Górnik Łęczna v Stal Stalowa Wola

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Górnik Łęczna win at 48%.
2. 1′Much as we predicted: Górnik Łęczna was 48% before kick-off and our model makes it 48% now. 0–0 · 48–23–29
3. 1′KICK-OFF Górnik Łęczna v Stal Stalowa Wola
4. 25′🟨 YELLOW · 25' Stal Stalowa Wola
5. 39′A goal for Górnik Łęczna on 39′ — 1–0. 1–0 · 74–18–8
6. 39′⚽ GOAL · 39' Górnik Łęczna 1–0 Stal Stalowa Wola
7. 39′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 39' Górnik Łęczna win: 48% at kick-off, 74% now
8. 40′We published Górnik Łęczna at 48%. Our model now makes it 74%. 1–0 · 74–18–8
9. 40′Goals are coming at about the 3.1 we expected. 1–0 · 74–18–8
10. 45′SUBSTITUTION · 42' Stal Stalowa Wola · On: D. Wolny · Off: J. Jelen
11. 45′HALF-TIME Górnik Łęczna 1–0 Stal Stalowa Wola
12. 46′We published Górnik Łęczna at 48%. Our model now makes it 75%. 1–0 · 75–19–7
13. 46′SECOND HALF Górnik Łęczna 1–0 Stal Stalowa Wola
14. 47′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Stal Stalowa Wola · On: J. Czerwik · Off: A. Rogalski
15. 53′Stal Stalowa Wola score on 52′ to make it 1–1. 1–1 · 36–40–24
16. 53′We said Górnik Łęczna at 48%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 36%. 1–1 · 36–40–24
17. 53′⚽ GOAL · 52' Górnik Łęczna 1–1 Stal Stalowa Wola
18. 53′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 53' Górnik Łęczna win: 48% at kick-off, 36% now
19. 54′THE CALL SWINGS · 54' Draw is now our likeliest result at 41% (was Górnik Łęczna win 35%)
20. 56′We said Górnik Łęczna at 48%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 34%. 1–1 · 34–42–23
21. 57′🟨 YELLOW · 56' Stal Stalowa Wola
22. 65′We said Górnik Łęczna at 48%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 29%. 1–1 · 29–50–20
23. 67′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 67' Górnik Łęczna win: 48% at kick-off, 28% now
24. 69′SUBSTITUTION · 63' Stal Stalowa Wola · On: D. Kaminski · Off: M. Grabowski
25. 69′SUBSTITUTION · 66' Górnik Łęczna · On: W. Niewiarowski · Off: B. Akhmedov
26. 69′🟨 YELLOW · 68' Górnik Łęczna
27. 72′We said Górnik Łęczna at 48%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 24%. 1–1 · 24–59–17
28. 77′We said Górnik Łęczna at 48%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 19%. 1–1 · 19–67–14
29. 78′🟨 YELLOW · 78' Górnik Łęczna
30. 78′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 78' Górnik Łęczna win: 48% at kick-off, 18% now
31. 80′SUBSTITUTION · 76' Stal Stalowa Wola · On: M. Radecki · Off: M. Sliwa
32. 80′SUBSTITUTION · 76' Stal Stalowa Wola · On: S. Kwapisz · Off: K. Nawrocki
33. 81′We said Górnik Łęczna at 48%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 14%. 1–1 · 14–75–10
34. 86′We said Górnik Łęczna at 48%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 9%. 1–1 · 9–85–6
35. 87′SUBSTITUTION · 86' Górnik Łęczna · On: J. Novotny · Off: F. Janaszek
36. 87′SUBSTITUTION · 86' Górnik Łęczna · On: D. Tkacz · Off: M. Walski
37. 87′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 87' Górnik Łęczna win: 48% at kick-off, 8% now
38. 88′Stal Stalowa Wola find the net on 88′. 1–2. 1–2 · 0–7–93
39. 88′We said Górnik Łęczna at 48%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at under 1%. 1–2 · 0–7–93
40. 88′⚽ GOAL · 88' Górnik Łęczna 1–2 Stal Stalowa Wola
41. 88′THE CALL SWINGS · 88' Stal Stalowa Wola win is now our likeliest result at 93% (was Draw 7%)
42. 92′🟨 YELLOW · 90+2' Stal Stalowa Wola
43. FTFULL TIME Górnik Łęczna 1–2 Stal Stalowa Wola
44. FTGórnik Łęczna 1–2 Stal Stalowa Wola · Górnik Łęczna win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.