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Sandecja Nowy Sącz v Zawisza Bydgoszcz
Sandecja Nowy Sącz
Zawisza BydgoszczII Liga - East · SUN 18 OCT
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Sandecja Nowy Sącz win at 47%.
- 1′Little has changed for our model: Sandecja Nowy Sącz 47% before kick-off, 47% now. 0–0 · 47–26–28
- 1′KICK-OFF Sandecja Nowy Sącz v Zawisza Bydgoszcz
- 43′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 43' Sandecja Nowy Sącz win: 47% at kick-off, 37% now
- 45′SECOND HALF Sandecja Nowy Sącz 0–1 Zawisza Bydgoszcz
- 46′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Sandecja Nowy Sącz · On: P. Kielis · Off: A. Brenkus
- 46′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Sandecja Nowy Sącz · On: P. Kowalik · Off: S. Kawala
- 47′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Sandecja Nowy Sącz · On: T. Divis · Off: K. Ogorzaly
- 48′We said Sandecja Nowy Sącz at 47%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 11%. 0–1 · 11–25–64
- 48′⚽ GOAL · 48' Sandecja Nowy Sącz 0–1 Zawisza Bydgoszcz
- 48′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 48' Sandecja Nowy Sącz win: 47% at kick-off, 11% now
- 48′THE CALL SWINGS · 48' Zawisza Bydgoszcz win is now our likeliest result at 64% (was Sandecja Nowy Sącz win 11%)
- 49′Zawisza Bydgoszcz find the net on 45′. 0–1. 0–1 · 11–25–65
- 49′🟨 YELLOW · 48' Sandecja Nowy Sącz
- 51′🟨 YELLOW · 50' Zawisza Bydgoszcz
- 53′We said Sandecja Nowy Sącz at 47%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 9%. 0–1 · 9–24–66
- 53′We said Sandecja Nowy Sącz at 47%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 34%. 1–1 · 34–44–23
- 53′⚽ GOAL · 53' Sandecja Nowy Sącz 1–1 Zawisza Bydgoszcz
- 53′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 53' Sandecja Nowy Sącz win: 47% at kick-off, 34% now
- 53′THE CALL SWINGS · 53' Draw is now our likeliest result at 44% (was Zawisza Bydgoszcz win 23%)
- 54′A goal for Sandecja Nowy Sącz on 53′ — 1–1. 1–1 · 33–45–22
- 57′The goal count is tracking the 2.7 we expected. 0–1 · 12–25–63 Our live view briefly showed an older score here.
- 57′HALF-TIME Sandecja Nowy Sącz 0–1 Zawisza Bydgoszcz
- 58′🟨 YELLOW · 57' Zawisza Bydgoszcz
- 62′We said Sandecja Nowy Sącz at 47%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 29%. 1–1 · 29–51–20
- 65′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 65' Sandecja Nowy Sącz win: 47% at kick-off, 27% now
- 69′We said Sandecja Nowy Sącz at 47%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 24%. 1–1 · 24–59–17
- 69′SUBSTITUTION · 66' Zawisza Bydgoszcz · On: M. Stepien · Off: S. Rak
- 69′SUBSTITUTION · 66' Zawisza Bydgoszcz · On: I. Abdelhamid · Off: B. Kusmierczyk
- 69′SUBSTITUTION · 66' Zawisza Bydgoszcz · On: W. Szumilas · Off: J. Lukowski
- 72′We said Sandecja Nowy Sącz at 47%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 3%. 1–2 · 3–19–78
- 72′⚽ GOAL · 72' Sandecja Nowy Sącz 1–2 Zawisza Bydgoszcz
- 72′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 72' Sandecja Nowy Sącz win: 47% at kick-off, 3% now
- 72′THE CALL SWINGS · 72' Zawisza Bydgoszcz win is now our likeliest result at 78% (was Draw 19%)
- 73′Zawisza Bydgoszcz score on 73′ to make it 1–2. 1–2 · 3–18–79
- 73′3 goals already, more than the 2.7 we expected for the whole match. 1–2 · 3–18–79
- 75′72′: M. Stepien on the scoresheet for Zawisza Bydgoszcz, making it 1–2. 1–2 · 2–17–81
