Tychy 71 v Górnik Łęczna prediction · II Liga

Full timeGraded 11 Oct 13:41

Tychy 71 3–0 Górnik Łęczna TYCHY 71 WIN · RIGHTUNDER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Tychy 71 win~~42%

~~The market said~~48%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.514

~~The market’s Brier score~~0.400

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay5 notes · 22 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Tychy 71 win at 42%.
2′Much as we predicted: Tychy 71 was 42% before kick-off and our model makes it 41% now. 0–0 · 41–26–32
3′Much as we predicted: Tychy 71 was 42% before kick-off and our model makes it 41% now. 0–0 · 41–27–32
32′Tychy 71 find the net on 29′. 1–0. 1–0 · 71–20–9
41′Tychy 71 ahead on 29′ through K. Plichta. 1–0. 1–0 · 72–20–8
45′F. Janaszek scores for Górnik Łęczna on 42′ — 1–0. 1–0 · 73–20–7
45′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 45' Tychy 71 win: 42% at kick-off, 71% now
45′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 45' Tychy 71 win: 42% at kick-off, 72% now
45′HALF-TIME Tychy 71 1–0 Górnik Łęczna
45′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 45' Tychy 71 win: 42% at kick-off, 73% now
46′SECOND HALF Tychy 71 1–0 Górnik Łęczna
51′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 51' Tychy 71 win: 42% at kick-off, 73% now
52′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 52' Tychy 71 win: 42% at kick-off, 73% now
52′⚽ GOAL · 52' Tychy 71 2–0 Górnik Łęczna
53′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 53' Tychy 71 win: 42% at kick-off, 73% now
54′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 54' Tychy 71 win: 42% at kick-off, 73% now
55′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 55' Tychy 71 win: 42% at kick-off, 73% now
56′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 56' Tychy 71 win: 42% at kick-off, 73% now
56′🟨 YELLOW · 56' Górnik Łęczna
61′SUBSTITUTION · 60' Tychy 71 · On: J. Eskinja · Off: D. Hoyo-Kowalski
72′⚽ GOAL · 71' Tychy 71 3–0 Górnik Łęczna
72′⚽ GOAL · 71' Tychy 71 3–0 Górnik Łęczna · I. Lasicki
73′⚽ GOAL · 71' Tychy 71 3–0 Górnik Łęczna · I. Lasicki (assist D. Kadzior)
74′SUBSTITUTION · 65' Górnik Łęczna · On: W. Niewiarowski · Off: B. Korbecki
74′⚽ GOAL · 71' Tychy 71 3–0 Górnik Łęczna · I. Lasicki (assist D. Kadzior)
77′SUBSTITUTION · 72' Tychy 71 · On: N. Baier · Off: D. Kadzior
77′SUBSTITUTION · 72' Tychy 71 · On: T. Rygula · Off: M. Lewandowski
FTFULL TIME Tychy 71 3–0 Górnik Łęczna
FTTychy 71 3–0 Górnik Łęczna · Tychy 71 win: right · Under 2.5: wrong · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

An AI preview before kick-off and a review after full time, written from our recorded data. It is included with the 30-day pass.

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Pre-match prediction

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Tychy 71 win42%

Draw26%

Górnik Łęczna win32%

Kick-offSUN 11 OCT · 11:00

VenueTychy City Stadium

Line-ups

Tychy 71

Górnik Łęczna

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · this competition

Tychy 71

Górnik Łęczna

8Days since last match7

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.

League table

2026/27

Positions of these teams

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
2	Górnik Łęczna	10	+11	20
3	Tychy 71	10	+8	20

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Tychy 71

Formation not confirmed

31 K. Myszkowski

75 J. Chorosinski

45 D. Hoyo-Kowalski

26 I. Lasicki

5 M. Horvat

8 M. Begala

19 M. Trabka

10 D. Kadzior

18 K. Plichta

9 M. Lewandowski

16 P. Olkowski

Coach · Rene Poms

Substitutes

6 · O. Wojtczak

7 · N. Niemann

11 · M. Koniuszy

14 · L. Tumala

21 · B. Jankowski

44 · N. Baier

77 · J. Eskinja

99 · T. Rygula

13 · T. Proczek

Górnik Łęczna

Formation not confirmed

1 A. Matysek

3 M. Holownia

4 P. Jaroszynski

5 R. Kobryn

27 G. Rogala

10 A. Deja

16 M. Walski

19 S. Quainoo

7 B. Korbecki

38 J. Myszor

17 F. Janaszek

Coach · Yuri Shatalov

Substitutes

99 · K. Wilk

23 · K. Turek

30 · B. Akhmedov

40 · E. Stadnicki

11 · D. Tkacz

29 · H. Antkowiak

88 · O. Osipiuk

74 · K. Kruk

28 · W. Niewiarowski

Our number · tychy 71 winPublished 11 Oct 11:02

42% The market48%

Us42%

~~Market~~48%

We make Tychy 71 a 42% chance to win. The market has them at 48%. We are 7 points less confident than the market. The model expects 1.4–1.2.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Tychy 71 win	42%	48%	−7
Draw	26%	27%	0
Górnik Łęczna win	32%	25%	+7
Over 2.5 goals	48%	52%	−3
Both teams to score	53%	55%	−2
Over 1.5 goals	73%	75%	−1
Over 3.5 goals	27%	32%	−5
Tychy 71 or draw	68%	75%	−7
Tychy 71 clean sheet	30%	–	–
Górnik Łęczna clean sheet	25%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 9 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 12.4%

0123450 7.7 8.7 5.3 2.2 1 10.2 12.4 7.4 3.0 2 7.2 8.6 5.2 2.1 3 3.4 4.1 2.5 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Tychy 71 down, Górnik Łęczna across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,628 II Liga - East matches up to 11 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

II Liga - East matches have gone over 2.5 in 59.6% of games this season, across 94 played.

Head to head

No previous meeting in our records, so this step adds nothing.

Home and away form

Tychy 71 at home: 1.25 scored, 0.25 conceded a game (last 4). Górnik Łęczna away: 1.60 scored, 1.00 conceded (last 5).

What the model expects

1.41 goals for Tychy 71, 1.21 for Górnik Łęczna. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

0 meetings since 2021

No previous meeting of these two in our records. We say so rather than invent one.

Form · last six in II Liga - East

TYCHY 71

WDWDDW3–0 · 1–1 · 1–0 · 1–1 · 0–0 · 2–0

GÓRNIK ŁĘCZNA

DWWWDW1–1 · 1–0 · 4–0 · 4–1 · 0–0 · 3–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Znicz Pruszków	10	+11	23
2	Górnik Łęczna	10	+11	20
3	Tychy 71	10	+8	20
4	Podhale Nowy Targ	11	+2	18
5	Rekord Bielsko-Biała	11	+4	17
6	Zawisza Bydgoszcz	10	+4	16
7	Sandecja Nowy Sącz	11	+3	16
8	Hutnik Kraków	10	+3	15
9	Lechia Zielona Góra	11	+2	15
10	Chojniczanka Chojnice	11	0	15
11	Olimpia Grudziądz	10	−3	15
12	Avia Świdnik	11	−3	14
13	Stal Stalowa Wola	11	−4	13
14	Legia Warszawa II	10	+3	12
15	Śląsk Wrocław II	10	−3	9
16	Sokół Kleczew	10	−12	8
17	Świt Skolwin	11	−14	8
18	Resovia Rzeszów	10	−12	4