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Model 1.2

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Resovia Rzeszów v Sokół Kleczew

Resovia Rzeszów
0–0Full time
Sokół Kleczew

II Liga - East · SUN 18 OCT · Stadion Miejski w Rzeszowie

Full timeGraded 18 Oct 16:43
Resovia Rzeszów 0–0 Sokół Kleczew RESOVIA RZESZÓW WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · WRONGUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Resovia Rzeszów win50%
The market said52%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.900
The market’s Brier score0.878

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay10 notes · 17 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Resovia Rzeszów win at 50%.
  2. 1′Much as we predicted: Resovia Rzeszów was 50% before kick-off and our model makes it 50% now. 0–0 · 50–24–26
  3. 1′KICK-OFF Resovia Rzeszów v Sokół Kleczew
  4. 43′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 43' Resovia Rzeszów win: 50% at kick-off, 40% now
  5. 43′🟨 YELLOW · 43' Resovia Rzeszów
  6. 44′🟨 YELLOW · 44' Sokół Kleczew
  7. 45′🟨 YELLOW · 45' Resovia Rzeszów
  8. 45′HALF-TIME Resovia Rzeszów 0–0 Sokół Kleczew
  9. 46′SECOND HALF Resovia Rzeszów 0–0 Sokół Kleczew
  10. 49′We said Resovia Rzeszów at 50%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 38%. 0–0 · 38–39–23
  11. 53′THE CALL SWINGS · 53' Draw is now our likeliest result at 42% (was Resovia Rzeszów win 36%)
  12. 55′We expected about 2.9 goals. There have been none, and the clock is running down. 0–0 · 35–43–21
  13. 57′We said Resovia Rzeszów at 50%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 34%. 0–0 · 34–45–21
  14. 57′🟨 YELLOW · 57' Resovia Rzeszów
  15. 63′🟨 YELLOW · 63' Resovia Rzeszów
  16. 64′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 64' Resovia Rzeszów win: 50% at kick-off, 30% now
  17. 66′We said Resovia Rzeszów at 50%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 29%. 0–0 · 29–53–18
  18. 70′SUBSTITUTION · 67' Sokół Kleczew · On: J. Tkaczyk · Off: A. Kubacki
  19. 72′We said Resovia Rzeszów at 50%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 24%. 0–0 · 24–61–15
  20. 76′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 76' Resovia Rzeszów win: 50% at kick-off, 20% now
  21. 77′We said Resovia Rzeszów at 50%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 19%. 0–0 · 19–69–12
  22. 77′🟨 YELLOW · 77' Sokół Kleczew
  23. 81′We said Resovia Rzeszów at 50%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 14%. 0–0 · 14–76–9
  24. 83′🟨 YELLOW · 82' Resovia Rzeszów
  25. 84′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 84' Resovia Rzeszów win: 50% at kick-off, 10% now
  26. 85′We said Resovia Rzeszów at 50%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 9%. 0–0 · 9–84–6
  27. 92′We said Resovia Rzeszów at 50%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 4%. 0–0 · 4–94–2
  28. FTFULL TIME Resovia Rzeszów 0–0 Sokół Kleczew
  29. FTResovia Rzeszów 0–0 Sokół Kleczew · Resovia Rzeszów win: wrong · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Resovia Rzeszów are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Resovia Rzeszów 50%, draw 24%, Sokół Kleczew 26%. Over 2.5 goals 55%, both teams to score 56%.

