

ŁKS Łódź v Podbeskidzie
ŁKS Łódź
PodbeskidzieI Liga · SUN 18 OCT
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said ŁKS Łódź win at 53%.
- 1′Much as we predicted: ŁKS Łódź was 53% before kick-off and our model makes it 53% now. 0–0 · 53–24–23
- 1′KICK-OFF ŁKS Łódź v Podbeskidzie
- 14′🟨 YELLOW · 14' ŁKS Łódź
- 17′🟨 YELLOW · 17' Podbeskidzie
- 40′🟨 YELLOW · 40' ŁKS Łódź
- 40′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 40' ŁKS Łódź win: 53% at kick-off, 43% now
- 45′We said ŁKS Łódź at 53%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 41%. 0–0 · 41–37–21
- 45′HALF-TIME ŁKS Łódź 0–0 Podbeskidzie
- 46′SECOND HALF ŁKS Łódź 0–0 Podbeskidzie
- 50′We said ŁKS Łódź at 53%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 39%. 0–0 · 39–40–21
- 54′THE CALL SWINGS · 54' Draw is now our likeliest result at 43% (was ŁKS Łódź win 37%)
- 54′SUBSTITUTION · 51' Podbeskidzie · On: B. Martosz · Off: M. Sitek
- 55′We expected about 2.8 goals. There have been none, and the clock is running down. 0–0 · 37–43–20
- 56′🟨 YELLOW · 56' Podbeskidzie
- 59′SUBSTITUTION · 57' ŁKS Łódź · On: D. Sokol · Off: S. Karasinski
- 60′We said ŁKS Łódź at 53%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 34%. 0–0 · 34–47–19
- 61′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 61' ŁKS Łódź win: 53% at kick-off, 33% now
- 65′SUBSTITUTION · 64' Podbeskidzie · On: K. Gach · Off: O. Sewerzynski
- 65′SUBSTITUTION · 64' Podbeskidzie · On: A. Iwanczyk · Off: T. Hirosawa
- 67′We said ŁKS Łódź at 53%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 29%. 0–0 · 29–55–16
- 73′SUBSTITUTION · 70' ŁKS Łódź · On: K. Nowakowski · Off: M. Wysokinski
- 73′SUBSTITUTION · 70' ŁKS Łódź · On: K. Podlinski · Off: L. Szczygiel
- 74′We said ŁKS Łódź at 53%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 23%. 0–0 · 23–64–13
- 74′🟨 YELLOW · 73' ŁKS Łódź
- 74′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 74' ŁKS Łódź win: 53% at kick-off, 23% now
- 78′We said ŁKS Łódź at 53%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 18%. 0–0 · 18–71–11
- 82′We said ŁKS Łódź at 53%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 13%. 0–0 · 13–79–8
- 82′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 82' ŁKS Łódź win: 53% at kick-off, 13% now
- 82′SUBSTITUTION · 80' Podbeskidzie · On: Y. Shikavka · Off: L. Klisiewicz
- 82′SUBSTITUTION · 80' Podbeskidzie · On: K. Smolinski · Off: M. Rakoczy
- 83′SUBSTITUTION · 80' ŁKS Łódź · On: K. Terlecki · Off: M. Kaput
- 83′SUBSTITUTION · 80' ŁKS Łódź · On: I. Strzalek · Off: J. Keiblinger
- 86′We said ŁKS Łódź at 53%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 9%. 0–0 · 9–86–5
- 86′🟨 YELLOW · 85' Podbeskidzie
- 91′ŁKS Łódź score on 90′ to make it 1–0. 1–0 · 97–3–0
- 91′We published ŁKS Łódź at 53%. Our model now makes it 97%. 1–0 · 97–3–0
- 91′⚽ GOAL · 90+1' ŁKS Łódź 1–0 Podbeskidzie
- 91′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 90+1' ŁKS Łódź win: 53% at kick-off, 97% now
- 91′THE CALL SWINGS · 90+1' ŁKS Łódź win is now our likeliest result at 97% (was Draw 3%)
- FTFULL TIME ŁKS Łódź 1–0 Podbeskidzie
- FTŁKS Łódź 1–0 Podbeskidzie · ŁKS Łódź win: right · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
ŁKS Łódź are favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: ŁKS Łódź 53%, draw 24%, Podbeskidzie 23%. Over 2.5 goals 54%, both teams to score 54%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off
ŁKS Łódź win53%
Podbeskidzie win23%Kick-offSUN 18 OCT · 13:30
RoundMatchday 11
RefereeF. Kaliszewski
Match timeline
All events
ŁKS ŁódźMIN
PodbeskidzieEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
ŁKS Łódź
Podbeskidzie
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
