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Legia Warszawa II v Tychy 71
Legia Warszawa II
Tychy 71II Liga - East · SAT 17 OCT
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Legia Warszawa II win at 38%.
- 1′Little has changed for our model: Legia Warszawa II 38% before kick-off, 38% now. 0–0 · 38–25–36
- 1′KICK-OFF Legia Warszawa II v Tychy 71
- 16′🟨 YELLOW · 15' Legia Warszawa II
- 35′Tychy 71 score on 34′ to make it 0–1. 0–1 · 12–22–66
- 35′We said Legia Warszawa II at 38%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 12%. 0–1 · 12–22–66
- 35′The goal count is tracking the 2.9 we expected. 0–1 · 12–22–66
- 35′⚽ GOAL · 34' Legia Warszawa II 0–1 Tychy 71
- 35′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 35' Legia Warszawa II win: 38% at kick-off, 12% now
- 35′THE CALL SWINGS · 35' Tychy 71 win is now our likeliest result at 66% (was Legia Warszawa II win 12%)
- 45′HALF-TIME Legia Warszawa II 0–1 Tychy 71
- 46′We said Legia Warszawa II at 38%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 9%. 0–1 · 9–22–69
- 46′🟨 YELLOW · 45+1' Tychy 71
- 46′SECOND HALF Legia Warszawa II 0–1 Tychy 71
- 47′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Legia Warszawa II · On: K. Kosiorek · Off: L. Gora
- 50′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 50' Legia Warszawa II win: 38% at kick-off, 8% now
- 66′We said Legia Warszawa II at 38%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 4%. 0–1 · 4–19–76
- 66′SUBSTITUTION · 63' Tychy 71 · On: N. Niemann · Off: K. Plichta
- 66′SUBSTITUTION · 63' Tychy 71 · On: J. Eskinja · Off: D. Hoyo-Kowalski
- 66′SUBSTITUTION · 64' Legia Warszawa II · On: A. Ryczkowski · Off: M. Saletra
- 66′SUBSTITUTION · 64' Legia Warszawa II · On: P. Mizera · Off: B. Bicki
- 67′Legia Warszawa II find the net on 67′. 1–1. 1–1 · 23–55–22
- 67′SUBSTITUTION · 64' Legia Warszawa II · On: E. Etchemendigaray · Off: E. Mikanovich
- 67′⚽ GOAL · 67' Legia Warszawa II 1–1 Tychy 71
- 67′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 67' Legia Warszawa II win: 38% at kick-off, 23% now
- 67′THE CALL SWINGS · 67' Draw is now our likeliest result at 55% (was Tychy 71 win 22%)
- 68′We said Legia Warszawa II at 38%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 22%. 1–1 · 22–56–22
- 73′We said Legia Warszawa II at 38%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 19%. 1–1 · 19–63–18
- 74′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 74' Legia Warszawa II win: 38% at kick-off, 18% now
- 75′🟨 YELLOW · 75' Tychy 71
- 79′SUBSTITUTION · 76' Tychy 71 · On: B. Jankowski · Off: I. Lasicki
- 79′SUBSTITUTION · 76' Tychy 71 · On: T. Rygula · Off: M. Lewandowski
- 81′A goal for Tychy 71 on 80′ — 1–2. 1–2 · 1–11–88
- 81′3 goals already, more than the 2.9 we expected for the whole match. 1–2 · 1–11–88
- 81′⚽ GOAL · 80' Legia Warszawa II 1–2 Tychy 71
- 81′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 81' Legia Warszawa II win: 38% at kick-off, 1% now
- 81′THE CALL SWINGS · 81' Tychy 71 win is now our likeliest result at 88% (was Draw 11%)
- 90′SUBSTITUTION · 87' Legia Warszawa II · On: A. Wyganowski · Off: S. Piasta
- 93′SUBSTITUTION · 90+1' Tychy 71 · On: N. Baier · Off: D. Kadzior
- FTFULL TIME Legia Warszawa II 1–2 Tychy 71
- FTLegia Warszawa II 1–2 Tychy 71 · Legia Warszawa II win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
PassClose to call, with Legia Warszawa II just ahead.
