Home › Football › II Liga - East › Chojniczanka Chojnice v Podhale Nowy Targ

Chojniczanka Chojnice v Podhale Nowy Targ

Chojniczanka Chojnice

2–2Full time

Podhale Nowy Targ

II Liga - East · FRI 9 OCT · Stadion Miejski Chojniczanka 1930

Full timeGraded 9 Oct 19:31

Chojniczanka Chojnice 2–2 Podhale Nowy Targ CHOJNICZANKA CHOJNICE WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Chojniczanka Chojnice win~~47%

~~The market said~~35%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.885

~~The market’s Brier score~~0.816

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay0 notes · 16 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Chojniczanka Chojnice win at 47%.
70′SUBSTITUTION · 60' Podhale Nowy Targ · On: S. Sobczak · Off: Marcinho
70′SUBSTITUTION · 60' Podhale Nowy Targ · On: D. Koltanski · Off: M. Surzyn
70′⚽ GOAL · 68' Chojniczanka Chojnice 2–2 Podhale Nowy Targ
70′SECOND HALF Chojniczanka Chojnice 2–2 Podhale Nowy Targ
70′SUBSTITUTION · 68' Podhale Nowy Targ · On: T. Kubik · Off: M. Lipien
70′SUBSTITUTION · 69' Chojniczanka Chojnice · On: H. Sobol · Off: J. Oleksiewicz
70′SUBSTITUTION · 69' Chojniczanka Chojnice · On: S. Stypulkowski · Off: H. Adamczyk
71′SUBSTITUTION · 69' Chojniczanka Chojnice · On: S. Stypulkowski · Off: H. Adamczyk
71′🟨 YELLOW · 72' Podhale Nowy Targ
81′🟨 YELLOW · 80' Podhale Nowy Targ
82′🟨 YELLOW · 80' Podhale Nowy Targ
82′SUBSTITUTION · 77' Chojniczanka Chojnice · On: K. Janicki · Off: V. Sabala
82′🟨 YELLOW · 80' R. Rachwal · Podhale Nowy Targ
87′🟨 YELLOW · 87' Chojniczanka Chojnice
93′🟨 YELLOW · 93' Chojniczanka Chojnice
FTFULL TIME Chojniczanka Chojnice 2–2 Podhale Nowy Targ
FTChojniczanka Chojnice 2–2 Podhale Nowy Targ · Chojniczanka Chojnice win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

