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Śląsk Wrocław II v Legia Warszawa II

Śląsk Wrocław II
2–2Full time
Legia Warszawa II

II Liga - East · WED 14 OCT · Stadion Oporowska

Full timeGraded 14 Oct 13:53
Śląsk Wrocław II 2–2 Legia Warszawa II ŚLĄSK WROCŁAW II WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTOVER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Śląsk Wrocław II win46%
The market said40%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.935
The market’s Brier score0.832

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay13 notes · 35 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Śląsk Wrocław II win at 46%.
  2. 1′Much as we predicted: Śląsk Wrocław II was 46% before kick-off and our model makes it 46% now. 0–0 · 46–22–33
  3. 1′KICK-OFF Śląsk Wrocław II v Legia Warszawa II
  4. 36′SUBSTITUTION · 29' Śląsk Wrocław II · On: P. Sokolowski · Off: K. Danielewicz
  5. 39′A goal for Legia Warszawa II on 38′ — 0–1. 0–1 · 16–23–60
  6. 39′⚽ GOAL · 38' Śląsk Wrocław II 0–1 Legia Warszawa II
  7. 39′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 39' Śląsk Wrocław II win: 46% at kick-off, 16% now
  8. 39′THE CALL SWINGS · 39' Legia Warszawa II win is now our likeliest result at 60% (was Śląsk Wrocław II win 16%)
  9. 40′We said Śląsk Wrocław II at 46%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 16%. 0–1 · 16–23–61
  10. 45′HALF-TIME Śląsk Wrocław II 0–1 Legia Warszawa II
  11. 46′We said Śląsk Wrocław II at 46%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 14%. 0–1 · 14–24–62
  12. 46′SECOND HALF Śląsk Wrocław II 0–1 Legia Warszawa II
  13. 46′⚽ GOAL · 46' Śląsk Wrocław II 1–1 Legia Warszawa II
  14. 47′46′ and it is 1–1: Śląsk Wrocław II have scored. 1–1 · 38–33–29
  15. 47′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 47' Śląsk Wrocław II win: 46% at kick-off, 38% now
  16. 47′THE CALL SWINGS · 47' Śląsk Wrocław II win is now our likeliest result at 38% (was Legia Warszawa II win 29%)
  17. 48′Goals are coming at about the 3.7 we expected. 1–1 · 37–34–29
  18. 51′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 51' Śląsk Wrocław II win: 46% at kick-off, 36% now
  19. 52′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Śląsk Wrocław II · On: M. Stangret · Off: I. Kobelczuk
  20. 53′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Śląsk Wrocław II · On: D. Warchol · Off: L. Zajaczkowski
  21. 56′We said Śląsk Wrocław II at 46%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 34%. 1–1 · 34–38–27
  22. 57′THE CALL SWINGS · 57' Draw is now our likeliest result at 39% (was Śląsk Wrocław II win 34%)
  23. 63′🟨 YELLOW · 63' Śląsk Wrocław II
  24. 65′🟨 YELLOW · 64' Legia Warszawa II
  25. 66′We said Śląsk Wrocław II at 46%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 29%. 1–1 · 29–47–24
  26. 66′🟨 YELLOW · 63' H. Muszynski · Śląsk Wrocław II
  27. 67′SUBSTITUTION · 63' Legia Warszawa II · On: E. Etchemendigaray · Off: D. Kiedrowicz
  28. 67′🟨 YELLOW · 64' B. Bicki · Legia Warszawa II
  29. 70′SUBSTITUTION · 63' Legia Warszawa II · On: M. Saletra · Off: A. Ryczkowski
  30. 71′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 71' Śląsk Wrocław II win: 46% at kick-off, 26% now
  31. 71′🟨 YELLOW · 71' Śląsk Wrocław II
  32. 74′Legia Warszawa II find the net on 73′. 1–2. 1–2 · 4–19–77
  33. 74′⚽ GOAL · 73' Śląsk Wrocław II 1–2 Legia Warszawa II
  34. 74′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 74' Śląsk Wrocław II win: 46% at kick-off, 4% now
  35. 74′THE CALL SWINGS · 74' Legia Warszawa II win is now our likeliest result at 77% (was Draw 19%)
  36. 75′We said Śląsk Wrocław II at 46%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 3%. 1–2 · 3–19–78
  37. 76′🟨 YELLOW · 71' D. Warchol · Śląsk Wrocław II
  38. 81′SUBSTITUTION · 79' Legia Warszawa II · On: J. Gliwa · Off: M. Mozdzen
  39. 82′SUBSTITUTION · 79' Legia Warszawa II · On: P. Mizera · Off: B. Bicki
  40. 89′A goal for Śląsk Wrocław II on 89′ — 2–2. 2–2 · 7–87–6
  41. 89′⚽ GOAL · 89' Śląsk Wrocław II 2–2 Legia Warszawa II
  42. 89′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 89' Śląsk Wrocław II win: 46% at kick-off, 7% now
  43. 89′THE CALL SWINGS · 89' Draw is now our likeliest result at 87% (was Legia Warszawa II win 6%)
  44. 90′We said Śląsk Wrocław II at 46%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 6%. 2–2 · 6–89–5
  45. 90′4 goals already, more than the 3.7 we expected for the whole match. 2–2 · 6–89–5
  46. 90′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 90' Śląsk Wrocław II win: 46% at kick-off, 6% now
  47. 90′SUBSTITUTION · 78' Śląsk Wrocław II · On: D. Moskaluk · Off: L. Coulibaly
  48. 90′SUBSTITUTION · 92' Legia Warszawa II · On: P. Konik · Off: C. Pchelka
  49. FTFULL TIME Śląsk Wrocław II 2–2 Legia Warszawa II
  50. FTŚląsk Wrocław II 2–2 Legia Warszawa II · Śląsk Wrocław II win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Over 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pass
Example · Everton v Chelsea · written before kick-off

Chelsea are slight favourites, but Everton are close behind.

