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Zawisza Bydgoszcz v Świt Skolwin
Zawisza Bydgoszcz
Świt SkolwinII Liga - East · FRI 23 OCT
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Zawisza Bydgoszcz win at 54%.
- 1′Little has changed for our model: Zawisza Bydgoszcz 54% before kick-off, 54% now. 0–0 · 54–22–24
- 1′KICK-OFF Zawisza Bydgoszcz v Świt Skolwin
- 5′We said Zawisza Bydgoszcz at 54% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 76%. 1–0 · 76–14–10
- 5′⚽ GOAL · 5' Zawisza Bydgoszcz 1–0 Świt Skolwin
- 5′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 5' Zawisza Bydgoszcz win: 54% at kick-off, 76% now
- 6′A goal for Zawisza Bydgoszcz on 5′ — 1–0. 1–0 · 76–14–10
- 22′🟨 YELLOW · 21' Świt Skolwin
- 23′We said Zawisza Bydgoszcz at 54% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 91%. 2–0 · 91–6–2
- 23′⚽ GOAL · 23' Zawisza Bydgoszcz 2–0 Świt Skolwin
- 23′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 23' Zawisza Bydgoszcz win: 54% at kick-off, 91% now
- 24′Zawisza Bydgoszcz score on 24′ to make it 2–0. 2–0 · 91–6–2
- 38′⚽ GOAL · 38' Zawisza Bydgoszcz 2–1 Świt Skolwin
- 38′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 38' Zawisza Bydgoszcz win: 54% at kick-off, 76% now
- 40′Świt Skolwin find the net on 39′. 2–1. 2–1 · 76–17–7
- 40′That is 4, and we only asked for 3.4 across ninety minutes. 3–1 · 93–5–2
- 40′⚽ GOAL · 40' Zawisza Bydgoszcz 3–1 Świt Skolwin
- 40′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 40' Zawisza Bydgoszcz win: 54% at kick-off, 93% now
- 42′A goal for Zawisza Bydgoszcz on 41′ — 3–1. 3–1 · 93–5–1
- 44′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 44' Zawisza Bydgoszcz win: 54% at kick-off, 94% now
- 45′SECOND HALF Zawisza Bydgoszcz 3–1 Świt Skolwin
- 46′🟨 YELLOW · 45+1' Świt Skolwin
- 46′HALF-TIME Zawisza Bydgoszcz 3–1 Świt Skolwin
- 47′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Świt Skolwin · On: D. Szwiec · Off: A. Kifert
- 47′🟨 YELLOW · 47' Świt Skolwin
- 51′We said Zawisza Bydgoszcz at 54% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 95%. 3–1 · 95–4–1
- 51′🟨 YELLOW · 51' Zawisza Bydgoszcz
- 52′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Świt Skolwin · On: A. Wozniak · Off: D. Kisly
- 59′SUBSTITUTION · 57' Zawisza Bydgoszcz · On: K. Bogusiewicz · Off: B. Kusmierczyk
- 69′🟨 YELLOW · 69' Zawisza Bydgoszcz
- 76′SUBSTITUTION · 68' Świt Skolwin · On: K. Ropski · Off: K. Zendelek
- 76′SUBSTITUTION · 72' Zawisza Bydgoszcz · On: S. Rak · Off: J. Lukowski
- 77′SUBSTITUTION · 72' Zawisza Bydgoszcz · On: K. Nowak · Off: M. Dziarkowski
- 77′SUBSTITUTION · 73' Zawisza Bydgoszcz · On: M. Mas · Off: F. Kozlowski
- 83′We said Zawisza Bydgoszcz at 54% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to over 99%. 3–1 · 100–0–0
- 83′SUBSTITUTION · 80' Świt Skolwin · On: K. Golebiewski · Off: M. Koziara
- 83′SUBSTITUTION · 80' Zawisza Bydgoszcz · On: M. Kalitta · Off: M. Stepien
- 86′Świt Skolwin score on 86′ to make it 3–2. 3–2 · 94–6–0
- 86′⚽ GOAL · 86' Zawisza Bydgoszcz 3–2 Świt Skolwin
- 87′5 goals already, more than the 3.4 we expected for the whole match. 3–2 · 94–6–0
