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Świt Skolwin v Olimpia Grudziądz
Świt Skolwin
Olimpia GrudziądzII Liga - East · SAT 17 OCT · Stadion Miejski Skolwin
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Olimpia Grudziądz win at 44%.
- 1′Little has changed for our model: Olimpia Grudziądz 44% before kick-off, 44% now. 0–0 · 33–23–44
- 1′KICK-OFF Świt Skolwin v Olimpia Grudziądz
- 5′We said Olimpia Grudziądz at 44% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 68%. 0–1 · 15–18–68
- 5′⚽ GOAL · 5' Świt Skolwin 0–1 Olimpia Grudziądz
- 5′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 5' Olimpia Grudziądz win: 44% at kick-off, 68% now
- 6′Olimpia Grudziądz score on 6′ to make it 0–1. 0–1 · 15–18–68
- 30′The goal count is tracking the 3.2 we expected. 0–1 · 11–19–69
- 30′⚽ GOAL · 30' Świt Skolwin 1–1 Olimpia Grudziądz
- 30′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 30' Olimpia Grudziądz win: 44% at kick-off, 40% now
- 31′Świt Skolwin find the net on 31′. 1–1. 1–1 · 31–30–40
- 38′Świt Skolwin level it on 31′ through D. Kort. 1–1. 1–1 · 30–32–38
- 38′Little has changed for our model: Olimpia Grudziądz 44% before kick-off, 38% now. 1–1 · 30–32–38
- 45′The goal count is tracking the 3.2 we expected. 1–1 · 29–35–36
- 45′SECOND HALF Świt Skolwin 1–1 Olimpia Grudziądz
- 46′HALF-TIME Świt Skolwin 1–1 Olimpia Grudziądz
- 52′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 52' Olimpia Grudziądz win: 44% at kick-off, 34% now
- 52′THE CALL SWINGS · 52' Draw is now our likeliest result at 39% (was Olimpia Grudziądz win 34%)
- 57′We said Olimpia Grudziądz at 44%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 32%. 1–1 · 26–42–32
- 58′🟨 YELLOW · 57' Olimpia Grudziądz
- 63′We said Olimpia Grudziądz at 44%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 29%. 1–1 · 23–47–29
- 65′🟨 YELLOW · 64' Olimpia Grudziądz
- 71′We said Olimpia Grudziądz at 44%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 24%. 1–1 · 19–57–24
- 71′SUBSTITUTION · 67' Świt Skolwin · On: K. Golebiewski · Off: K. Zendelek
- 71′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 71' Olimpia Grudziądz win: 44% at kick-off, 24% now
- 72′🟨 YELLOW · 71' Świt Skolwin
- 74′🟨 YELLOW · 71' S. Nowicki · Świt Skolwin
- 75′SUBSTITUTION · 70' Olimpia Grudziądz · On: K. Cichon · Off: D. Jastrzembski
- 75′SUBSTITUTION · 70' Olimpia Grudziądz · On: W. Szafranek · Off: D. Olejarka
- 75′SUBSTITUTION · 70' Olimpia Grudziądz · On: D. Baldyga · Off: A. Siemaszko
- 77′We said Olimpia Grudziądz at 44%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 19%. 1–1 · 15–66–19
- 79′🟨 YELLOW · 79' Olimpia Grudziądz
- 81′We said Olimpia Grudziądz at 44%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 14%. 1–1 · 12–74–14
- 81′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 81' Olimpia Grudziądz win: 44% at kick-off, 14% now
- 84′🟨 YELLOW · 83' Olimpia Grudziądz
- 85′We said Olimpia Grudziądz at 44%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 9%. 1–1 · 8–83–9
- 90′SUBSTITUTION · 85' Świt Skolwin · On: K. Ropski · Off: M. Koziara
- 92′We said Olimpia Grudziądz at 44%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 4%. 1–1 · 3–93–4
- 92′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 90+2' Olimpia Grudziądz win: 44% at kick-off, 4% now
- 93′1–1 at the end. Our 44% on Olimpia Grudziądz misses, and the record keeps it. 1–1 · 0–100–0
- FTFULL TIME Świt Skolwin 1–1 Olimpia Grudziądz
- FTŚwit Skolwin 1–1 Olimpia Grudziądz · Olimpia Grudziądz win: wrong · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: right
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
PassOlimpia Grudziądz are narrow favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Świt Skolwin 33%, draw 23%, Olimpia Grudziądz 44%. Over 2.5 goals 62%, both teams to score 63%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off
Świt Skolwin win33%
Olimpia Grudziądz win44%Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 14:30
