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ŁKS Łódź II v Ząbkovia Ząbki
ŁKS Łódź II
Ząbkovia ZąbkiIII Liga - Group 1 · WED 14 OCT
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said ŁKS Łódź II win at 59%.
- 2′Much as we predicted: ŁKS Łódź II was 59% before kick-off and our model makes it 59% now. 0–0 · 59–18–23
- 2′KICK-OFF ŁKS Łódź II v Ząbkovia Ząbki
- 18′Ząbkovia Ząbki find the net on 17′. 0–1. 0–1 · 34–22–44
- 18′⚽ GOAL · 17' ŁKS Łódź II 0–1 Ząbkovia Ząbki
- 18′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 18' ŁKS Łódź II win: 59% at kick-off, 34% now
- 18′THE CALL SWINGS · 18' Ząbkovia Ząbki win is now our likeliest result at 44% (was ŁKS Łódź II win 34%)
- 19′We said ŁKS Łódź II at 59%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 34%. 0–1 · 34–22–44
- 23′A goal for Ząbkovia Ząbki on 23′ — 0–2. 0–2 · 16–17–67
- 23′⚽ GOAL · 23' ŁKS Łódź II 0–2 Ząbkovia Ząbki
- 23′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 23' ŁKS Łódź II win: 59% at kick-off, 16% now
- 24′We said ŁKS Łódź II at 59%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 16%. 0–2 · 16–17–68
- 28′We said ŁKS Łódź II at 59%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 14%. 0–2 · 14–17–69
- 34′Goals are coming at about the 4.3 we expected. 0–2 · 12–16–72
- 38′37′ and it is 0–3: Ząbkovia Ząbki have scored. 0–3 · 4–7–89
- 38′⚽ GOAL · 37' ŁKS Łódź II 0–3 Ząbkovia Ząbki
- 38′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 38' ŁKS Łódź II win: 59% at kick-off, 4% now
- 40′We said ŁKS Łódź II at 59%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 3%. 0–3 · 3–7–90
- 45′HALF-TIME ŁKS Łódź II 0–3 Ząbkovia Ząbki
- 46′SECOND HALF ŁKS Łódź II 0–3 Ząbkovia Ząbki
- FTFULL TIME ŁKS Łódź II 0–3 Ząbkovia Ząbki
- FTŁKS Łódź II 0–3 Ząbkovia Ząbki · ŁKS Łódź II win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Over 3.5: wrong · 2–1 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
PassChelsea are slight favourites, but Everton are close behind.
Chelsea are our model’s narrow favourites at 38%, with Everton at 35% and the draw at 27%. Chelsea remain below an even chance: this is a slight lean towards the visitors, not a strong likelihood.
Everton are at home and unbeaten in the 2026/27 Premier League: two wins and four draws from six matches, earning 10 points, scoring eight and conceding five.
Pre-match prediction
Published 14 Oct 16:33 · locked at kick-off
ŁKS Łódź II win59%
Ząbkovia Ząbki win23%Kick-offWED 14 OCT · 17:00
Match timeline
All events
ŁKS Łódź IIMIN
Ząbkovia ZąbkiEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · this competition
ŁKS Łódź II
Ząbkovia Ząbki
Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make ŁKS Łódź II a 59% chance to win. The market has them at 42%. We are 16 points more confident than the market. The model expects 2.7–1.7.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result and the chances each side creates and concedes, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Published at 52%, 59% now. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 42% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| ŁKS Łódź II win | 59% | 42% | +16 |
| Draw | 18% | 24% | −6 |
| Ząbkovia Ząbki win | 23% | 34% | −11 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 80% | 67% | +13 |
| Both teams to score | 74% | 68% | +6 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 93% | 86% | +7 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 62% | 47% | +15 |
| ŁKS Łódź II or draw | 77% | 66% | +11 |
| ŁKS Łódź II clean sheet | 20% | – | – |
| Ząbkovia Ząbki clean sheet | 8% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 9 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
0 meetings since 2021No meetings between these two in III Liga - Group 1 since 2021. Cup ties and meetings in other competitions are not counted here.
Form · last six in III Liga - Group 1
ŁKS ŁÓDŹ II
ZĄBKOVIA ZĄBKI
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Weszlo | 12 | 16 | 29 |
| 2 | Wigry Suwałki | 12 | 11 | 25 |
| 3 | Pelikan Łowicz | 12 | 7 | 23 |
| 4 | Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki | 12 | 6 | 21 |
| 5 | Wisła Płock II | 12 | 5 | 21 |
| 6 | Swit | 12 | 3 | 20 |
| 7 | Ząbkovia Ząbki | 11 | 1 | 17 |
| 8 | Olimpia Zambrów | 12 | -1 | 17 |
| 9 | Jagiellonia II | 11 | 2 | 16 |
| 10 | Olimpia Elbląg | 12 | -3 | 16 |
| 11 | Warta Sieradz | 11 | 0 | 15 |
| 12 | ŁKS Łódź II | 11 | 2 | 14 |
| 13 | Widzew II | 11 | 1 | 14 |
| 14 | Lechia T. Mazowiecki | 12 | -5 | 13 |
| 15 | Polonia Lidzbark Warm. | 12 | -5 | 12 |
| 16 | Mławianka Mława | 12 | -11 | 10 |
| 17 | Troszyn | 11 | -13 | 7 |
| 18 | Łomża | 12 | -16 | 3 |
The competition's standings.
Weszlo
Wigry Suwałki
Pelikan Łowicz
Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki
Wisła Płock II
Swit
Olimpia Zambrów
Jagiellonia II
Olimpia Elbląg
Warta Sieradz
Widzew II
Lechia T. Mazowiecki
Polonia Lidzbark Warm.
Mławianka Mława
Troszyn
Łomża