Home › Football › II Liga - East › Rekord Bielsko-Biała v Sandecja Nowy Sącz

Rekord Bielsko-Biała v Sandecja Nowy Sącz

Rekord Bielsko-Biała

1–1Full time

Sandecja Nowy Sącz

II Liga - East · FRI 9 OCT · Stadion BTS Rekord

Full timeGraded 9 Oct 17:04

Rekord Bielsko-Biała 1–1 Sandecja Nowy Sącz REKORD BIELSKO-BIAŁA WIN · WRONGUNDER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · RIGHT

~~We said Rekord Bielsko-Biała win~~38%

~~The market said~~30%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.801

~~The market’s Brier score~~0.808

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

Rekord Bielsko-Biała win38%

Draw27%

Sandecja Nowy Sącz win36%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

FRI 9 OCT · 14:30

Venue · Stadion BTS Rekord

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Rekord Bielsko-Biała

Formation not confirmed

39 W. Kaczorowski

67 F. Sapinski

30 K. Kareta

3 J. Sobocinski

16 D. Pawlowski

6 D. Scislak

17 A. Gibiec

10 J. Rys

21 M. Tekieli

18 J. Kempny

19 K. Kasprzak

Coach · –

Substitutes

71 · S. Sobolewski

24 · L. Poznanski

14 · M. Hornik

32 · K. Gumolka

75 · P. Wyroba

91 · M. Klichowicz

11 · D. Swiderski

80 · G. Kasprowicz

– · I. Velychko

Sandecja Nowy Sącz

Formation not confirmed

30 B. Glogowski

3 W. Plesnierowicz

24 K. Slaby

98 K. Ogorzaly

18 B. Szeliga

6 M. Zurawski

9 D. Holan

29 A. Brenkus

17 M. Plocica

11 S. Kawala

7 M. Kolar

Coach · –

Substitutes

1 · K. Szymkowiak

26 · P. Kowalik

47 · W. Blyszko

8 · L. Gerstenstein

12 · T. Divis

19 · T. Kolbon

20 · E. Kosinski

23 · A. Danek

25 · F. Piszczek

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Rekord Bielsko-Biała

Formation not confirmed

39 W. Kaczorowski

67 F. Sapinski

30 K. Kareta

3 J. Sobocinski

16 D. Pawlowski

6 D. Scislak

17 A. Gibiec

10 J. Rys

21 M. Tekieli

18 J. Kempny

19 K. Kasprzak

Coach · –

Substitutes

71 · S. Sobolewski

24 · L. Poznanski

14 · M. Hornik

32 · K. Gumolka

75 · P. Wyroba

91 · M. Klichowicz

11 · D. Swiderski

80 · G. Kasprowicz

– · I. Velychko

Sandecja Nowy Sącz

Formation not confirmed

30 B. Glogowski

3 W. Plesnierowicz

24 K. Slaby

98 K. Ogorzaly

18 B. Szeliga

6 M. Zurawski

9 D. Holan

29 A. Brenkus

17 M. Plocica

11 S. Kawala

7 M. Kolar

Coach · –

Substitutes

1 · K. Szymkowiak

26 · P. Kowalik

47 · W. Blyszko

8 · L. Gerstenstein

12 · T. Divis

19 · T. Kolbon

20 · E. Kosinski

23 · A. Danek

25 · F. Piszczek

Our number · rekord bielsko-biała winPublished 9 Oct 14:32

38% The market30%

Us38%

~~Market~~30%

We make Rekord Bielsko-Biała a 38% chance to win. The market has them at 30%. We are 7 points more confident than the market. The model expects 1.3–1.3.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · rekord bielsko-biała win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. The market has not moved either.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Rekord Bielsko-Biała win	38%	30%	+7
Draw	27%	27%	0
Sandecja Nowy Sącz win	36%	43%	−7
Over 2.5 goals	47%	55%	−8
Both teams to score	52%	59%	−7
Over 1.5 goals	72%	77%	−5
Over 3.5 goals	25%	35%	−9
Rekord Bielsko-Biała or draw	64%	57%	+7
Rekord Bielsko-Biała clean sheet	29%	–	–
Sandecja Nowy Sącz clean sheet	28%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 10 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 12.7%

0123450 8.2 9.7 6.1 2.6 1 10.0 12.7 7.8 3.3 2 6.6 8.1 5.0 2.1 3 2.9 3.5 2.2 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Rekord Bielsko-Biała down, Sandecja Nowy Sącz across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,623 II Liga - East matches up to 9 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

II Liga - East matches have gone over 2.5 in 60.7% of games this season, across 89 played.

Head to head

2 previous meetings, 1.50 goals a meeting; 0 of 2 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Rekord Bielsko-Biała at home: 2.00 scored, 0.50 conceded a game (last 6). Sandecja Nowy Sącz away: 1.00 scored, 1.33 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.30 goals for Rekord Bielsko-Biała, 1.25 for Sandecja Nowy Sącz. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2025

~~Goals a meeting~~1.50

~~Over 2.5~~0 of 2

~~Both scored~~1 of 2

~~Last meetings~~REK 1–1 SAN · SAN 1–0 REK

Form · last six in II Liga - East

REKORD BIELSKO-BIAŁA

LLWWWL1–2 · 0–1 · 2–1 · 1–0 · 3–0 · 1–2

SANDECJA NOWY SĄCZ

DWLWDL1–1 · 3–0 · 1–2 · 4–2 · 0–0 · 1–3

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Znicz Pruszków	10	+11	23
2	Górnik Łęczna	10	+11	20
3	Tychy 71	10	+8	20
4	Podhale Nowy Targ	10	+2	17
5	Zawisza Bydgoszcz	10	+4	16
6	Rekord Bielsko-Biała	10	+4	16
7	Lechia Zielona Góra	10	+4	15
8	Hutnik Kraków	10	+3	15
9	Sandecja Nowy Sącz	10	+3	15
10	Olimpia Grudziądz	10	−3	15
11	Chojniczanka Chojnice	10	0	14
12	Avia Świdnik	10	−4	11
13	Stal Stalowa Wola	10	−5	10
14	Legia Warszawa II	9	+1	9
15	Śląsk Wrocław II	9	−2	9
16	Sokół Kleczew	10	−12	8
17	Świt Skolwin	10	−13	8
18	Resovia Rzeszów	10	−12	4