Chelsea are our model’s narrow favourites at 38%, with Everton at 35% and the draw at 27%. Chelsea remain below an even chance: this is a slight lean towards the visitors, not a strong likelihood.

Everton are at home and unbeaten in the 2026/27 Premier League: two wins and four draws from six matches, earning 10 points, scoring eight and conceding five.

The AI’s read on Śląsk Wrocław II v Legia Warszawa IIBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

Published 14 Oct 10:39 · locked at kick-off

Śląsk Wrocław II win46%
Draw21%
Legia Warszawa II win33%

Kick-offWED 14 OCT · 11:00

VenueStadion Oporowska

Line-ups

Śląsk Wrocław II

Legia Warszawa II

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · this competition

Śląsk Wrocław II

Legia Warszawa II

4Days since last match4
1Matches in previous 14 days1

Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.

League table

2026/27

Positions of these teams

#TEAMPGDPTS
14Legia Warszawa II10312
15Śląsk Wrocław II10-39

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Śląsk Wrocław II

Formation not confirmed

1 D. Klint

5 H. Muszynski

7 K. Danielewicz

11 J. Nsangou

17 L. Coulibaly

22 A. Zulewski

23 L. Zajaczkowski

25 A. Wolosowski

38 D. Markowski

39 S. Rygiel

71 I. Kobelczuk

Coach · Michal Hetel

Substitutes

12 · G. Korytkowski

3 · A. Rozum

4 · M. Ceglinski

9 · M. Stangret

19 · D. Warchol

20 · J. Janiszewski

28 · D. Moskaluk

36 · P. Mazan

81 · P. Sokolowski

Legia Warszawa II

Formation not confirmed

1 J. Bienduga

3 M. Lauryn

4 L. Gora

7 C. Pchelka

11 A. Ryczkowski

14 M. Mozdzen

17 D. Kiedrowicz

22 K. Kosiorek

28 F. Przybylko

29 S. Piasta

32 B. Bicki

Coach · –

Substitutes

12 · D. Stolarienko

8 · M. Saletra

9 · P. Mizera

16 · P. Konik

19 · E. Etchemendigaray

20 · J. Gliwa

23 · A. Wyganowski

25 · B. Korzynski

30 · F. Pollok

Our number · śląsk wrocław ii winFirst published 9 Oct 06:15 · updated 14 Oct 10:39 · locked at kick-off
46% The market40%
Us46%
Market40%

We make Śląsk Wrocław II a 46% chance to win. The market has them at 40%. We are 5 points more confident than the market. The model expects 2.0–1.7.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Śląsk Wrocław II v Legia Warszawa II1.99 – 1.67
Last six in II Liga - EastW1 D0 L5 · W3 D0 L3
Table places · points 9 v 1215 v 14
The market · Śląsk Wrocław II win40% · ours 46%

Built from every result and the chances each side creates and concedes, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
35%40%45%50% 9 OCT 06:2014 OCT 04:47
Our probability · śląsk wrocław ii win The market, margin stripped

Published at 48%, 46% now. The market has gone from 37% to 40% in the same time.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Śląsk Wrocław II win46%40%+5
Draw21%26%−4
Legia Warszawa II win33%34%−1
Over 2.5 goals70%61%+9
Both teams to score69%65%+5
Over 1.5 goals88%82%+6
Over 3.5 goals50%43%+7
Śląsk Wrocław II or draw67%66%+1
Śląsk Wrocław II clean sheet19%––
Legia Warszawa II clean sheet14%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 9 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 8.6%
0123450 2.8 4.4 3.7 2.1 1 5.2 8.6 7.0 3.9 2 5.1 8.3 6.8 3.8 3 3.4 5.5 4.5 2.5 4 2.8 2.3 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Śląsk Wrocław II down, Legia Warszawa II across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

0 meetings since 2021

No meetings between these two in II Liga - East since 2021. Cup ties and meetings in other competitions are not counted here.

Form · last six in II Liga - East

ŚLĄSK WROCŁAW II

LLLLWL0–3 · 2–3 · 0–1 · 2–4 · 2–0 · 2–3

LEGIA WARSZAWA II

WLLLWW6–1 · 1–4 · 1–2 · 1–4 · 3–0 · 2–0

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Znicz Pruszków111226
2Tychy 71111123
3Górnik Łęczna11820
4Hutnik Kraków11418
5Podhale Nowy Targ11218
6Olimpia Grudziądz11-218
7Rekord Bielsko-Biała11417
8Zawisza Bydgoszcz11316
9Sandecja Nowy Sącz11316
10Lechia Zielona Góra11215
11Chojniczanka Chojnice11015
12Avia Świdnik11-314
13Stal Stalowa Wola11-413
14Legia Warszawa II10312
15Śląsk Wrocław II10-39
16Sokół Kleczew11-138
17Świt Skolwin11-148
18Resovia Rzeszów11-134

The competition's standings.