ŁKS Łódź
Podbeskidzie
Last match: 11 Oct · I Liga
Last match: 9 Oct · I Liga
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
ŁKS Łódź
Formation not confirmed
77 D. Weglarz
6 S. Rudol
22 A. Craciun
4 B. Farbiszewski
37 J. Keiblinger
20 M. Wysokinski
28 M. Kaput
8 K. Hinokio
38 S. Karasinski
33 L. Szczygiel
9 A. Arasa
Coach · Grzegorz Szoka
Substitutes
1 · L. Bomba
3 · K. Falowski
5 · L. Wiech
7 · D. Sokol
10 · I. Strzalek
13 · K. Podlinski
17 · K. Prusinski
19 · K. Nowakowski
88 · K. Terlecki
Podbeskidzie
Formation not confirmed
99 S. Branczyk
17 J. Majsterek
4 M. Biernat
3 A. Kasperkiewicz
7 M. Sitek
14 M. Urynowicz
26 O. Sewerzynski
98 W. Slomka
11 T. Hirosawa
90 L. Klisiewicz
6 M. Rakoczy
Coach · Marcin Wlodarski
Substitutes
91 · M. Matys
2 · K. Sochan
8 · D. Takac
9 · Y. Shikavka
10 · D. Pietraszkiewicz
16 · K. Smolinski
22 · K. Gach
27 · A. Iwanczyk
84 · B. Martosz
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
ŁKS Łódź
Formation not confirmed
77 D. Weglarz
6 S. Rudol
22 A. Craciun
4 B. Farbiszewski
37 J. Keiblinger
20 M. Wysokinski
28 M. Kaput
8 K. Hinokio
38 S. Karasinski
33 L. Szczygiel
9 A. Arasa
Coach · Grzegorz Szoka
Substitutes
1 · L. Bomba
3 · K. Falowski
5 · L. Wiech
7 · D. Sokol
10 · I. Strzalek
13 · K. Podlinski
17 · K. Prusinski
19 · K. Nowakowski
88 · K. Terlecki
Podbeskidzie
Formation not confirmed
99 S. Branczyk
17 J. Majsterek
4 M. Biernat
3 A. Kasperkiewicz
7 M. Sitek
14 M. Urynowicz
26 O. Sewerzynski
98 W. Slomka
11 T. Hirosawa
90 L. Klisiewicz
6 M. Rakoczy
Coach · Marcin Wlodarski
Substitutes
91 · M. Matys
2 · K. Sochan
8 · D. Takac
9 · Y. Shikavka
10 · D. Pietraszkiewicz
16 · K. Smolinski
22 · K. Gach
27 · A. Iwanczyk
84 · B. Martosz
We make ŁKS Łódź a 53% chance to win. The market has them at 52%. We are within 1 point of the market. The model expects 1.8–1.1.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Our number has not moved since we published. The market has gone from 51% to 52% in the same time.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| ŁKS Łódź win | 53% | 52% | +1 |
| Draw | 24% | 25% | −1 |
| Podbeskidzie win | 23% | 24% | −1 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 54% | 56% | −2 |
| Both teams to score | 54% | 58% | −4 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 78% | 78% | 0 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 32% | 34% | −2 |
| ŁKS Łódź or draw | 77% | 76% | +1 |
| ŁKS Łódź clean sheet | 34% | – | – |
| Podbeskidzie clean sheet | 18% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 6 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
4 meetings since 2021/22Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in I Liga this season · since 22 Aug
ŁKS ŁÓDŹ
PODBESKIDZIE
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki | 11 | +10 | 21 |
| 2 | Polonia Warszawa | 11 | +5 | 20 |
| 3 | Warta Poznań | 11 | +4 | 18 |
| 4 | Ruch Chorzów | 11 | +3 | 18 |
| 5 | Miedz Legnica | 11 | +7 | 17 |
| 6 | Nieciecza | 10 | +2 | 17 |
| 7 | Lechia Gdansk | 10 | +3 | 16 |
| 8 | ŁKS Łódź | 10 | +2 | 15 |
| 9 | Polonia Bytom | 11 | −1 | 15 |
| 10 | Stal Rzeszów | 10 | −6 | 14 |
| 11 | Pogoń Siedlce | 10 | −1 | 12 |
| 12 | Chrobry Głogów | 11 | −2 | 12 |
| 13 | Odra Opole | 11 | −4 | 12 |
| 14 | Stal Mielec | 11 | −11 | 12 |
| 15 | Podbeskidzie | 10 | −1 | 11 |
| 16 | Arka Gdynia | 10 | −1 | 11 |
| 17 | Unia Skierniewice | 11 | −6 | 11 |
| 18 | Puszcza Niepołomice | 10 | −3 | 9 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
Polonia Warszawa
Warta Poznań
Ruch Chorzów
Miedz Legnica
Nieciecza
Lechia Gdansk
Polonia Bytom
Stal Rzeszów
Pogoń Siedlce
Chrobry Głogów
Odra Opole
Stal Mielec
Arka Gdynia
Unia Skierniewice
Puszcza Niepołomice