UKS Łódź W v Rekord Bielsko-Biala W prediction · Ekstraliga Women

Full timeGraded 18 Oct 01:51

UKS Łódź W 1–1 Rekord Bielsko-Biala W UKS ŁÓDŹ W WIN · WRONGUNDER 2.5 · RIGHTNOT BOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–0 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said UKS Łódź W win~~52%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.896

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pass

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

UKS Łódź W are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: UKS Łódź W 52%, draw 24%, Rekord Bielsko-Biala W 24%. Over 2.5 goals 46%, both teams to score 48%.

The AI’s read on UKS Łódź W v Rekord Bielsko-Biala WBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

UKS Łódź W win52%

Draw24%

Rekord Bielsko-Biala W win24%

Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 11:00

RoundMatchday 8

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

UKS Łódź W

Rekord Bielsko-Biala W

13Days since last match13

Last match: 4 Oct · Ekstraliga Women

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
8	Rekord Bielsko-Biala W	7	−8	6
9	UKS Łódź W	6	−7	5

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · uks łódź w winFirst published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

52% The market–

Us52%

We make UKS Łódź W a 52% chance to win. The model expects 1.6–1.0, and 1–0 is the single most likely score at 13%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · UKS Łódź W v Rekord Bielsko-Biala W~~1.56 – 0.96

~~Form · last six in Ekstraliga Women this season · since 31 July~~W1 D2 L3 · W1 D3 L2

~~Table places · points 5 v 6~~9 v 8

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
UKS Łódź W win	52%	–	–
Draw	24%	–	–
Rekord Bielsko-Biala W win	24%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	46%	–	–
Both teams to score	48%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	71%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	25%	–	–
UKS Łódź W or draw	76%	–	–
UKS Łódź W clean sheet	39%	–	–
Rekord Bielsko-Biala W clean sheet	21%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 13.2%

0123450 7.8 8.2 3.8 1 13.2 11.3 5.7 2 9.8 9.1 4.4 3 5.1 4.7 2.3 4 2.0 5

under 2% 5% 12%+UKS Łódź W down, Rekord Bielsko-Biala W across0–5 goals a side shown (99.3% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 423 Ekstraliga Women matches up to 4 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Ekstraliga Women matches have gone over 2.5 in 73.7% of games this season, across 38 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 6 previous meetings since 2023/24 in every competition we cover, 2.17 goals a meeting; 2 of 6 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

UKS Łódź W at home: 0.83 scored, 1.00 conceded a game (last 6). Rekord Bielsko-Biala W away: 1.50 scored, 2.17 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.56 goals for UKS Łódź W, 0.96 for Rekord Bielsko-Biala W. Most likely score 1–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

6 meetings since 2023/24

~~Goals a meeting~~2.17

~~Over 2.5~~2 of 6

~~Both scored~~1 of 6

~~Last meetings~~UKS 2–0 REK · REK 1–4 UKS · REK 0–3 UKS · UKS 0–0 REK

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Ekstraliga Women this season · since 31 July

UKS ŁÓDŹ W

LDDLLW0–5 · 1–1 · 0–0 · 1–2 · 0–2 · 2–1

REKORD BIELSKO-BIALA W

LLDDDW1–4 · 1–5 · 1–1 · 1–1 · 1–1 · 2–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	GKS Katowice W	6	+15	16
2	Górnik Łęczna W	6	+12	15
3	Czarni Sosnowiec W	5	+12	13
4	Akademia Piłkarska LG W	7	+2	13
5	Pogon Szczecin W	7	+7	12
6	UJ Krakow W	6	0	10
7	Legia W	7	−4	9
8	Rekord Bielsko-Biala W	7	−8	6
9	UKS Łódź W	6	−7	5
10	Lech Poznan W	6	−9	4
11	Slask Wroclaw W	7	−9	3
12	Sleza Wroclaw W	6	−11	1