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Znicz Pruszków v Rekord Bielsko-Biała
Znicz Pruszków
Rekord Bielsko-BiałaII Liga - East · SUN 18 OCT · Stadion MZOS Znicz
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Znicz Pruszków win at 54%.
- 1′Little has changed for our model: Znicz Pruszków 54% before kick-off, 54% now. 0–0 · 54–24–22
- 1′KICK-OFF Znicz Pruszków v Rekord Bielsko-Biała
- 3′🟨 YELLOW · 3' Rekord Bielsko-Biała
- 40′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 40' Znicz Pruszków win: 54% at kick-off, 44% now
- 41′🟨 YELLOW · 41' Rekord Bielsko-Biała
- 45′We said Znicz Pruszków at 54%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 42%. 0–0 · 42–37–21
- 45′HALF-TIME Znicz Pruszków 0–0 Rekord Bielsko-Biała
- 46′🟨 YELLOW · 45' Rekord Bielsko-Biała
- 46′SECOND HALF Znicz Pruszków 0–0 Rekord Bielsko-Biała
- 52′We said Znicz Pruszków at 54%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 39%. 0–0 · 39–41–20
- 54′THE CALL SWINGS · 54' Draw is now our likeliest result at 43% (was Znicz Pruszków win 38%)
- 55′Goalless on 55′ when we expected about 2.8 goals — that one is getting away from us. 0–0 · 38–43–19
- 61′We said Znicz Pruszków at 54%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 34%. 0–0 · 34–48–18
- 61′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 61' Znicz Pruszków win: 54% at kick-off, 34% now
- 65′SUBSTITUTION · 61' Znicz Pruszków · On: A. Bartoszewicz · Off: B. Mazurek
- 65′SUBSTITUTION · 55' Rekord Bielsko-Biała · On: P. Wyroba · Off: A. Gibiec
- 65′SUBSTITUTION · 55' Rekord Bielsko-Biała · On: G. Kasprowicz · Off: D. Scislak
- 68′We said Znicz Pruszków at 54%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 29%. 0–0 · 29–56–15
- 72′🟨 YELLOW · 71' Rekord Bielsko-Biała
- 72′SUBSTITUTION · 66' Rekord Bielsko-Biała · On: M. Hornik · Off: D. Swiderski
- 72′🟨 YELLOW · 72' Znicz Pruszków
- 73′We said Znicz Pruszków at 54%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 24%. 0–0 · 24–63–13
- 73′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 73' Znicz Pruszków win: 54% at kick-off, 24% now
- 78′We said Znicz Pruszków at 54%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 19%. 0–0 · 19–71–10
- 79′A goal for Znicz Pruszków on 79′ — 1–0. 1–0 · 90–9–1
- 79′We said Znicz Pruszków at 54% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 90%. 1–0 · 90–9–1
- 79′⚽ GOAL · 79' Znicz Pruszków 1–0 Rekord Bielsko-Biała
- 79′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 79' Znicz Pruszków win: 54% at kick-off, 90% now
- 79′THE CALL SWINGS · 79' Znicz Pruszków win is now our likeliest result at 90% (was Draw 9%)
- 80′SUBSTITUTION · 75' Znicz Pruszków · On: A. Redlinski · Off: M. Broniewski
- 84′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 84' Znicz Pruszków win: 54% at kick-off, 94% now
- 86′We said Znicz Pruszków at 54% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 95%. 1–0 · 95–5–0
- 90′SUBSTITUTION · 88' Znicz Pruszków · On: D. Szafranski · Off: A. Ratajczyk
- 91′SUBSTITUTION · 80' Rekord Bielsko-Biała · On: K. Gumolka · Off: J. Rys
- 91′SUBSTITUTION · 80' Rekord Bielsko-Biała · On: J. Kempny · Off: M. Tekieli
- FTFULL TIME Znicz Pruszków 1–0 Rekord Bielsko-Biała
- FTZnicz Pruszków 1–0 Rekord Bielsko-Biała · Znicz Pruszków win: right · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
Znicz Pruszków are favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Znicz Pruszków 54%, draw 23%, Rekord Bielsko-Biała 22%. Over 2.5 goals 54%, both teams to score 53%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off
Znicz Pruszków win54%
Rekord Bielsko-Biała win22%Kick-offSUN 18 OCT · 16:00
RoundMatchday 12
VenueStadion MZOS Znicz
Match timeline
All events
Znicz PruszkówMIN
Rekord Bielsko-BiałaEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Znicz Pruszków
Rekord Bielsko-Biała
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Znicz Pruszków
