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Rekord Bielsko-Biała v Resovia Rzeszów

Rekord Bielsko-Biała
1–1Full time
Resovia Rzeszów

II Liga - East · SAT 24 OCT · Stadion BTS Rekord

Full timeGraded 24 Oct 14:04
Rekord Bielsko-Biała 1–1 Resovia Rzeszów REKORD BIELSKO-BIAŁA WIN · WRONGUNDER 2.5 · RIGHTNOT BOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · RIGHT
We said Rekord Bielsko-Biała win47%
The market said44%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.825
The market’s Brier score0.839

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay10 notes · 24 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Rekord Bielsko-Biała win at 47%.
  2. 1′A goal for Resovia Rzeszów on 1′ — 0–1. 0–1 · 23–23–54
  3. 1′KICK-OFF Rekord Bielsko-Biała v Resovia Rzeszów
  4. 2′We said Rekord Bielsko-Biała at 47%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 23%. 0–1 · 23–24–54
  5. 17′We said Rekord Bielsko-Biała at 47%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 19%. 0–1 · 19–25–56
  6. 24′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 24' Rekord Bielsko-Biała win: 47% at kick-off, 17% now
  7. 26′🟨 YELLOW · 26' Resovia Rzeszów
  8. 30′The goal count is tracking the 2.5 we expected. 0–1 · 16–25–59
  9. 32′🟨 YELLOW · 32' Resovia Rzeszów
  10. 35′We said Rekord Bielsko-Biała at 47%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 14%. 0–1 · 14–25–61
  11. 45′HALF-TIME Rekord Bielsko-Biała 0–1 Resovia Rzeszów
  12. 46′SECOND HALF Rekord Bielsko-Biała 0–1 Resovia Rzeszów
  13. 49′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Rekord Bielsko-Biała · On: G. Kasprowicz · Off: P. Wyroba
  14. 51′We said Rekord Bielsko-Biała at 47%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 9%. 0–1 · 9–24–66
  15. 54′Rekord Bielsko-Biała score on 53′ to make it 1–1. 1–1 · 32–47–21
  16. 54′We said Rekord Bielsko-Biała at 47%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 32%. 1–1 · 32–47–21
  17. 54′⚽ GOAL · 53' Rekord Bielsko-Biała 1–1 Resovia Rzeszów
  18. 54′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 54' Rekord Bielsko-Biała win: 47% at kick-off, 32% now
  19. 54′THE CALL SWINGS · 54' Draw is now our likeliest result at 47% (was Resovia Rzeszów win 67%)
  20. 59′🟨 YELLOW · 59' Rekord Bielsko-Biała
  21. 60′We said Rekord Bielsko-Biała at 47%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 29%. 1–1 · 29–51–19
  22. 61′🟨 YELLOW · 61' Resovia Rzeszów
  23. 64′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 64' Rekord Bielsko-Biała win: 47% at kick-off, 27% now
  24. 71′SUBSTITUTION · 68' Resovia Rzeszów · On: A. Chojecki · Off: G. Jaroch
  25. 72′SUBSTITUTION · 70' Resovia Rzeszów · On: B. Zimnicki · Off: P. Romanowski
  26. 75′SUBSTITUTION · 72' Rekord Bielsko-Biała · On: J. Kempny · Off: M. Tekieli
  27. 75′SUBSTITUTION · 72' Rekord Bielsko-Biała · On: D. Swiderski · Off: K. Kasprzak
  28. 77′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 77' Rekord Bielsko-Biała win: 47% at kick-off, 17% now
  29. 84′SUBSTITUTION · 82' Resovia Rzeszów · On: S. Mida · Off: J. Letniowski
  30. 85′SUBSTITUTION · 82' Rekord Bielsko-Biała · On: K. Gumolka · Off: J. Rys
  31. 85′SUBSTITUTION · 82' Resovia Rzeszów · On: N. Kuzera · Off: M. Szkiela
  32. 86′SUBSTITUTION · 83' Resovia Rzeszów · On: J. Staniszewski · Off: M. Szwoch
  33. 86′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 86' Rekord Bielsko-Biała win: 47% at kick-off, 7% now
  34. 91′We said Rekord Bielsko-Biała at 47%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 4%. 1–1 · 4–93–3
  35. FTFULL TIME Rekord Bielsko-Biała 1–1 Resovia Rzeszów
  36. FTRekord Bielsko-Biała 1–1 Resovia Rzeszów · Rekord Bielsko-Biała win: wrong · Under 2.5: right · Not both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: right