RoundMatchday 12
VenueStadion Miejski Skolwin
Match timeline
All events
Świt SkolwinMIN
Olimpia GrudziądzEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Świt Skolwin
Olimpia Grudziądz
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Świt Skolwin
Olimpia Grudziądz
Last match: 10 Oct · II Liga - East
Last match: 12 Oct · II Liga - East
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Świt Skolwin
Formation not confirmed
31 M. Abramowicz
5 J. Goral
7 A. Gorgon
8 M. Koziara
10 D. Kort
13 S. Kapelusz
15 K. Wojdak
19 D. Kisly
23 S. Nowicki
24 K. Zendelek
34 A. Kifert
Coach · –
Substitutes
76 · J. Rajczykowski
3 · D. Szwiec
4 · S. Rogala
9 · K. Ropski
11 · K. Nowak
17 · S. Zan
18 · K. Golebiewski
22 · A. Wozniak
77 · P. Pieslak
Olimpia Grudziądz
Formation not confirmed
1 M. Jerke
14 B. Brzek
25 B. Zbiciak
93 I. Tsyupa
32 P. Stolc
33 D. Abramowicz
44 D. Frelek
7 D. Olejarka
13 H. Jasiak
17 A. Siemaszko
22 D. Jastrzembski
Coach · –
Substitutes
99 · J. Pawlak
5 · M. Wichtowski
11 · F. Wilak
16 · K. Fietz
10 · K. Cichon
19 · J. Stec
70 · F. Nowacki
29 · W. Szafranek
9 · D. Baldyga
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Świt Skolwin
Formation not confirmed
31 M. Abramowicz
5 J. Goral
7 A. Gorgon
8 M. Koziara
10 D. Kort
13 S. Kapelusz
15 K. Wojdak
19 D. Kisly
23 S. Nowicki
24 K. Zendelek
34 A. Kifert
Coach · –
Substitutes
76 · J. Rajczykowski
3 · D. Szwiec
4 · S. Rogala
9 · K. Ropski
11 · K. Nowak
17 · S. Zan
18 · K. Golebiewski
22 · A. Wozniak
77 · P. Pieslak
Olimpia Grudziądz
Formation not confirmed
1 M. Jerke
14 B. Brzek
25 B. Zbiciak
93 I. Tsyupa
32 P. Stolc
33 D. Abramowicz
44 D. Frelek
7 D. Olejarka
13 H. Jasiak
17 A. Siemaszko
22 D. Jastrzembski
Coach · –
Substitutes
99 · J. Pawlak
5 · M. Wichtowski
11 · F. Wilak
16 · K. Fietz
10 · K. Cichon
19 · J. Stec
70 · F. Nowacki
29 · W. Szafranek
9 · D. Baldyga
We make Olimpia Grudziądz a 44% chance to win. The market has them at 50%. We are 6 points less confident than the market. The model expects 1.5–1.8.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 50% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Świt Skolwin win | 33% | 26% | +7 |
| Draw | 23% | 24% | −1 |
| Olimpia Grudziądz win | 44% | 50% | −6 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 62% | 64% | −2 |
| Both teams to score | 63% | 65% | −2 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 83% | 83% | 0 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 40% | 44% | −4 |
| Świt Skolwin or draw | 56% | 50% | +6 |
| Świt Skolwin clean sheet | 18% | – | – |
| Olimpia Grudziądz clean sheet | 23% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 5 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
9 meetings since 2021/22Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in II Liga - East this season · since 29 Aug
ŚWIT SKOLWIN
OLIMPIA GRUDZIĄDZ
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Znicz Pruszków | 11 | +12 | 26 |
| 2 | Tychy 71 | 12 | +12 | 26 |
| 3 | Górnik Łęczna | 11 | +8 | 20 |
| 4 | Hutnik Kraków | 11 | +4 | 18 |
| 5 | Podhale Nowy Targ | 11 | +2 | 18 |
| 6 | Olimpia Grudziądz | 11 | −2 | 18 |
| 7 | Rekord Bielsko-Biała | 11 | +4 | 17 |
| 8 | Zawisza Bydgoszcz | 11 | +3 | 16 |
| 9 | Sandecja Nowy Sącz | 11 | +3 | 16 |
| 10 | Lechia Zielona Góra | 11 | +2 | 15 |
| 11 | Chojniczanka Chojnice | 11 | 0 | 15 |
| 12 | Avia Świdnik | 11 | −3 | 14 |
| 13 | Legia Warszawa II | 12 | +2 | 13 |
| 14 | Stal Stalowa Wola | 11 | −4 | 13 |
| 15 | Śląsk Wrocław II | 11 | −3 | 10 |
| 16 | Sokół Kleczew | 11 | −13 | 8 |
| 17 | Świt Skolwin | 11 | −14 | 8 |
| 18 | Resovia Rzeszów | 11 | −13 | 4 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.
Znicz Pruszków
Tychy 71
Górnik Łęczna
Hutnik Kraków
Podhale Nowy Targ
Rekord Bielsko-Biała
Zawisza Bydgoszcz
Sandecja Nowy Sącz
Lechia Zielona Góra
Chojniczanka Chojnice
Avia Świdnik
Legia Warszawa II
Stal Stalowa Wola
Śląsk Wrocław II
Sokół Kleczew
Resovia Rzeszów