Sokół Kleczew v Hutnik Kraków prediction · II Liga

Full timeGraded 11 Oct 16:04

Sokół Kleczew 1–2 Hutnik Kraków HUTNIK KRAKÓW WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Hutnik Kraków win~~44%

~~The market said~~41%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.468

~~The market’s Brier score~~0.524

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay4 notes · 32 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Hutnik Kraków win at 44%.
1′Little has changed for our model: Hutnik Kraków 44% before kick-off, 44% now. 0–0 · 31–25–44
1′KICK-OFF Sokół Kleczew v Hutnik Kraków
3′Little has changed for our model: Hutnik Kraków 44% before kick-off, 44% now. 0–0 · 31–25–44
27′🟨 YELLOW · 26' Sokół Kleczew
30′⚽ GOAL · 30' Sokół Kleczew 0–1 Hutnik Kraków
43′Hutnik Kraków find the net on 28′. 0–1. 0–1 · 8–20–73
43′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 43' Hutnik Kraków win: 44% at kick-off, 73% now
43′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 43' Hutnik Kraków win: 44% at kick-off, 41% now
44′Hutnik Kraków find the net on 28′. 0–1. 0–1 · 8–20–73
44′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 44' Hutnik Kraków win: 44% at kick-off, 41% now
44′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 44' Hutnik Kraków win: 44% at kick-off, 73% now
45′⚽ GOAL · 47' Sokół Kleczew 1–1 Hutnik Kraków
45′HALF-TIME Sokół Kleczew 1–1 Hutnik Kraków
45′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 45' Hutnik Kraków win: 44% at kick-off, 73% now
46′SECOND HALF Sokół Kleczew 1–1 Hutnik Kraków
50′🟨 YELLOW · 49' Hutnik Kraków
51′⚽ GOAL · 51' Sokół Kleczew 1–2 Hutnik Kraków
60′SUBSTITUTION · 55' Hutnik Kraków · On: D. Sciuk · Off: M. Gandziarowski
67′🟨 YELLOW · 66' Hutnik Kraków
71′SUBSTITUTION · 69' Hutnik Kraków · On: A. Motrych · Off: B. Florek
71′SUBSTITUTION · 69' Hutnik Kraków · On: I. Galek · Off: O. Kordykiewicz
78′SUBSTITUTION · 72' Sokół Kleczew · On: J. Tkaczyk · Off: M. Ksiazek
81′🟨 YELLOW · 26' K. Spiewak · Sokół Kleczew
81′⚽ GOAL · 29' Sokół Kleczew 1–2 Hutnik Kraków · B. Florek
81′⚽ GOAL · 47' Sokół Kleczew 1–2 Hutnik Kraków · B. Juszczyk
81′🟨 YELLOW · 49' M. Gandziarowski · Hutnik Kraków
81′⚽ GOAL · 51' Sokół Kleczew 1–2 Hutnik Kraków · K. Rzepka (assist O. Zawada)
81′SUBSTITUTION · 55' Hutnik Kraków · On: D. Sciuk · Off: M. Gandziarowski
81′🟨 YELLOW · 66' O. Kordykiewicz · Hutnik Kraków
81′SUBSTITUTION · 69' Hutnik Kraków · On: A. Motrych · Off: B. Florek
81′SUBSTITUTION · 69' Hutnik Kraków · On: I. Galek · Off: O. Kordykiewicz
81′SUBSTITUTION · 72' Sokół Kleczew · On: J. Tkaczyk · Off: M. Ksiazek
85′🟨 YELLOW · 85' Hutnik Kraków
86′🟨 YELLOW · 85' Hutnik Kraków
90′SUBSTITUTION · 86' Hutnik Kraków · On: N. Kholodov · Off: K. Rzepka
FTFULL TIME Sokół Kleczew 1–2 Hutnik Kraków
FTSokół Kleczew 1–2 Hutnik Kraków · Hutnik Kraków win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

An AI preview before kick-off and a review after full time, written from our recorded data. It is included with the 30-day pass.

The model’s prediction on this page stays free.

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Pre-match prediction

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Sokół Kleczew win31%

Draw25%

Hutnik Kraków win44%

Kick-offSUN 11 OCT · 13:30

VenueStadion Miejski w Kleczewie

Line-ups

Sokół Kleczew

Hutnik Kraków

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · this competition

Sokół Kleczew

Hutnik Kraków

8Days since last match8

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.