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Rekord Bielsko-Biała are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Rekord Bielsko-Biała 47%, draw 27%, Resovia Rzeszów 27%. Over 2.5 goals 45%, both teams to score 49%.

The AI’s read on Rekord Bielsko-Biała v Resovia RzeszówBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

Rekord Bielsko-Biała win47%
Draw27%
Resovia Rzeszów win27%

Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 11:00

RoundMatchday 13

VenueStadion BTS Rekord

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Rekord Bielsko-Biała

Resovia Rzeszów

6Days since last match6

Last match: 18 Oct · II Liga - East

Last match: 18 Oct · II Liga - East

1Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#TEAMPGDPTS
10Rekord Bielsko-Biała12+317
18Resovia Rzeszów12−135

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · rekord bielsko-biała winFirst published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off
47% The market44%
Us47%
Market44%

We make Rekord Bielsko-Biała a 47% chance to win. The market has them at 44%. We are 3 points more confident than the market. The model expects 1.5–1.0.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Rekord Bielsko-Biała v Resovia Rzeszów1.46 – 1.03
Form · last six in II Liga - East this season · since 5 SeptW3 D1 L2 · W0 D3 L3
Table places · points 17 v 510 v 18
The market · Rekord Bielsko-Biała win44% · ours 47%

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
40%45%50% 18 OCT 01:2324 OCT 10:45
Our probability · Rekord Bielsko-Biała win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 44% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Rekord Bielsko-Biała win47%44%+3
Draw27%26%+1
Resovia Rzeszów win27%30%−3
Over 2.5 goals45%58%−13
Both teams to score49%60%−11
Over 1.5 goals71%79%−8
Over 3.5 goals24%37%−13
Rekord Bielsko-Biała or draw73%70%+3
Rekord Bielsko-Biała clean sheet36%––
Resovia Rzeszów clean sheet24%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 9 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 12.5%
0123450 8.8 8.4 4.5 1 11.9 12.5 6.3 2.2 2 8.8 8.9 4.6 3 4.3 4.3 2.2 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Rekord Bielsko-Biała down, Resovia Rzeszów across0–5 goals a side shown (99.5% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

4 meetings since 2021/22
Goals a meeting3.00
Over 2.53 of 4
Both scored3 of 4
Last meetingsREK 2–1 RES · RES 1–0 REK · RES 1–2 REK · REK 2–3 RES

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in II Liga - East this season · since 5 Sept

REKORD BIELSKO-BIAŁA

WWWLDL2–1 · 1–0 · 3–0 · 1–2 · 1–1 · 0–1

RESOVIA RZESZÓW

DLLDLD2–2 · 0–1 · 0–2 · 1–1 · 0–1 · 0–0

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Znicz Pruszków12+1329
2Tychy 7112+1226
3Górnik Łęczna12+720
4Zawisza Bydgoszcz13+419
5Sandecja Nowy Sącz12+419
6Podhale Nowy Targ12+219
7Olimpia Grudziądz12−219
8Hutnik Kraków12+318
9Chojniczanka Chojnice12+118
10Rekord Bielsko-Biała12+317
11Avia Świdnik12−217
12Lechia Zielona Góra12+216
13Stal Stalowa Wola12−316
14Legia Warszawa II12+213
15Sokół Kleczew13−1112
16Śląsk Wrocław II13−610
17Świt Skolwin13−169
18Resovia Rzeszów12−135

The competition's standings before kick-off.