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Chojniczanka Chojnice v Legia Warszawa II

Chojniczanka Chojnice
2–3Full time
Legia Warszawa II

II Liga - East · SAT 24 OCT · Stadion Miejski Chojniczanka 1930

Full timeGraded 24 Oct 18:45
Chojniczanka Chojnice 2–3 Legia Warszawa II CHOJNICZANKA CHOJNICE WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Chojniczanka Chojnice win50%
The market said49%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.820
The market’s Brier score0.836

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay12 notes · 29 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Chojniczanka Chojnice win at 50%.
  2. 1′Much as we predicted: Chojniczanka Chojnice was 50% before kick-off and our model makes it 50% now. 0–0 · 50–22–28
  3. 1′KICK-OFF Chojniczanka Chojnice v Legia Warszawa II
  4. 20′🟨 YELLOW · 20' Legia Warszawa II
  5. 24′🟨 YELLOW · 23' Legia Warszawa II
  6. 28′Legia Warszawa II score on 28′ to make it 0–1. 0–1 · 21–24–55
  7. 28′We said Chojniczanka Chojnice at 50%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 21%. 0–1 · 21–24–55
  8. 28′⚽ GOAL · 28' Chojniczanka Chojnice 0–1 Legia Warszawa II
  9. 28′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 28' Chojniczanka Chojnice win: 50% at kick-off, 21% now
  10. 28′THE CALL SWINGS · 28' Legia Warszawa II win is now our likeliest result at 55% (was Chojniczanka Chojnice win 45%)
  11. 30′Goals are coming at about the 3.3 we expected. 0–1 · 21–24–55
  12. 30′Legia Warszawa II find the net on 30′. 0–2. 0–2 · 8–13–79
  13. 30′We said Chojniczanka Chojnice at 50%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 8%. 0–2 · 8–13–79
  14. 30′⚽ GOAL · 30' Chojniczanka Chojnice 0–2 Legia Warszawa II
  15. 30′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 30' Chojniczanka Chojnice win: 50% at kick-off, 8% now
  16. 45′HALF-TIME Chojniczanka Chojnice 0–2 Legia Warszawa II
  17. 46′We said Chojniczanka Chojnice at 50%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 4%. 0–2 · 4–11–85
  18. 46′SECOND HALF Chojniczanka Chojnice 0–2 Legia Warszawa II
  19. 46′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Legia Warszawa II · On: B. Bicki · Off: P. Mizera
  20. 49′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Chojniczanka Chojnice · On: H. Sobol · Off: J. Oleksiewicz Corrected
  21. 55′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Chojniczanka Chojnice · On: K. Janicki · Off: M. Famulak
  22. 57′SUBSTITUTION · 53' Legia Warszawa II · On: S. Piasta · Off: F. Stepniewski
  23. 59′🟨 YELLOW · 59' Legia Warszawa II
  24. 66′A goal for Legia Warszawa II on 66′ — 0–3. 0–3 · 0–1–99
  25. 66′⚽ GOAL · 66' Chojniczanka Chojnice 0–3 Legia Warszawa II
  26. 66′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 66' Chojniczanka Chojnice win: 50% at kick-off, under 1% now
  27. 71′SUBSTITUTION · 69' Legia Warszawa II · On: R. Boczon · Off: A. Ryczkowski
  28. 77′Chojniczanka Chojnice score on 77′ to make it 1–3. 1–3 · 0–3–97
  29. 77′4 goals already, more than the 3.3 we expected for the whole match. 1–3 · 0–3–97
  30. 77′⚽ GOAL · 77' Chojniczanka Chojnice 1–3 Legia Warszawa II
  31. 77′SUBSTITUTION · 67' Chojniczanka Chojnice · On: J. Sobeczko · Off: V. Sabala
  32. 77′SUBSTITUTION · 73' Chojniczanka Chojnice · On: J. Zywicki · Off: H. Adamczyk
  33. 81′SUBSTITUTION · 67' Chojniczanka Chojnice · On: H. Sobol · Off: F. Mosek
  34. 84′SUBSTITUTION · 80' Legia Warszawa II · On: P. Konik · Off: C. Pchelka
  35. 86′🟨 YELLOW · 85' Chojniczanka Chojnice
  36. 91′🟨 YELLOW · 90+1' Legia Warszawa II
  37. 92′Chojniczanka Chojnice find the net on 90′. 2–3. 2–3 · 0–4–96
  38. 92′⚽ GOAL · 90+1' Chojniczanka Chojnice 2–3 Legia Warszawa II
  39. 93′That is 5, and we only asked for 3.3 across ninety minutes. 2–3 · 0–3–97
  40. 93′🟨 YELLOW · 90+2' Chojniczanka Chojnice
  41. 94′🟨 YELLOW · 90+4' Legia Warszawa II
  42. FTFULL TIME Chojniczanka Chojnice 2–3 Legia Warszawa II
  43. FTChojniczanka Chojnice 2–3 Legia Warszawa II · Chojniczanka Chojnice win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle; a marked row was checked against the match’s final record afterwards.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Chojniczanka Chojnice are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Chojniczanka Chojnice 50%, draw 22%, Legia Warszawa II 28%. Over 2.5 goals 65%, both teams to score 64%.