The Pitchside prediction: Legia Warszawa II 38%, draw 25%, Tychy 71 37%. Over 2.5 goals 54%, both teams to score 57%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off
Legia Warszawa II win38%
Tychy 71 win37%Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 11:00
RoundMatchday 12
Match timeline
All events
Legia Warszawa IIMIN
Tychy 71Events will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Legia Warszawa II
Tychy 71
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Legia Warszawa II
Tychy 71
Last match: 14 Oct · II Liga - East
Last match: 11 Oct · II Liga - East
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Legia Warszawa II
Formation not confirmed
1 J. Bienduga
4 L. Gora
25 B. Korzynski
3 M. Lauryn
8 M. Saletra
14 M. Mozdzen
28 F. Przybylko
29 S. Piasta
7 C. Pchelka
13 E. Mikanovich
27 B. Bicki
Coach · –
Substitutes
12 · J. Trojanowski
16 · P. Konik
22 · K. Kosiorek
11 · A. Ryczkowski
20 · J. Gliwa
23 · A. Wyganowski
9 · P. Mizera
19 · E. Etchemendigaray
30 · F. Pollok
Tychy 71
Formation not confirmed
31 K. Myszkowski
16 P. Olkowski
26 I. Lasicki
45 D. Hoyo-Kowalski
75 J. Chorosinski
5 M. Horvat
6 O. Wojtczak
8 M. Begala
10 D. Kadzior
9 M. Lewandowski
18 K. Plichta
Coach · Rene Poms
Substitutes
13 · T. Proczek
14 · L. Tumala
27 · B. Brzek
7 · N. Niemann
11 · M. Koniuszy
21 · B. Jankowski
44 · N. Baier
77 · J. Eskinja
99 · T. Rygula
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Legia Warszawa II
Formation not confirmed
1 J. Bienduga
4 L. Gora
25 B. Korzynski
3 M. Lauryn
8 M. Saletra
14 M. Mozdzen
28 F. Przybylko
29 S. Piasta
7 C. Pchelka
13 E. Mikanovich
27 B. Bicki
Coach · –
Substitutes
12 · J. Trojanowski
16 · P. Konik
22 · K. Kosiorek
11 · A. Ryczkowski
20 · J. Gliwa
23 · A. Wyganowski
9 · P. Mizera
19 · E. Etchemendigaray
30 · F. Pollok
Tychy 71
Formation not confirmed
31 K. Myszkowski
16 P. Olkowski
26 I. Lasicki
45 D. Hoyo-Kowalski
75 J. Chorosinski
5 M. Horvat
6 O. Wojtczak
8 M. Begala
10 D. Kadzior
9 M. Lewandowski
18 K. Plichta
Coach · Rene Poms
Substitutes
13 · T. Proczek
14 · L. Tumala
27 · B. Brzek
7 · N. Niemann
11 · M. Koniuszy
21 · B. Jankowski
44 · N. Baier
77 · J. Eskinja
99 · T. Rygula
We make Legia Warszawa II a 38% chance to win. The market has them at 23%. We are 15 points more confident than the market. The model expects 1.5–1.4.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Published at 40%, 38% now. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 23% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Legia Warszawa II win | 38% | 23% | +15 |
| Draw | 25% | 25% | 0 |
| Tychy 71 win | 37% | 52% | −15 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 54% | 56% | −2 |
| Both teams to score | 57% | 56% | +1 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 77% | 77% | 0 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 32% | 35% | −3 |
| Legia Warszawa II or draw | 63% | 48% | +15 |
| Legia Warszawa II clean sheet | 25% | – | – |
| Tychy 71 clean sheet | 24% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 6 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
No meetings since 2021/22No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2021/22.
Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in II Liga - East this season · since 29 Aug
LEGIA WARSZAWA II
TYCHY 71
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Znicz Pruszków | 11 | +12 | 26 |
| 2 | Tychy 71 | 11 | +11 | 23 |
| 3 | Górnik Łęczna | 11 | +8 | 20 |
| 4 | Hutnik Kraków | 11 | +4 | 18 |
| 5 | Podhale Nowy Targ | 11 | +2 | 18 |
| 6 | Olimpia Grudziądz | 11 | −2 | 18 |
| 7 | Rekord Bielsko-Biała | 11 | +4 | 17 |
| 8 | Zawisza Bydgoszcz | 11 | +3 | 16 |
| 9 | Sandecja Nowy Sącz | 11 | +3 | 16 |
| 10 | Lechia Zielona Góra | 11 | +2 | 15 |
| 11 | Chojniczanka Chojnice | 11 | 0 | 15 |
| 12 | Avia Świdnik | 11 | −3 | 14 |
| 13 | Legia Warszawa II | 11 | +3 | 13 |
| 14 | Stal Stalowa Wola | 11 | −4 | 13 |
| 15 | Śląsk Wrocław II | 11 | −3 | 10 |
| 16 | Sokół Kleczew | 11 | −13 | 8 |
| 17 | Świt Skolwin | 11 | −14 | 8 |
| 18 | Resovia Rzeszów | 11 | −13 | 4 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.
Znicz Pruszków
Górnik Łęczna
Hutnik Kraków
Podhale Nowy Targ
Olimpia Grudziądz
Rekord Bielsko-Biała
Zawisza Bydgoszcz
Sandecja Nowy Sącz
Lechia Zielona Góra
Chojniczanka Chojnice
Avia Świdnik
Stal Stalowa Wola
Śląsk Wrocław II
Sokół Kleczew
Świt Skolwin
Resovia Rzeszów