Tychy 71 v Podhale Nowy Targ prediction · II Liga

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Tychy 71DrawPodhale Nowy Targ

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 18:30

Before kick-off · Match result · Tychy 71 47%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Tychy 71 are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Tychy 71 47%, draw 26%, Podhale Nowy Targ 27%. Over 2.5 goals 49%, both teams to score 52%.

The AI’s read on Tychy 71 v Podhale Nowy TargBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

Tychy 71 win47%

Draw26%

Podhale Nowy Targ win27%

Kick-offSUN 25 OCT · 18:30

RoundMatchday 13

VenueTychy City Stadium

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Tychy 71

Podhale Nowy Targ

8Days since last match7

Last match: 17 Oct · II Liga - East

Last match: 18 Oct · II Liga - East

2Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
2	Tychy 71	12	+12	26
7	Podhale Nowy Targ	12	+2	19

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · tychy 71 winFirst published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

47% The market52%

Us47%

~~Market~~52%

We make Tychy 71 a 47% chance to win. The market has them at 52%. We are 5 points less confident than the market. The model expects 1.5–1.1.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Tychy 71 v Podhale Nowy Targ~~1.53 – 1.09

~~Form · last six in II Liga - East this season · since 5 Sept~~W4 D2 L0 · W3 D2 L1

~~Table places · points 26 v 19~~2 v 7

~~The market · Tychy 71 win~~52% · ours 47%

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · Tychy 71 win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 52% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Tychy 71 win	47%	52%	−5
Draw	26%	25%	+1
Podhale Nowy Targ win	27%	23%	+4
Over 2.5 goals	49%	54%	−5
Both teams to score	52%	55%	−3
Over 1.5 goals	74%	76%	−2
Over 3.5 goals	27%	33%	−6
Tychy 71 or draw	73%	77%	−4
Tychy 71 clean sheet	34%	–	–
Podhale Nowy Targ clean sheet	22%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 8 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 12.1%

0123450 7.7 7.8 4.3 1 11.0 12.1 6.5 2.4 2 8.5 9.1 4.9 3 4.4 4.7 2.5 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Tychy 71 down, Podhale Nowy Targ across0–5 goals a side shown (99.3% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,649 II Liga - East matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: II Liga - East matches have gone over 2.5 in 60.0% of games this season, across 115 played.

Head to head

No meeting between these two in any competition we cover since 2021/22.

Home and away form

Tychy 71 at home: 1.60 scored, 0.20 conceded a game (last 5). Podhale Nowy Targ away: 1.33 scored, 2.17 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.53 goals for Tychy 71, 1.09 for Podhale Nowy Targ. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

No meetings since 2021/22

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2021/22.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in II Liga - East this season · since 5 Sept

TYCHY 71

WDDWWW1–0 · 1–1 · 0–0 · 2–0 · 3–0 · 2–1

PODHALE NOWY TARG

WWLWDD2–1 · 5–0 · 0–3 · 2–1 · 2–2 · 0–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Znicz Pruszków	12	+13	29
2	Tychy 71	12	+12	26
3	Górnik Łęczna	13	+13	23
4	Olimpia Grudziądz	13	−1	22
5	Zawisza Bydgoszcz	13	+4	19
6	Sandecja Nowy Sącz	12	+4	19
7	Podhale Nowy Targ	12	+2	19
8	Rekord Bielsko-Biała	13	+3	18
9	Hutnik Kraków	13	+2	18
10	Chojniczanka Chojnice	12	+1	18
11	Avia Świdnik	12	−2	17
12	Stal Stalowa Wola	12	−3	16
13	Lechia Zielona Góra	13	−4	16
14	Legia Warszawa II	12	+2	13
15	Sokół Kleczew	13	−11	12
16	Śląsk Wrocław II	13	−6	10
17	Świt Skolwin	13	−16	9
18	Resovia Rzeszów	13	−13	6