Tychy 71 v Lechia Zielona Góra prediction · II Liga

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Tychy 71DrawLechia Zielona Góra

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 14:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Tychy 71 55%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Tychy 71 are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Tychy 71 55%, draw 23%, Lechia Zielona Góra 21%. Over 2.5 goals 54%, both teams to score 54%.

The AI’s read on Tychy 71 v Lechia Zielona GóraBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

Tychy 71 win55%

Draw23%

Lechia Zielona Góra win21%

Kick-offSAT 31 OCT · 14:00

RoundMatchday 14

VenueTychy City Stadium

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Tychy 71

Lechia Zielona Góra

14Days since last match7

Last match: 17 Oct · II Liga - East

Last match: 24 Oct · II Liga - East

1Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
2	Tychy 71	12	+12	26
14	Lechia Zielona Góra	13	−4	16

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · tychy 71 winFirst published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

55% The market–

Us55%

We make Tychy 71 a 55% chance to win. The model expects 1.8–1.0, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 11%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Tychy 71 v Lechia Zielona Góra~~1.83 – 1.04

~~Form · last six in II Liga - East this season · since 6 Sept~~W4 D2 L0 · W2 D1 L3

~~Table places · points 26 v 16~~2 v 14

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Tychy 71 win	55%	–	–
Draw	23%	–	–
Lechia Zielona Góra win	21%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	54%	–	–
Both teams to score	54%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	78%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	32%	–	–
Tychy 71 or draw	79%	–	–
Tychy 71 clean sheet	36%	–	–
Lechia Zielona Góra clean sheet	17%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 10.8%

0123450 6.1 5.8 3.1 1 10.3 10.8 5.6 2 9.4 9.6 5.0 3 5.8 5.9 3.0 4 2.7 2.7 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Tychy 71 down, Lechia Zielona Góra across0–5 goals a side shown (98.7% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,649 II Liga - East matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: II Liga - East matches have gone over 2.5 in 60.0% of games this season, across 115 played.

Head to head

No meeting between these two in any competition we cover since 2021/22.

Home and away form

Tychy 71 at home: 1.60 scored, 0.20 conceded a game (last 5). Lechia Zielona Góra away: 1.60 scored, 0.80 conceded (last 5).

What the model expects

1.83 goals for Tychy 71, 1.04 for Lechia Zielona Góra. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

No meetings since 2021/22

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2021/22.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in II Liga - East this season · since 6 Sept

TYCHY 71

WDDWWW1–0 · 1–1 · 0–0 · 2–0 · 3–0 · 2–1

LECHIA ZIELONA GÓRA

WLWLDL1–0 · 1–3 · 3–1 · 0–2 · 0–0 · 0–6

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Znicz Pruszków	12	+13	29
2	Tychy 71	12	+12	26
3	Górnik Łęczna	13	+13	23
4	Olimpia Grudziądz	13	−1	22
5	Zawisza Bydgoszcz	13	+4	19
6	Sandecja Nowy Sącz	13	+3	19
7	Podhale Nowy Targ	12	+2	19
8	Stal Stalowa Wola	13	−2	19
9	Rekord Bielsko-Biała	13	+3	18
10	Hutnik Kraków	13	+2	18
11	Chojniczanka Chojnice	13	0	18
12	Avia Świdnik	12	−2	17
13	Legia Warszawa II	13	+3	16
14	Lechia Zielona Góra	13	−4	16
15	Sokół Kleczew	13	−11	12
16	Śląsk Wrocław II	13	−6	10
17	Świt Skolwin	13	−16	9
18	Resovia Rzeszów	13	−13	6