- 81′That is 4, and we only asked for 2.7 across ninety minutes. 2–2 · 13–78–9
- 81′SUBSTITUTION · 75' Zawisza Bydgoszcz · On: F. Kozlowski · Off: M. Mas
- 81′SUBSTITUTION · 75' Zawisza Bydgoszcz · On: M. Kona · Off: R. Kanach
- 81′SUBSTITUTION · 76' Sandecja Nowy Sącz · On: F. Piszczek · Off: M. Zurawski
- 81′⚽ GOAL · 81' Sandecja Nowy Sącz 2–2 Zawisza Bydgoszcz
- 81′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 81' Sandecja Nowy Sącz win: 47% at kick-off, 13% now
- 81′THE CALL SWINGS · 81' Draw is now our likeliest result at 78% (was Zawisza Bydgoszcz win 9%)
- 82′5 goals already, more than the 2.7 we expected for the whole match. 2–3 · 1–11–88
- 82′⚽ GOAL · 82' Sandecja Nowy Sącz 2–3 Zawisza Bydgoszcz
- 82′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 82' Sandecja Nowy Sącz win: 47% at kick-off, 1% now
- 82′THE CALL SWINGS · 82' Zawisza Bydgoszcz win is now our likeliest result at 88% (was Draw 11%)
- 83′Sandecja Nowy Sącz find the net on 82′. 2–3 · 1–10–90
- 84′A goal for Zawisza Bydgoszcz on 83′ — 2–3. 2–3 · 0–9–91
- 84′That is 6, and we only asked for 2.7 across ninety minutes. 3–3 · 9–84–7
- 84′⚽ GOAL · 84' Sandecja Nowy Sącz 3–3 Zawisza Bydgoszcz
- 84′THE CALL SWINGS · 84' Draw is now our likeliest result at 84% (was Zawisza Bydgoszcz win 7%)
- 85′Sandecja Nowy Sącz score on 84′ to make it 3–3. 3–3 · 8–85–6
- 88′SUBSTITUTION · 83' Sandecja Nowy Sącz · On: L. Gerstenstein · Off: B. Szeliga
- 92′We said Sandecja Nowy Sącz at 47% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 98%. 4–3 · 98–2–0
- 92′⚽ GOAL · 90+2' Sandecja Nowy Sącz 4–3 Zawisza Bydgoszcz
- 92′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 90+2' Sandecja Nowy Sącz win: 47% at kick-off, 98% now
- 92′THE CALL SWINGS · 90+2' Sandecja Nowy Sącz win is now our likeliest result at 98% (was Draw 2%)
- 93′Sandecja Nowy Sącz find the net on 90′. 4–3. 4–3 · 98–2–0
- 93′7 goals already, more than the 2.7 we expected for the whole match. 4–3 · 98–2–0
- 95′4–3 at the end. Our 47% on Sandecja Nowy Sącz comes in. 4–3 · 100–0–0
- FTFULL TIME Sandecja Nowy Sącz 4–3 Zawisza Bydgoszcz
- FTSandecja Nowy Sącz 4–3 Zawisza Bydgoszcz · Sandecja Nowy Sącz win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle; a marked row was checked against the match’s final record afterwards.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
Sandecja Nowy Sącz are favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Sandecja Nowy Sącz 47%, draw 25%, Zawisza Bydgoszcz 28%. Over 2.5 goals 50%, both teams to score 53%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off
Sandecja Nowy Sącz win47%
Zawisza Bydgoszcz win28%Kick-offSUN 18 OCT · 18:30
RoundMatchday 12
Match timeline
All events
Sandecja Nowy SączMIN
Zawisza BydgoszczEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Sandecja Nowy Sącz
Zawisza Bydgoszcz
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Sandecja Nowy Sącz
Zawisza Bydgoszcz
Last match: 9 Oct · II Liga - East
Last match: 11 Oct · II Liga - East
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Sandecja Nowy Sącz
Formation not confirmed
30 B. Glogowski
3 W. Plesnierowicz
24 K. Slaby
98 K. Ogorzaly
18 B. Szeliga
6 M. Zurawski
9 D. Holan
29 A. Brenkus
20 E. Kosinski
11 S. Kawala
7 M. Kolar
Coach · –
Substitutes
1 · K. Szymkowiak
8 · L. Gerstenstein
12 · T. Divis
19 · T. Kolbon
25 · F. Piszczek
26 · P. Kowalik
33 · B. Kasprzak