Rekord Bielsko-Biała
Last match: 11 Oct · II Liga - East
Last match: 9 Oct · II Liga - East
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Znicz Pruszków
Formation not confirmed
23 K. Napieraj
5 M. Broniewski
6 M. Pawlik
7 D. Barnowski
8 A. Nadolski
10 J. Jach
11 T. Proczek
13 B. Mazurek
14 V. Okhronchuk
17 A. Kazimierczak
77 A. Ratajczyk
Coach · Lukasz Smolarow
Substitutes
1 · N. Gzowski
9 · A. Bartoszewicz
15 · M. Glowinski
16 · D. Szafranski
– · F. Drabik
19 · M. Karol
21 · A. Redlinski
25 · J. Kosmalski
– · O. Garbinski
Rekord Bielsko-Biała
Formation not confirmed
39 W. Kaczorowski
33 D. Mazurek
30 K. Kareta
3 J. Sobocinski
16 D. Pawlowski
6 D. Scislak
17 A. Gibiec
10 J. Rys
21 M. Tekieli
77 P. Ceglarz
11 D. Swiderski
Coach · –
Substitutes
71 · S. Sobolewski
32 · K. Gumolka
14 · M. Hornik
80 · G. Kasprowicz
18 · J. Kempny
91 · M. Klichowicz
24 · L. Poznanski
67 · F. Sapinski
75 · P. Wyroba
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Znicz Pruszków
Formation not confirmed
23 K. Napieraj
5 M. Broniewski
6 M. Pawlik
7 D. Barnowski
8 A. Nadolski
10 J. Jach
11 T. Proczek
13 B. Mazurek
14 V. Okhronchuk
17 A. Kazimierczak
77 A. Ratajczyk
Coach · Lukasz Smolarow
Substitutes
1 · N. Gzowski
9 · A. Bartoszewicz
15 · M. Glowinski
16 · D. Szafranski
– · F. Drabik
19 · M. Karol
21 · A. Redlinski
25 · J. Kosmalski
– · O. Garbinski
Rekord Bielsko-Biała
Formation not confirmed
39 W. Kaczorowski
33 D. Mazurek
30 K. Kareta
3 J. Sobocinski
16 D. Pawlowski
6 D. Scislak
17 A. Gibiec
10 J. Rys
21 M. Tekieli
77 P. Ceglarz
11 D. Swiderski
Coach · –
Substitutes
71 · S. Sobolewski
32 · K. Gumolka
14 · M. Hornik
80 · G. Kasprowicz
18 · J. Kempny
91 · M. Klichowicz
24 · L. Poznanski
67 · F. Sapinski
75 · P. Wyroba
We make Znicz Pruszków a 54% chance to win. The market has them at 53%. We are within 1 point of the market. The model expects 1.8–1.0.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 53% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Znicz Pruszków win | 54% | 53% | +1 |
| Draw | 23% | 24% | −1 |
| Rekord Bielsko-Biała win | 22% | 23% | −1 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 54% | 60% | −6 |
| Both teams to score | 53% | 61% | −8 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 77% | 80% | −3 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 32% | 41% | −9 |
| Znicz Pruszków or draw | 78% | 77% | +1 |
| Znicz Pruszków clean sheet | 36% | – | – |
| Rekord Bielsko-Biała clean sheet | 17% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 6 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
No meetings since 2021/22No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2021/22.
Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in II Liga - East this season · since 29 Aug
ZNICZ PRUSZKÓW
REKORD BIELSKO-BIAŁA
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Znicz Pruszków | 11 | +12 | 26 |
| 2 | Tychy 71 | 12 | +12 | 26 |
| 3 | Górnik Łęczna | 12 | +7 | 20 |
| 4 | Olimpia Grudziądz | 12 | −2 | 19 |
| 5 | Hutnik Kraków | 12 | +3 | 18 |
| 6 | Podhale Nowy Targ | 11 | +2 | 18 |
| 7 | Chojniczanka Chojnice | 12 | +1 | 18 |
| 8 | Rekord Bielsko-Biała | 11 | +4 | 17 |
| 9 | Zawisza Bydgoszcz | 11 | +3 | 16 |
| 10 | Sandecja Nowy Sącz | 11 | +3 | 16 |
| 11 | Stal Stalowa Wola | 12 | −3 | 16 |
| 12 | Lechia Zielona Góra | 11 | +2 | 15 |
| 13 | Avia Świdnik | 11 | −3 | 14 |
| 14 | Legia Warszawa II | 12 | +2 | 13 |
| 15 | Śląsk Wrocław II | 11 | −3 | 10 |
| 16 | Świt Skolwin | 12 | −14 | 9 |
| 17 | Sokół Kleczew | 11 | −13 | 8 |
| 18 | Resovia Rzeszów | 11 | −13 | 4 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.
Tychy 71
Górnik Łęczna
Olimpia Grudziądz
Hutnik Kraków
Podhale Nowy Targ
Chojniczanka Chojnice
Zawisza Bydgoszcz
Sandecja Nowy Sącz
Stal Stalowa Wola
Lechia Zielona Góra
Avia Świdnik
Legia Warszawa II
Śląsk Wrocław II
Świt Skolwin
Sokół Kleczew
Resovia Rzeszów