Warta Sieradz v Wisła Płock II

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Warta Sieradz win at 48%.
2. 3′Much as we predicted: Warta Sieradz was 48% before kick-off and our model makes it 47% now. 0–0 · 47–25–28
3. 3′KICK-OFF Warta Sieradz v Wisła Płock II
4. 35′Wisła Płock II find the net on 33′. 0–1. 0–1 · 17–24–59
5. 35′We said Warta Sieradz at 48%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 17%. 0–1 · 17–24–59
6. 35′Goals are coming at about the 3.0 we expected. 0–1 · 17–24–59
7. 35′⚽ GOAL · 33' Warta Sieradz 0–1 Wisła Płock II
8. 35′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 35' Warta Sieradz win: 48% at kick-off, 17% now
9. 35′THE CALL SWINGS · 35' Wisła Płock II win is now our likeliest result at 59% (was Warta Sieradz win 17%)
10. 36′Wisła Płock II find the net on 32′. 0–1. 0–1 · 17–25–59
11. 37′A goal for Warta Sieradz on 37′ — 1–1. 1–1 · 41–33–26
12. 37′⚽ GOAL · 37' Warta Sieradz 1–1 Wisła Płock II
13. 37′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 37' Warta Sieradz win: 48% at kick-off, 41% now
14. 37′THE CALL SWINGS · 37' Warta Sieradz win is now our likeliest result at 41% (was Wisła Płock II win 26%)
15. 40′B. Bieronski scores for Warta Sieradz on 36′ — 1–1. 1–1 · 40–34–26
16. 45′HALF-TIME Warta Sieradz 1–1 Wisła Płock II
17. 46′SECOND HALF Warta Sieradz 1–1 Wisła Płock II
18. 51′We said Warta Sieradz at 48%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 36%. 1–1 · 36–40–24
19. 55′We said Warta Sieradz at 48%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 34%. 1–1 · 34–43–23
20. 55′THE CALL SWINGS · 55' Draw is now our likeliest result at 43% (was Warta Sieradz win 34%)
21. 59′Warta Sieradz score on 58′ to make it 2–1. 2–1 · 78–17–4
22. 59′We published Warta Sieradz at 48%. Our model now makes it 78%. 2–1 · 78–17–4
23. 59′⚽ GOAL · 58' Warta Sieradz 2–1 Wisła Płock II
24. 59′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 59' Warta Sieradz win: 48% at kick-off, 78% now
25. 59′THE CALL SWINGS · 59' Warta Sieradz win is now our likeliest result at 78% (was Draw 17%)
26. 61′That is 3, and we only asked for 3.0 across ninety minutes. 2–1 · 79–17–4
27. 63′We published Warta Sieradz at 48%. Our model now makes it 80%. 2–1 · 80–17–4
28. 67′Warta Sieradz find the net on 67′. 3–1. 3–1 · 97–3–0
29. 67′We published Warta Sieradz at 48%. Our model now makes it 97%. 3–1 · 97–3–0
30. 67′⚽ GOAL · 67' Warta Sieradz 3–1 Wisła Płock II
31. 67′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 67' Warta Sieradz win: 48% at kick-off, 97% now
32. 68′GOAL DISALLOWED · 68' Warta Sieradz
33. 68′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 68' Warta Sieradz win: 48% at kick-off, 82% now
34. 74′We published Warta Sieradz at 48%. Our model now makes it 85%. 2–1 · 85–14–2
35. 79′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 79' Warta Sieradz win: 48% at kick-off, 88% now
36. 81′We published Warta Sieradz at 48%. Our model now makes it 90%. 2–1 · 90–9–1
37. 93′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 90+3' Warta Sieradz win: 48% at kick-off, 98% now
38. 94′A red card for Wisła Płock II on 90′. The model does not price cards, so read the number with that in mind. 2–1 · 99–1–0
39. 94′🟥 RED CARD · 90+4' Wisła Płock II
40. FTFULL TIME Warta Sieradz 2–1 Wisła Płock II
41. FTWarta Sieradz 2–1 Wisła Płock II · Warta Sieradz win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.