Chojniczanka Chojnice win47%

Draw24%

Podhale Nowy Targ win30%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

FRI 9 OCT · 17:00

Venue · Stadion Miejski Chojniczanka 1930

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Chojniczanka Chojnice

Formation not confirmed

29 D. Primel

34 D. Nowacki

33 J. Teclaw

44 J. Smolarczyk

43 D. Szot

7 B. Szczepanek

31 J. Zywicki

27 H. Adamczyk

30 J. Sobeczko

97 J. Oleksiewicz

20 V. Sabala

Coach · Marek Brzozowski

Substitutes

88 · A. Czerniewicz

3 · D. Yukhymovych

8 · S. Stypulkowski

9 · H. Sobol

10 · M. Famulak

11 · K. Janicki

51 · M. Morek

– · A. Czyzewski

80 · F. Mosek

Podhale Nowy Targ

Formation not confirmed

33 D. Fratczak

7 L. Seweryn

21 P. Vosko

4 R. Sewerys

42 M. Lipien

26 K. Kumoch

6 B. Mikolajczyk

56 F. Baniowski

23 R. Rachwal

29 Marcinho

25 M. Surzyn

Coach · Tomasz Kuzma

Substitutes

1 · M. Styrczula

2 · K. Salak

11 · T. Kubik

14 · S. Sobczak

16 · J. Rubis

28 · A. Brod

41 · N. Gozdecki

71 · K. Talar

77 · D. Koltanski

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Chojniczanka Chojnice

Formation not confirmed

29 D. Primel

34 D. Nowacki

33 J. Teclaw

44 J. Smolarczyk

43 D. Szot

7 B. Szczepanek

31 J. Zywicki

27 H. Adamczyk

30 J. Sobeczko

97 J. Oleksiewicz

20 V. Sabala

Coach · Marek Brzozowski

Substitutes

88 · A. Czerniewicz

3 · D. Yukhymovych

8 · S. Stypulkowski

9 · H. Sobol

10 · M. Famulak

11 · K. Janicki

51 · M. Morek

– · A. Czyzewski

80 · F. Mosek

Podhale Nowy Targ

Formation not confirmed

33 D. Fratczak

7 L. Seweryn

21 P. Vosko

4 R. Sewerys

42 M. Lipien

26 K. Kumoch

6 B. Mikolajczyk

56 F. Baniowski

23 R. Rachwal

29 Marcinho

25 M. Surzyn

Coach · Tomasz Kuzma

Substitutes

1 · M. Styrczula

2 · K. Salak

11 · T. Kubik

14 · S. Sobczak

16 · J. Rubis

28 · A. Brod

41 · N. Gozdecki

71 · K. Talar

77 · D. Koltanski

Our number · chojniczanka chojnice winPublished 9 Oct 17:06

47% The market35%

Us47%

~~Market~~35%

We make Chojniczanka Chojnice a 47% chance to win. The market has them at 35%. We are 11 points more confident than the market. The model expects 1.7–1.3.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · chojniczanka chojnice win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. The market has gone from 36% to 35% in the same time.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Chojniczanka Chojnice win	47%	35%	+11
Draw	24%	26%	−2
Podhale Nowy Targ win	30%	38%	−9
Over 2.5 goals	58%	61%	−3
Both teams to score	60%	64%	−4
Over 1.5 goals	80%	80%	0
Over 3.5 goals	36%	41%	−5
Chojniczanka Chojnice or draw	70%	62%	+9
Chojniczanka Chojnice clean sheet	27%	–	–
Podhale Nowy Targ clean sheet	18%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 9 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 10.9%

0123450 5.2 6.3 4.2 1 8.2 10.9 7.0 3.1 2 7.1 9.1 6.0 2.7 3 4.1 5.2 3.4 4 2.3 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Chojniczanka Chojnice down, Podhale Nowy Targ across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,623 II Liga - East matches up to 9 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

II Liga - East matches have gone over 2.5 in 60.7% of games this season, across 89 played.

Head to head

2 previous meetings, 2.50 goals a meeting; 1 of 2 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Chojniczanka Chojnice at home: 1.67 scored, 1.33 conceded a game (last 6). Podhale Nowy Targ away: 1.00 scored, 2.00 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.72 goals for Chojniczanka Chojnice, 1.32 for Podhale Nowy Targ. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2025

~~Goals a meeting~~2.50

~~Over 2.5~~1 of 2

~~Both scored~~1 of 2

~~Last meetings~~POD 3–2 CHO · CHO 0–0 POD

Form · last six in II Liga - East

CHOJNICZANKA CHOJNICE

WDDWWL2–0 · 1–1 · 2–2 · 5–1 · 3–1 · 1–3

PODHALE NOWY TARG

DWWWLW1–1 · 3–1 · 2–1 · 5–0 · 0–3 · 2–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Znicz Pruszków	10	+11	23
2	Górnik Łęczna	10	+11	20
3	Tychy 71	10	+8	20
4	Podhale Nowy Targ	10	+2	17
5	Zawisza Bydgoszcz	10	+4	16
6	Rekord Bielsko-Biała	10	+4	16
7	Lechia Zielona Góra	10	+4	15
8	Hutnik Kraków	10	+3	15
9	Sandecja Nowy Sącz	10	+3	15
10	Olimpia Grudziądz	10	−3	15
11	Chojniczanka Chojnice	10	0	14
12	Avia Świdnik	10	−4	11
13	Stal Stalowa Wola	10	−5	10
14	Legia Warszawa II	9	+1	9
15	Śląsk Wrocław II	9	−2	9
16	Sokół Kleczew	10	−12	8
17	Świt Skolwin	10	−13	8
18	Resovia Rzeszów	10	−12	4