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Śląsk Wrocław II v Avia Świdnik

Śląsk Wrocław II
1–2Full time
Avia Świdnik

II Liga - East · SUN 18 OCT

Full timeGraded 18 Oct 16:04
Śląsk Wrocław II 1–2 Avia Świdnik ŚLĄSK WROCŁAW II WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Śląsk Wrocław II win50%
The market said35%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.817
The market’s Brier score0.571

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay14 notes · 29 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Śląsk Wrocław II win at 50%.
  2. 1′Much as we predicted: Śląsk Wrocław II was 50% before kick-off and our model makes it 50% now. 0–0 · 50–22–28
  3. 1′KICK-OFF Śląsk Wrocław II v Avia Świdnik
  4. 45′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 45' Śląsk Wrocław II win: 50% at kick-off, 40% now
  5. 45′HALF-TIME Śląsk Wrocław II 0–0 Avia Świdnik
  6. 46′SECOND HALF Śląsk Wrocław II 0–0 Avia Świdnik
  7. 51′We said Śląsk Wrocław II at 50%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 38%. 0–0 · 38–37–25
  8. 52′Avia Świdnik find the net on 54′. 0–0 · 38–38–24
  9. 55′We said Śląsk Wrocław II at 50%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 12%. 0–1 · 12–25–63
  10. 55′⚽ GOAL · 54' Śląsk Wrocław II 0–1 Avia Świdnik
  11. 55′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 55' Śląsk Wrocław II win: 50% at kick-off, 12% now
  12. 55′THE CALL SWINGS · 55' Avia Świdnik win is now our likeliest result at 63% (was Śląsk Wrocław II win 12%)
  13. 56′Śląsk Wrocław II score on 56′ to make it 1–1. 1–1 · 36–40–24
  14. 56′⚽ GOAL · 56' Śląsk Wrocław II 1–1 Avia Świdnik
  15. 56′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 56' Śląsk Wrocław II win: 50% at kick-off, 36% now
  16. 57′Goals are coming at about the 3.3 we expected. 1–1 · 36–41–23
  17. 57′THE CALL SWINGS · 57' Draw is now our likeliest result at 41% (was Avia Świdnik win 23%)
  18. 60′55′: K. Borys on the scoresheet for Śląsk Wrocław II, making it 1–1. 1–1 · 34–44–22
  19. 60′We said Śląsk Wrocław II at 50%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 34%. 1–1 · 34–44–22
  20. 60′SUBSTITUTION · 53' Śląsk Wrocław II · On: M. Tudruj · Off: A. Wolosowski
  21. 66′🟨 YELLOW · 65' Śląsk Wrocław II
  22. 66′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 66' Śląsk Wrocław II win: 50% at kick-off, 30% now
  23. 67′🟨 YELLOW · 67' Śląsk Wrocław II
  24. 68′We said Śląsk Wrocław II at 50%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 29%. 1–1 · 29–52–19
  25. 74′We said Śląsk Wrocław II at 50%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 24%. 1–1 · 24–60–16
  26. 77′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 77' Śląsk Wrocław II win: 50% at kick-off, 20% now
  27. 78′We said Śląsk Wrocław II at 50%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 19%. 1–1 · 19–67–13
  28. 79′SUBSTITUTION · 77' Śląsk Wrocław II · On: M. Stangret · Off: K. Borys
  29. 84′SUBSTITUTION · 73' Avia Świdnik · On: W. Kalinowski · Off: D. Assuncao
  30. 84′SUBSTITUTION · 73' Avia Świdnik · On: B. Falbierski · Off: K. Welniak
  31. 84′SUBSTITUTION · 79' Avia Świdnik · On: W. Karasiewicz · Off: D. Skiba
  32. 84′SUBSTITUTION · 79' Avia Świdnik · On: S. Kaminski · Off: K. Jodlowski
  33. 84′SUBSTITUTION · 72' Śląsk Wrocław II · On: D. Moskaluk · Off: L. Coulibaly
  34. 84′SUBSTITUTION · 72' Śląsk Wrocław II · On: D. Warchol · Off: A. Ciucka
  35. 85′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 85' Śląsk Wrocław II win: 50% at kick-off, 10% now
  36. 86′We said Śląsk Wrocław II at 50%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 9%. 1–1 · 9–84–7
  37. 86′SUBSTITUTION · 83' Avia Świdnik · On: G. Aftyka · Off: A. Remenyuk
  38. 88′Avia Świdnik find the net on 88′. 1–2. 1–2 · 0–7–92
  39. 88′⚽ GOAL · 88' Śląsk Wrocław II 1–2 Avia Świdnik
  40. 88′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 88' Śląsk Wrocław II win: 50% at kick-off, under 1% now
  41. 88′THE CALL SWINGS · 88' Avia Świdnik win is now our likeliest result at 92% (was Draw 7%)
  42. 89′We said Śląsk Wrocław II at 50%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at under 1%. 1–2 · 0–7–93
  43. 90′🟨 YELLOW · 89' Śląsk Wrocław II
  44. FTFULL TIME Śląsk Wrocław II 1–2 Avia Świdnik
  45. FTŚląsk Wrocław II 1–2 Avia Świdnik · Śląsk Wrocław II win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Śląsk Wrocław II are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Śląsk Wrocław II 50%, draw 22%, Avia Świdnik 28%. Over 2.5 goals 65%, both teams to score 64%.