76 · P. Kielis
– · W. Walega
Zawisza Bydgoszcz
Formation not confirmed
1 M. Oczkowski
2 M. Dziarkowski
4 S. Golak
6 R. Kanach
11 S. Rak
13 J. Juskiewicz
24 M. Staniak
25 J. Lukowski
27 B. Kusmierczyk
77 M. Cywinski
90 M. Mas
Coach · Adrian Stawski
Substitutes
46 · T. Wojciechowski
8 · K. Bogusiewicz
9 · F. Kozlowski
10 · M. Kona
– · G. Pietruszkiewicz
17 · M. Stepien
20 · I. Abdelhamid
21 · W. Szumilas
23 · K. Nowak
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Sandecja Nowy Sącz
Formation not confirmed
30 B. Glogowski
3 W. Plesnierowicz
24 K. Slaby
98 K. Ogorzaly
18 B. Szeliga
6 M. Zurawski
9 D. Holan
29 A. Brenkus
20 E. Kosinski
11 S. Kawala
7 M. Kolar
Coach · –
Substitutes
1 · K. Szymkowiak
8 · L. Gerstenstein
12 · T. Divis
19 · T. Kolbon
25 · F. Piszczek
26 · P. Kowalik
33 · B. Kasprzak
76 · P. Kielis
– · W. Walega
Zawisza Bydgoszcz
Formation not confirmed
1 M. Oczkowski
2 M. Dziarkowski
4 S. Golak
6 R. Kanach
11 S. Rak
13 J. Juskiewicz
24 M. Staniak
25 J. Lukowski
27 B. Kusmierczyk
77 M. Cywinski
90 M. Mas
Coach · Adrian Stawski
Substitutes
46 · T. Wojciechowski
8 · K. Bogusiewicz
9 · F. Kozlowski
10 · M. Kona
– · G. Pietruszkiewicz
17 · M. Stepien
20 · I. Abdelhamid
21 · W. Szumilas
23 · K. Nowak
We make Sandecja Nowy Sącz a 47% chance to win. The market has them at 52%. We are 5 points less confident than the market. The model expects 1.5–1.1.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 52% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sandecja Nowy Sącz win | 47% | 52% | −5 |
| Draw | 25% | 25% | 0 |
| Zawisza Bydgoszcz win | 28% | 23% | +5 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 60% | −10 |
| Both teams to score | 53% | 61% | −8 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 75% | 81% | −6 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 28% | 40% | −12 |
| Sandecja Nowy Sącz or draw | 72% | 77% | −5 |
| Sandecja Nowy Sącz clean sheet | 32% | – | – |
| Zawisza Bydgoszcz clean sheet | 22% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 6 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
No meetings since 2021/22No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2021/22.
Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in II Liga - East this season · since 28 Aug
SANDECJA NOWY SĄCZ
ZAWISZA BYDGOSZCZ
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Znicz Pruszków | 11 | +12 | 26 |
| 2 | Tychy 71 | 12 | +12 | 26 |
| 3 | Górnik Łęczna | 12 | +7 | 20 |
| 4 | Podhale Nowy Targ | 12 | +2 | 19 |
| 5 | Olimpia Grudziądz | 12 | −2 | 19 |
| 6 | Hutnik Kraków | 12 | +3 | 18 |
| 7 | Chojniczanka Chojnice | 12 | +1 | 18 |
| 8 | Rekord Bielsko-Biała | 11 | +4 | 17 |
| 9 | Avia Świdnik | 12 | −2 | 17 |
| 10 | Zawisza Bydgoszcz | 11 | +3 | 16 |
| 11 | Sandecja Nowy Sącz | 11 | +3 | 16 |
| 12 | Lechia Zielona Góra | 12 | +2 | 16 |
| 13 | Stal Stalowa Wola | 12 | −3 | 16 |
| 14 | Legia Warszawa II | 12 | +2 | 13 |
| 15 | Śląsk Wrocław II | 12 | −4 | 10 |
| 16 | Sokół Kleczew | 12 | −13 | 9 |
| 17 | Świt Skolwin | 12 | −14 | 9 |
| 18 | Resovia Rzeszów | 12 | −13 | 5 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.
Znicz Pruszków
Tychy 71
Górnik Łęczna
Podhale Nowy Targ
Olimpia Grudziądz
Hutnik Kraków
Chojniczanka Chojnice
Rekord Bielsko-Biała
Avia Świdnik
Lechia Zielona Góra
Stal Stalowa Wola
Legia Warszawa II
Śląsk Wrocław II
Sokół Kleczew
Świt Skolwin
Resovia Rzeszów