- 87′That is 6, and we only asked for 3.4 across ninety minutes. 4–2 · 100–0–0
- 87′⚽ GOAL · 87' Zawisza Bydgoszcz 4–2 Świt Skolwin
- 88′Zawisza Bydgoszcz find the net on 87′. 4–2. 4–2 · 100–0–0
- 90′🟨 YELLOW · 89' Świt Skolwin
- FTFULL TIME Zawisza Bydgoszcz 4–2 Świt Skolwin
- FTZawisza Bydgoszcz 4–2 Świt Skolwin · Zawisza Bydgoszcz win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
Zawisza Bydgoszcz are favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Zawisza Bydgoszcz 54%, draw 22%, Świt Skolwin 24%. Over 2.5 goals 65%, both teams to score 63%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 17 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off
Zawisza Bydgoszcz win54%
Świt Skolwin win24%Kick-offFRI 23 OCT · 17:00
RoundMatchday 13
Match timeline
All events
Zawisza BydgoszczMIN
Świt SkolwinEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Zawisza Bydgoszcz
Świt Skolwin
Last match: 18 Oct · II Liga - East
Last match: 17 Oct · II Liga - East
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Zawisza Bydgoszcz a 54% chance to win. The market has them at 56%. We are within 2 points of the market. The model expects 2.0–1.3.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 56% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Zawisza Bydgoszcz win | 54% | 56% | −2 |
| Draw | 22% | 23% | −1 |
| Świt Skolwin win | 24% | 21% | +3 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 65% | 62% | +3 |
| Both teams to score | 63% | 60% | +3 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 85% | 82% | +3 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 43% | 42% | +1 |
| Zawisza Bydgoszcz or draw | 76% | 79% | −3 |
| Zawisza Bydgoszcz clean sheet | 27% | – | – |
| Świt Skolwin clean sheet | 13% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 9 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
6 meetings since 2021/22Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in II Liga - East this season · since 4 Sept
ZAWISZA BYDGOSZCZ
ŚWIT SKOLWIN
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Znicz Pruszków | 12 | +13 | 29 |
| 2 | Tychy 71 | 12 | +12 | 26 |
| 3 | Górnik Łęczna | 12 | +7 | 20 |
| 4 | Sandecja Nowy Sącz | 12 | +4 | 19 |
| 5 | Podhale Nowy Targ | 12 | +2 | 19 |
| 6 | Olimpia Grudziądz | 12 | −2 | 19 |
| 7 | Hutnik Kraków | 12 | +3 | 18 |
| 8 | Chojniczanka Chojnice | 12 | +1 | 18 |
| 9 | Rekord Bielsko-Biała | 12 | +3 | 17 |
| 10 | Avia Świdnik | 12 | −2 | 17 |
| 11 | Zawisza Bydgoszcz | 12 | +2 | 16 |
| 12 | Lechia Zielona Góra | 12 | +2 | 16 |
| 13 | Stal Stalowa Wola | 12 | −3 | 16 |
| 14 | Legia Warszawa II | 12 | +2 | 13 |
| 15 | Śląsk Wrocław II | 12 | −4 | 10 |
| 16 | Sokół Kleczew | 12 | −13 | 9 |
| 17 | Świt Skolwin | 12 | −14 | 9 |
| 18 | Resovia Rzeszów | 12 | −13 | 5 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.
Znicz Pruszków
Tychy 71
Górnik Łęczna
Sandecja Nowy Sącz
Podhale Nowy Targ
Olimpia Grudziądz
Hutnik Kraków
Chojniczanka Chojnice
Rekord Bielsko-Biała
Avia Świdnik
Lechia Zielona Góra
Stal Stalowa Wola
Legia Warszawa II
Śląsk Wrocław II
Sokół Kleczew
Resovia Rzeszów