The AI’s read on Śląsk Wrocław II v Avia ŚwidnikBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

Śląsk Wrocław II win50%
Draw22%
Avia Świdnik win28%

Kick-offSUN 18 OCT · 13:30

RoundMatchday 12

Line-ups

Śląsk Wrocław II

Avia Świdnik

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Śląsk Wrocław II

Avia Świdnik

4Days since last match8

Last match: 14 Oct · II Liga - East

Last match: 10 Oct · II Liga - East

2Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#TEAMPGDPTS
13Avia Świdnik11−314
15Śląsk Wrocław II11−310

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Śląsk Wrocław II

Formation not confirmed

1 D. Klint

2 D. Szala

17 L. Coulibaly

22 A. Zulewski

39 S. Rygiel

10 K. Borys

11 J. Nsangou

25 A. Wolosowski

38 D. Markowski

77 A. Ciucka

81 P. Sokolowski

Coach · Michal Hetel

Substitutes

12 · G. Korytkowski

3 · A. Rozum

4 · M. Ceglinski

18 · M. Krygowski

32 · M. Tudruj

19 · D. Warchol

20 · J. Janiszewski

9 · M. Stangret

28 · D. Moskaluk

Avia Świdnik

Formation not confirmed

31 M. Bialka

3 R. Kursa

26 M. Kolodziejski

33 M. Pigiel

99 M. Kumorek

15 D. Assuncao

24 P. Uliczny

36 K. Jodlowski

47 D. Skiba

9 A. Remenyuk

90 K. Welniak

Coach · Wojciech Szacon

Substitutes

1 · L. Jakubowski

14 · M. Wroblewski

25 · D. Zbozien

7 · W. Kalinowski

10 · G. Aftyka

17 · S. Kaminski

20 · W. Karasiewicz

23 · B. Falbierski

80 · E. Kryeziu

Our number · śląsk wrocław ii winFirst published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off
50% The market35%
Us50%
Market35%

We make Śląsk Wrocław II a 50% chance to win. The market has them at 35%. We are 15 points more confident than the market. The model expects 1.9–1.4.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Śląsk Wrocław II v Avia Świdnik1.94 – 1.40
Form · last six in II Liga - East this season · since 29 AugW1 D1 L4 · W1 D2 L3
Table places · points 10 v 1415 v 13
The market · Śląsk Wrocław II win35% · ours 50%

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
30%35%40%45%50%55% 12 OCT 04:0418 OCT 13:19
Our probability · Śląsk Wrocław II win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 35% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Śląsk Wrocław II win50%35%+15
Draw22%27%−5
Avia Świdnik win28%38%−10
Over 2.5 goals65%58%+7
Both teams to score64%61%+3
Over 1.5 goals84%78%+6
Over 3.5 goals43%38%+5
Śląsk Wrocław II or draw72%62%+10
Śląsk Wrocław II clean sheet25%––
Avia Świdnik clean sheet15%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 6 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 9.6%
0123450 3.8 5.0 3.5 1 6.9 9.6 6.6 3.1 2 6.6 9.1 6.4 3.0 3 4.3 5.9 4.1 4 2.1 2.9 2.0 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Śląsk Wrocław II down, Avia Świdnik across0–5 goals a side shown (98.0% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

No meetings since 2021/22

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2021/22.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in II Liga - East this season · since 29 Aug

ŚLĄSK WROCŁAW II

LLLWLD2–3 · 0–1 · 2–4 · 2–0 · 2–3 · 2–2

AVIA ŚWIDNIK

LLLDDW1–3 · 0–1 · 0–1 · 2–2 · 1–1 · 1–0

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Znicz Pruszków11+1226
2Tychy 7112+1226
3Górnik Łęczna12+720
4Olimpia Grudziądz12−219
5Hutnik Kraków12+318
6Podhale Nowy Targ11+218
7Chojniczanka Chojnice12+118
8Rekord Bielsko-Biała11+417
9Zawisza Bydgoszcz11+316
10Sandecja Nowy Sącz11+316
11Stal Stalowa Wola12−316
12Lechia Zielona Góra11+215
13Avia Świdnik11−314
14Legia Warszawa II12+213
15Śląsk Wrocław II11−310
16Świt Skolwin12−149
17Sokół Kleczew11−138
18Resovia Rzeszów11−134

The competition's standings before kick-off.