The AI’s read on Chojniczanka Chojnice v Legia Warszawa IIBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

Chojniczanka Chojnice win50%
Draw22%
Legia Warszawa II win28%

Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 16:00

RoundMatchday 13

VenueStadion Miejski Chojniczanka 1930

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Chojniczanka Chojnice

Legia Warszawa II

7Days since last match7

Last match: 17 Oct · II Liga - East

Last match: 17 Oct · II Liga - East

1Matches in previous 14 days3

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#TEAMPGDPTS
10Chojniczanka Chojnice12+118
14Legia Warszawa II12+213

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · chojniczanka chojnice winFirst published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off
50% The market49%
Us50%
Market49%

We make Chojniczanka Chojnice a 50% chance to win. The market has them at 49%. We are within 1 point of the market. The model expects 1.9–1.4.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Chojniczanka Chojnice v Legia Warszawa II1.95 – 1.40
Form · last six in II Liga - East this season · since 5 SeptW3 D2 L1 · W2 D1 L3
Table places · points 18 v 1310 v 14
The market · Chojniczanka Chojnice win49% · ours 50%

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
45%50%55% 18 OCT 01:2324 OCT 15:12
Our probability · Chojniczanka Chojnice win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 49% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Chojniczanka Chojnice win50%49%+1
Draw22%24%−2
Legia Warszawa II win28%27%+1
Over 2.5 goals65%65%0
Both teams to score64%64%0
Over 1.5 goals84%83%+1
Over 3.5 goals43%44%−1
Chojniczanka Chojnice or draw72%73%−1
Chojniczanka Chojnice clean sheet25%––
Legia Warszawa II clean sheet15%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 10 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 9.7%
0123450 3.9 4.9 3.5 1 6.8 9.7 6.6 3.1 2 6.7 9.1 6.3 3.0 3 4.3 5.9 4.1 4 2.2 2.9 2.0 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Chojniczanka Chojnice down, Legia Warszawa II across0–5 goals a side shown (97.9% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

No meetings since 2021/22

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2021/22.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in II Liga - East this season · since 5 Sept

CHOJNICZANKA CHOJNICE

DWWLDW2–2 · 5–1 · 3–1 · 1–3 · 2–2 · 2–1

LEGIA WARSZAWA II

LLWWDL1–2 · 1–4 · 3–0 · 2–0 · 2–2 · 1–2

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Znicz Pruszków12+1329
2Tychy 7112+1226
3Górnik Łęczna13+1323
4Zawisza Bydgoszcz13+419
5Sandecja Nowy Sącz12+419
6Podhale Nowy Targ12+219
7Olimpia Grudziądz12−219
8Hutnik Kraków12+318
9Rekord Bielsko-Biała13+318
10Chojniczanka Chojnice12+118
11Avia Świdnik12−217
12Stal Stalowa Wola12−316
13Lechia Zielona Góra13−416
14Legia Warszawa II12+213
15Sokół Kleczew13−1112
16Śląsk Wrocław II13−610
17Świt Skolwin13−169
18Resovia Rzeszów13−136

The competition's standings before kick-off.