ŁKS Łódź II v Olimpia Zambrów prediction · III Liga

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

ŁKS Łódź IIDrawOlimpia Zambrów

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 11:00

Before kick-off · Match result · ŁKS Łódź II 49%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

ŁKS Łódź II are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: ŁKS Łódź II 49%, draw 21%, Olimpia Zambrów 30%. Over 2.5 goals 75%, both teams to score 72%.

The AI’s read on ŁKS Łódź II v Olimpia ZambrówBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

ŁKS Łódź II win49%

Draw21%

Olimpia Zambrów win30%

Kick-offSAT 31 OCT · 11:00

RoundGroup I · matchday 15

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

ŁKS Łódź II

Olimpia Zambrów

7Days since last match7

Last match: 24 Oct · III Liga - Group 1

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
9	Olimpia Zambrów	14	+1	21
14	ŁKS Łódź II	14	−4	15

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · łks łódź ii winFirst published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

49% The market–

Us49%

We make ŁKS Łódź II a 49% chance to win. The model expects 2.2–1.7, and 2–1 is the single most likely score at 8%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · ŁKS Łódź II v Olimpia Zambrów~~2.23 – 1.73

~~Form · last six in III Liga - Group 1 this season · since 19 Sept~~W2 D2 L2 · W3 D2 L1

~~Table places · points 15 v 21~~14 v 9

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
ŁKS Łódź II win	49%	–	–
Draw	21%	–	–
Olimpia Zambrów win	30%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	75%	–	–
Both teams to score	72%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	90%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	55%	–	–
ŁKS Łódź II or draw	70%	–	–
ŁKS Łódź II clean sheet	19%	–	–
Olimpia Zambrów clean sheet	12%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–1 at 7.9%

0123450 2.7 3.1 3.0 1 4.0 7.9 6.3 3.6 2 4.8 7.9 6.7 3.9 3 3.5 5.8 4.9 2.8 4 3.3 2.8 5

under 2% 5% 12%+ŁKS Łódź II down, Olimpia Zambrów across0–5 goals a side shown (95.6% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,691 III Liga - Group 1 matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: III Liga - Group 1 matches have gone over 2.5 in 65.6% of games this season, across 125 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 2 previous meetings since 2022/23 in every competition we cover, 5.00 goals a meeting; 2 of 2 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

ŁKS Łódź II at home: 1.00 scored, 1.67 conceded a game (last 6). Olimpia Zambrów away: 1.67 scored, 2.33 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

2.23 goals for ŁKS Łódź II, 1.73 for Olimpia Zambrów. Most likely score 2–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2022/23

~~Goals a meeting~~5.00

~~Over 2.5~~2 of 2

~~Both scored~~1 of 2

~~Last meetings~~OLI 1–3 LKS · LKS 6–0 OLI

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in III Liga - Group 1 this season · since 19 Sept

ŁKS ŁÓDŹ II

WDWLDL3–2 · 1–1 · 7–2 · 0–3 · 1–1 · 0–3

OLIMPIA ZAMBRÓW

DLWWWD2–2 · 1–3 · 3–1 · 3–0 · 2–0 · 1–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Weszlo	14	+14	32
2	Wigry Suwałki	14	+17	31
3	Swit	14	+8	26
4	Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki	14	+7	24
5	Pelikan Łowicz	14	+4	24
6	Wisła Płock II	14	+4	22
7	Ząbkovia Ząbki	14	+4	22
8	Warta Sieradz	14	+2	22
9	Olimpia Zambrów	14	+1	21
10	Olimpia Elbląg	14	−3	18
11	Jagiellonia II	14	−1	17
12	Widzew II	13	0	15
13	Polonia Lidzbark Warm.	14	−3	15
14	ŁKS Łódź II	14	−4	15
15	Lechia T. Mazowiecki	14	−7	14
16	Mławianka Mława	14	−10	14
17	Troszyn	14	−15	11
18	Łomża	13	−18	3