Sleza Wroclaw W v Czarni Sosnowiec W prediction · Ekstraliga Women

Full timeGraded 22 Oct 01:30

Sleza Wroclaw W 4–2 Czarni Sosnowiec W CZARNI SOSNOWIEC W WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTOVER 3.5 · RIGHT0–3 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Czarni Sosnowiec W win~~85%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~1.615

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Czarni Sosnowiec W are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Sleza Wroclaw W 6%, draw 9%, Czarni Sosnowiec W 85%. Over 2.5 goals 82%, both teams to score 55%.

The AI’s read on Sleza Wroclaw W v Czarni Sosnowiec WBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 15 Oct 04:33 · locked at kick-off

Sleza Wroclaw W win6%

Draw9%

Czarni Sosnowiec W win85%

Kick-offWED 21 OCT · 19:00

RoundMatchday 2

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Sleza Wroclaw W

Czarni Sosnowiec W

4Days since last match4

Last match: 17 Oct · Ekstraliga Women

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
4	Czarni Sosnowiec W	6	+12	14
11	Sleza Wroclaw W	7	−10	4

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · czarni sosnowiec w winFirst published 15 Oct 04:33 · updated 18 Oct 02:11 · locked at kick-off

85% The market–

Us85%

We make Czarni Sosnowiec W an 85% chance to win. The model expects 0.9–3.8, and 0–3 is the single most likely score at 8%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Sleza Wroclaw W v Czarni Sosnowiec W~~0.88 – 3.76

~~Form · last six in Ekstraliga Women this season · since 31 July~~W1 D1 L4 · W4 D2 L0

~~Table places · points 4 v 14~~11 v 4

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · Czarni Sosnowiec W win

Published at 87%, 85% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Sleza Wroclaw W win	6%	–	–
Draw	9%	–	–
Czarni Sosnowiec W win	85%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	82%	–	–
Both teams to score	55%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	93%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	66%	–	–
Sleza Wroclaw W or draw	15%	–	–
Sleza Wroclaw W clean sheet	3%	–	–
Czarni Sosnowiec W clean sheet	43%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 0–3 at 8.2%

0123450 4.2 7.0 8.2 7.5 5.71 3.6 6.1 6.9 6.1 4.52 2.8 3.2 2.7 3 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Sleza Wroclaw W down, Czarni Sosnowiec W across0–5 goals a side shown (80.7% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 429 Ekstraliga Women matches up to 18 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Ekstraliga Women matches have gone over 2.5 in 70.5% of games this season, across 44 played.

Head to head

No meeting between these two in any competition we cover since 2026/27.

Home and away form

Sleza Wroclaw W at home: 1.33 scored, 2.33 conceded a game (last 3). Czarni Sosnowiec W away: 3.50 scored, 1.00 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

0.88 goals for Sleza Wroclaw W, 3.76 for Czarni Sosnowiec W. Most likely score 0–3.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

No meetings since 2026/27

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2026/27.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Ekstraliga Women this season · since 31 July

SLEZA WROCLAW W

DLLLLW0–0 · 1–2 · 2–5 · 1–3 · 1–4 · 3–2

CZARNI SOSNOWIEC W

WDWWWD5–0 · 3–3 · 3–0 · 2–0 · 2–0 · 1–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	GKS Katowice W	7	+18	19
2	Górnik Łęczna W	7	+12	16
3	Pogon Szczecin W	8	+9	15
4	Czarni Sosnowiec W	6	+12	14
5	Akademia Piłkarska LG W	8	+2	14
6	UJ Krakow W	7	−3	10
7	Legia W	8	−4	10
8	Rekord Bielsko-Biala W	8	−8	7
9	UKS Łódź W	7	−7	6
10	Lech Poznan W	7	−11	4
11	Sleza Wroclaw W	7	−10	4
12	Slask Wroclaw W	8	−10	3