nowy Staw 1–0 Chemik Bydgoszcz
- 53′We said Grom Nowy Staw at 52% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 75%. 1–0 · 75–18–7
- 70′We said Grom Nowy Staw at 52% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 80%. 1–0 · 80–17–4
- 74′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 74' Grom Nowy Staw win: 52% at kick-off, 82% now
- 78′We said Grom Nowy Staw at 52% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 85%. 1–0 · 85–14–2
- 83′We said Grom Nowy Staw at 52% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 90%. 1–0 · 90–10–1
- 86′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 86' Grom Nowy Staw win: 52% at kick-off, 92% now
- 90′Grom Nowy Staw score on 90′ to make it 2–0. 2–0 · 100–0–0
- 90′We said Grom Nowy Staw at 52% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to over 99%. 2–0 · 100–0–0
- 90′⚽ GOAL · 90' Grom Nowy Staw 2–0 Chemik Bydgoszcz
- FTFULL TIME Grom Nowy Staw 2–0 Chemik Bydgoszcz
- FTGrom Nowy Staw 2–0 Chemik Bydgoszcz · Grom Nowy Staw win: right · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Over 3.5: wrong · 2–1 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
PassGrom Nowy Staw are favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Grom Nowy Staw 52%, draw 20%, Chemik Bydgoszcz 28%. Over 2.5 goals 76%, both teams to score 73%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off
Grom Nowy Staw win52%
Chemik Bydgoszcz win28%Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 11:00
RoundGroup II · matchday 13
Match timeline
All events
Grom Nowy StawMIN
Chemik BydgoszczEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Grom Nowy Staw
Chemik Bydgoszcz
Last match: 10 Oct · III Liga - Group 2
Last match: 10 Oct · III Liga - Group 2
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Grom Nowy Staw a 52% chance to win. The market has them at 44%. We are 8 points more confident than the market. The model expects 2.4–1.7.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 44% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Grom Nowy Staw win | 52% | 44% | +8 |
| Draw | 20% | 25% | −5 |
| Chemik Bydgoszcz win | 28% | 31% | −3 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 76% | 64% | +12 |
| Both teams to score | 73% | 67% | +6 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 91% | 82% | +9 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 57% | 45% | +12 |
| Grom Nowy Staw or draw | 72% | 69% | +3 |
| Grom Nowy Staw clean sheet | 19% | – | – |
| Chemik Bydgoszcz clean sheet | 10% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 5 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
No meetings since 2026/27No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2026/27.
Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in III Liga - Group 2 this season · since 5 Sept
GROM NOWY STAW
CHEMIK BYDGOSZCZ
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Polonia Środa | 12 | +19 | 30 |
| 2 | Luzino | 12 | +21 | 28 |
| 3 | Wda Świecie | 12 | +1 | 21 |
| 4 | Kluczevia Stargard | 11 | +1 | 19 |
| 5 | Stargard Szczeciński | 12 | +7 | 18 |
| 6 | Lech Poznań II | 11 | +1 | 18 |
| 7 | Noteć Czarnków | 12 | +3 | 17 |
| 8 | Kalisz | 12 | −1 | 17 |
| 9 | Bałtyk Koszalin | 12 | 0 | 16 |
| 10 | Unia Swarzędz | 12 | +1 | 14 |
| 11 | Gedania Gdansk | 12 | 0 | 14 |
| 12 | Flota Świnoujście | 12 | −6 | 14 |
| 13 | Grom Nowy Staw | 12 | −1 | 13 |
| 14 | Elana Toruń | 12 | −5 | 13 |
| 15 | Chemik Bydgoszcz | 12 | −5 | 12 |
| 16 | Victoria Września | 12 | −11 | 11 |
| 17 | Kotwica Kórnik | 12 | −14 | 11 |
| 18 | Lipno Stęszew | 12 | −11 | 8 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.
Polonia Środa
Luzino
Wda Świecie
Kluczevia Stargard
Stargard Szczeciński
Lech Poznań II
Noteć Czarnków
Kalisz
Bałtyk Koszalin
Unia Swarzędz
Gedania Gdansk
Flota Świnoujście
Elana Toruń
Victoria Września
Kotwica Kórnik
Lipno Stęszew