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ŁKS Łódź II v Olimpia Elbląg
ŁKS Łódź II
Olimpia ElblągIII Liga - Group 1 · SAT 17 OCT
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said ŁKS Łódź II win at 61%.
- 2′Much as we predicted: ŁKS Łódź II was 61% before kick-off and our model makes it 61% now. 0–0 · 61–20–19
- 2′KICK-OFF ŁKS Łódź II v Olimpia Elbląg
- 8′ŁKS Łódź II find the net on 8′. 1–0. 1–0 · 80–12–8
- 8′We published ŁKS Łódź II at 61%. Our model now makes it 80%. 1–0 · 80–12–8
- 8′⚽ GOAL · 8' ŁKS Łódź II 1–0 Olimpia Elbląg
- 8′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 8' ŁKS Łódź II win: 61% at kick-off, 80% now
- 30′Goals are coming at about the 3.7 we expected. 1–0 · 80–14–7
- 34′A goal for Olimpia Elbląg on 33′ — 1–1. 1–1 · 53–26–20
- 34′⚽ GOAL · 33' ŁKS Łódź II 1–1 Olimpia Elbląg
- 34′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 34' ŁKS Łódź II win: 61% at kick-off, 53% now
- 40′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 40' ŁKS Łódź II win: 61% at kick-off, 51% now
- 45′We said ŁKS Łódź II at 61%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 49%. 1–1 · 49–31–20
- 45′HALF-TIME ŁKS Łódź II 1–1 Olimpia Elbląg
- 46′SECOND HALF ŁKS Łódź II 1–1 Olimpia Elbląg
- 55′We said ŁKS Łódź II at 61%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 44%. 1–1 · 44–36–19
- 61′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 61' ŁKS Łódź II win: 61% at kick-off, 41% now
- 63′We said ŁKS Łódź II at 61%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 39%. 1–1 · 39–43–18
- 64′THE CALL SWINGS · 64' Draw is now our likeliest result at 44% (was ŁKS Łódź II win 39%)
- 69′We said ŁKS Łódź II at 61%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 34%. 1–1 · 34–50–16
- 72′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 72' ŁKS Łódź II win: 61% at kick-off, 31% now
- 74′We said ŁKS Łódź II at 61%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 29%. 1–1 · 29–57–14
- 79′We said ŁKS Łódź II at 61%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 22%. 1–1 · 22–67–11
- 80′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 80' ŁKS Łódź II win: 61% at kick-off, 21% now
- 81′We said ŁKS Łódź II at 61%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 19%. 1–1 · 19–71–10
- 84′We said ŁKS Łódź II at 61%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 14%. 1–1 · 14–79–7
- 88′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 88' ŁKS Łódź II win: 61% at kick-off, 10% now
- 90′We said ŁKS Łódź II at 61%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 7%. 1–1 · 7–89–4
- FTFULL TIME ŁKS Łódź II 1–1 Olimpia Elbląg
- FTŁKS Łódź II 1–1 Olimpia Elbląg · ŁKS Łódź II win: wrong · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Over 3.5: wrong · 2–1 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
PassŁKS Łódź II are clear favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: ŁKS Łódź II 61%, draw 19%, Olimpia Elbląg 19%. Over 2.5 goals 71%, both teams to score 65%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off
ŁKS Łódź II win61%
Olimpia Elbląg win19%Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 12:00
RoundGroup I · matchday 13
Match timeline
All events
ŁKS Łódź IIMIN
Olimpia ElblągEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
ŁKS Łódź II
Olimpia Elbląg
Last match: 14 Oct · III Liga - Group 1
Last match: 10 Oct · III Liga - Group 1
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make ŁKS Łódź II a 61% chance to win. The market has them at 47%. We are 14 points more confident than the market. The model expects 2.4–1.3.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Published at 65%, 61% now. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 47% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| ŁKS Łódź II win | 61% | 47% | +14 |
| Draw | 19% | 26% | −7 |
| Olimpia Elbląg win | 19% | 27% | −8 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 71% | 57% | +14 |
| Both teams to score | 65% | 59% | +6 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 88% | 78% | +10 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 50% | 36% | +14 |
| ŁKS Łódź II or draw | 81% | 73% | +8 |
| ŁKS Łódź II clean sheet | 28% | – | – |
| Olimpia Elbląg clean sheet | 10% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 5 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
4 meetings since 2021/22Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in III Liga - Group 1 this season · since 4 Sept
ŁKS ŁÓDŹ II
OLIMPIA ELBLĄG
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Weszlo | 12 | +16 | 29 |
| 2 | Wigry Suwałki | 12 | +11 | 25 |
| 3 | Pelikan Łowicz | 12 | +7 | 23 |
| 4 | Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki | 12 | +6 | 21 |
| 5 | Wisła Płock II | 12 | +5 | 21 |
| 6 | Ząbkovia Ząbki | 12 | +4 | 20 |
| 7 | Swit | 12 | +3 | 20 |
| 8 | Olimpia Zambrów | 12 | −1 | 17 |
| 9 | Jagiellonia II | 12 | +1 | 16 |
| 10 | Olimpia Elbląg | 12 | −3 | 16 |
| 11 | Warta Sieradz | 11 | 0 | 15 |
| 12 | Widzew II | 11 | +1 | 14 |
| 13 | ŁKS Łódź II | 12 | −1 | 14 |
| 14 | Lechia T. Mazowiecki | 12 | −5 | 13 |
| 15 | Polonia Lidzbark Warm. | 12 | −5 | 12 |
| 16 | Mławianka Mława | 12 | −11 | 10 |
| 17 | Troszyn | 12 | −12 | 10 |
| 18 | Łomża | 12 | −16 | 3 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.
Weszlo
Wigry Suwałki
Pelikan Łowicz
Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki
Wisła Płock II
Ząbkovia Ząbki
Swit
Olimpia Zambrów
Jagiellonia II
Warta Sieradz
Widzew II
Lechia T. Mazowiecki
Polonia Lidzbark Warm.
Mławianka Mława
Troszyn
Łomża