The AI’s read on Resovia Rzeszów v Sokół KleczewBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

Resovia Rzeszów win50%
Draw24%
Sokół Kleczew win26%

Kick-offSUN 18 OCT · 14:00

RoundMatchday 12

VenueStadion Miejski w Rzeszowie

Line-ups

Resovia Rzeszów

Sokół Kleczew

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Resovia Rzeszów

Sokół Kleczew

6Days since last match7

Last match: 12 Oct · II Liga - East

Last match: 11 Oct · II Liga - East

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#TEAMPGDPTS
17Sokół Kleczew11−138
18Resovia Rzeszów11−134

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Resovia Rzeszów

Formation not confirmed

1 J. Tetyk

2 J. Banach

7 M. Szkiela

9 J. Ortiz

10 J. Letniowski

14 M. Szwoch

22 K. Rebisz

23 M. Geniec

27 P. Krawczyk

55 D. Oko

95 P. Stepinski

Coach · –

Substitutes

91 · K. Bochniarz

8 · N. Kuzera

11 · B. Zimnicki

16 · G. Czapniewski

18 · S. Mida

20 · A. Chojecki

25 · G. Jaroch

31 · J. Staniszewski

77 · P. Romanowski

Sokół Kleczew

Formation not confirmed

1 A. Lis

5 K. Szymocha

6 M. Piotrowski

8 D. Dudzinski

9 B. Juszczyk

11 F. Adamski

15 J. Andrzejewski

19 M. Ksiazek

22 A. Kubacki

25 E. Marcinkowski

27 J. Antczak

Coach · Tomasz Pozorski

Substitutes

30 · A. Wojcik

2 · M. Zimmer

3 · M. Gawlik

4 · M. Wypych

7 · J. Tkaczyk

14 · B. Zielinski

17 · B. Kosiba

23 · I. Lawrynowicz

47 · O. Dari

Our number · resovia rzeszów winFirst published 12 Oct 03:54 · updated 14 Oct 04:47 · locked at kick-off
50% The market52%
Us50%
Market52%

We make Resovia Rzeszów a 50% chance to win. The market has them at 52%. We are within 2 points of the market. The model expects 1.7–1.2.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Resovia Rzeszów v Sokół Kleczew1.73 – 1.17
Form · last six in II Liga - East this season · since 28 AugW0 D2 L4 · W0 D3 L3
Table places · points 4 v 818 v 17
The market · Resovia Rzeszów win52% · ours 50%

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
40%45%50%55% 12 OCT 04:0418 OCT 13:48
Our probability · Resovia Rzeszów win The market, margin stripped

Published at 51%, 50% now. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 52% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Resovia Rzeszów win50%52%−2
Draw24%25%−1
Sokół Kleczew win26%23%+3
Over 2.5 goals55%57%−2
Both teams to score56%58%−2
Over 1.5 goals78%78%0
Over 3.5 goals33%36%−3
Resovia Rzeszów or draw74%77%−3
Resovia Rzeszów clean sheet31%––
Sokół Kleczew clean sheet18%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 6 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 11.1%
0123450 5.8 6.4 3.8 1 9.4 11.1 6.4 2.5 2 8.2 9.4 5.5 2.2 3 4.7 5.5 3.2 4 2.1 2.4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Resovia Rzeszów down, Sokół Kleczew across0–5 goals a side shown (98.9% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2021/22
Goals a meeting3.00
Over 2.51 of 2
Both scored2 of 2
Last meetingsRES 1–1 SOK · SOK 2–2 RES

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in II Liga - East this season · since 28 Aug

RESOVIA RZESZÓW

LDLLDL0–3 · 2–2 · 0–1 · 0–2 · 1–1 · 0–1

SOKÓŁ KLECZEW

DLDDLL1–1 · 0–4 · 1–1 · 2–2 · 1–2 · 1–2

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Znicz Pruszków11+1226
2Tychy 7112+1226
3Górnik Łęczna12+720
4Olimpia Grudziądz12−219
5Hutnik Kraków12+318
6Podhale Nowy Targ11+218
7Chojniczanka Chojnice12+118
8Rekord Bielsko-Biała11+417
9Zawisza Bydgoszcz11+316
10Sandecja Nowy Sącz11+316
11Stal Stalowa Wola12−316
12Lechia Zielona Góra11+215
13Avia Świdnik11−314
14Legia Warszawa II12+213
15Śląsk Wrocław II11−310
16Świt Skolwin12−149
17Sokół Kleczew11−138
18Resovia Rzeszów11−134

The competition's standings before kick-off.