League table

2026/27

Positions of these teams

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
8	Hutnik Kraków	10	+3	15
16	Sokół Kleczew	10	−12	8

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Sokół Kleczew

Formation not confirmed

1 A. Lis

4 M. Wypych

5 K. Szymocha

15 J. Andrzejewski

19 M. Ksiazek

6 M. Piotrowski

8 D. Dudzinski

27 J. Antczak

9 B. Juszczyk

10 K. Spiewak

11 F. Adamski

Coach · Tomasz Pozorski

Substitutes

30 · A. Wojcik

2 · M. Zimmer

3 · M. Gawlik

14 · B. Zielinski

7 · J. Tkaczyk

17 · B. Kosiba

22 · A. Kubacki

23 · I. Lawrynowicz

47 · O. Dari

Hutnik Kraków

Formation not confirmed

1 M. Medrala

5 D. Burka

13 M. Gandziarowski

14 K. Bracik

25 V. Nweke

11 O. Kordykiewicz

19 O. Zawada

20 P. Sajdak

26 F. Laskowski

9 K. Rzepka

17 B. Florek

Coach · Krzysztof Swiatek

Substitutes

33 · W. Nowak

18 · M. Soja

24 · D. Sciuk

8 · N. Kholodov

16 · S. Bil

37 · A. Motrych

47 · I. Galek

Our number · hutnik kraków winPublished 11 Oct 13:43

44% The market41%

Us44%

~~Market~~41%

We make Hutnik Kraków a 44% chance to win. The market has them at 41%. We are 3 points more confident than the market. The model expects 1.3–1.6.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Sokół Kleczew win	31%	33%	−2
Draw	25%	26%	−1
Hutnik Kraków win	44%	41%	+3
Over 2.5 goals	55%	60%	−5
Both teams to score	58%	63%	−5
Over 1.5 goals	78%	79%	−1
Over 3.5 goals	33%	40%	−7
Sokół Kleczew or draw	56%	59%	−3
Sokół Kleczew clean sheet	21%	–	–
Hutnik Kraków clean sheet	28%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 9 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 11.4%

0123450 5.8 8.7 7.0 3.8 1 7.1 11.4 9.0 4.8 2 4.7 7.3 5.8 3.1 3 2.1 3.2 2.6 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Sokół Kleczew down, Hutnik Kraków across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,628 II Liga - East matches up to 11 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

II Liga - East matches have gone over 2.5 in 59.6% of games this season, across 94 played.

Head to head

2 previous meetings, 2.00 goals a meeting; 0 of 2 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Sokół Kleczew at home: 1.17 scored, 1.33 conceded a game (last 6). Hutnik Kraków away: 1.67 scored, 1.83 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.30 goals for Sokół Kleczew, 1.60 for Hutnik Kraków. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2025

~~Goals a meeting~~2.00

~~Over 2.5~~0 of 2

~~Both scored~~0 of 2

~~Last meetings~~HUT 2–0 SOK · SOK 2–0 HUT

Form · last six in II Liga - East

SOKÓŁ KLECZEW

LDLDDL1–6 · 1–1 · 0–4 · 1–1 · 2–2 · 1–2

HUTNIK KRAKÓW

DWLDLL1–1 · 2–1 · 2–4 · 1–1 · 0–2 · 0–2

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Znicz Pruszków	10	+11	23
2	Górnik Łęczna	10	+11	20
3	Tychy 71	10	+8	20
4	Podhale Nowy Targ	11	+2	18
5	Rekord Bielsko-Biała	11	+4	17
6	Zawisza Bydgoszcz	10	+4	16
7	Sandecja Nowy Sącz	11	+3	16
8	Hutnik Kraków	10	+3	15
9	Lechia Zielona Góra	11	+2	15
10	Chojniczanka Chojnice	11	0	15
11	Olimpia Grudziądz	10	−3	15
12	Avia Świdnik	11	−3	14
13	Stal Stalowa Wola	11	−4	13
14	Legia Warszawa II	10	+3	12
15	Śląsk Wrocław II	10	−3	9
16	Sokół Kleczew	10	−12	8
17	Świt Skolwin	11	−14	8
18	Resovia Rzeszów	10	−12	4