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Weszlo v Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki
Weszlo
Mazovia Minsk MazowieckiIII Liga - Group 1 · SUN 18 OCT
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Weszlo win at 53%.
- 2′Little has changed for our model: Weszlo 53% before kick-off, 53% now. 0–0 · 53–22–25
- 2′KICK-OFF Weszlo v Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki
- 15′A goal for Weszlo on 14′ — 1–0. 1–0 · 75–15–10
- 15′We said Weszlo at 53% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 75%. 1–0 · 75–15–10
- 15′⚽ GOAL · 14' Weszlo 1–0 Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki
- 15′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 15' Weszlo win: 53% at kick-off, 75% now
- 30′The goal count is tracking the 3.5 we expected. 1–0 · 75–16–9
- 45′Weszlo score on 45′ to make it 2–0. 2–0 · 93–5–1
- 45′We said Weszlo at 53% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 93%. 2–0 · 93–5–1
- 45′⚽ GOAL · 45' Weszlo 2–0 Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki
- 45′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 45' Weszlo win: 53% at kick-off, 93% now
- 45′HALF-TIME Weszlo 2–0 Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki
- 46′SECOND HALF Weszlo 2–0 Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki
- 55′We said Weszlo at 53% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 95%. 2–0 · 95–4–1
- 57′Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki find the net on 56′. 2–1. 2–1 · 78–17–5
- 57′⚽ GOAL · 56' Weszlo 2–1 Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki
- 57′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 57' Weszlo win: 53% at kick-off, 78% now
- 64′We said Weszlo at 53% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 80%. 2–1 · 80–16–4
- 71′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 71' Weszlo win: 53% at kick-off, 83% now
- 75′We said Weszlo at 53% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 85%. 2–1 · 85–13–2
- 82′A goal for Weszlo on 82′ — 3–1. 3–1 · 99–1–0
- 82′⚽ GOAL · 82' Weszlo 3–1 Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki
- 82′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 82' Weszlo win: 53% at kick-off, 99% now
- 83′We said Weszlo at 53% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to over 99%. 3–1 · 100–0–0
- 83′That is 4, and we only asked for 3.5 across ninety minutes. 3–1 · 100–0–0
- 87′Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki score on 87′ to make it 3–2. 3–2 · 94–6–0
- 87′5 goals already, more than the 3.5 we expected for the whole match. 3–2 · 94–6–0
- 87′⚽ GOAL · 87' Weszlo 3–2 Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki
- FTFULL TIME Weszlo 3–2 Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki
- FTWeszlo 3–2 Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki · Weszlo win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
Weszlo are favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Weszlo 53%, draw 22%, Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki 25%. Over 2.5 goals 68%, both teams to score 66%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off
Weszlo win53%
Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki win25%Kick-offSUN 18 OCT · 14:00
RoundGroup I · matchday 13
Match timeline
All events
WeszloMIN
Mazovia Minsk MazowieckiEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Weszlo
Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki
Last match: 11 Oct · III Liga - Group 1
Last match: 10 Oct · III Liga - Group 1
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Weszlo a 53% chance to win. The market has them at 43%. We are 10 points more confident than the market. The model expects 2.1–1.4.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Published at 54%, 53% now. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 43% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Weszlo win | 53% | 43% | +10 |
| Draw | 22% | 25% | −3 |
| Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki win | 25% | 31% | −6 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 68% | 60% | +8 |
| Both teams to score | 66% | 63% | +3 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 86% | 80% | +6 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 46% | 40% | +6 |
| Weszlo or draw | 75% | 69% | +6 |
| Weszlo clean sheet | 25% | – | – |
| Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki clean sheet | 13% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 5 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
No meetings since 2026/27No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2026/27.
Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in III Liga - Group 1 this season · since 5 Sept
WESZLO
MAZOVIA MINSK MAZOWIECKI
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Weszlo | 12 | +16 | 29 |
| 2 | Wigry Suwałki | 13 | +14 | 28 |
| 3 | Pelikan Łowicz | 13 | +4 | 23 |
| 4 | Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki | 12 | +6 | 21 |
| 5 | Wisła Płock II | 13 | +4 | 21 |
| 6 | Ząbkovia Ząbki | 12 | +4 | 20 |
| 7 | Swit | 12 | +3 | 20 |
| 8 | Olimpia Zambrów | 13 | +1 | 20 |
| 9 | Warta Sieradz | 12 | +1 | 18 |
| 10 | Olimpia Elbląg | 13 | −3 | 17 |
| 11 | Jagiellonia II | 12 | +1 | 16 |
| 12 | ŁKS Łódź II | 13 | −1 | 15 |
| 13 | Widzew II | 11 | +1 | 14 |
| 14 | Lechia T. Mazowiecki | 12 | −5 | 13 |
| 15 | Mławianka Mława | 13 | −10 | 13 |
| 16 | Polonia Lidzbark Warm. | 13 | −6 | 12 |
| 17 | Troszyn | 12 | −12 | 10 |
| 18 | Łomża | 13 | −18 | 3 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.
Wigry Suwałki
Pelikan Łowicz
Wisła Płock II
Ząbkovia Ząbki
Swit
Olimpia Zambrów
Warta Sieradz
Olimpia Elbląg
Jagiellonia II
ŁKS Łódź II
Widzew II
Lechia T. Mazowiecki
Mławianka Mława
Polonia Lidzbark Warm.
Troszyn
Łomża