Legia W v Górnik Łęczna W prediction · Ekstraliga Women

Full timeGraded 19 Oct 01:30

Legia W 1–1 Górnik Łęczna W GÓRNIK ŁĘCZNA W WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTOVER 3.5 · WRONG1–2 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Górnik Łęczna W win~~68%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~1.200

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Górnik Łęczna W are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Legia W 16%, draw 16%, Górnik Łęczna W 68%. Over 2.5 goals 77%, both teams to score 67%.

The AI’s read on Legia W v Górnik Łęczna WBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

Legia W win16%

Draw16%

Górnik Łęczna W win68%

Kick-offSUN 18 OCT · 11:15

RoundMatchday 8

VenueStadion Wojska Polskiego

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Legia W

Górnik Łęczna W

14Days since last match15

Last match: 4 Oct · Ekstraliga Women

Last match: 3 Oct · Ekstraliga Women

1Matches in previous 14 days0

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
2	Górnik Łęczna W	6	+12	15
7	Legia W	7	−4	9

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · górnik łęczna w winFirst published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

68% The market–

Us68%

We make Górnik Łęczna W a 68% chance to win. The model expects 1.3–2.8, and 1–2 is the single most likely score at 8%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Legia W v Górnik Łęczna W~~1.31 – 2.84

~~Form · last six in Ekstraliga Women this season · since 2 Aug~~W3 D0 L3 · W5 D0 L1

~~Table places · points 9 v 15~~7 v 2

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Legia W win	16%	–	–
Draw	16%	–	–
Górnik Łęczna W win	68%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	77%	–	–
Both teams to score	67%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	91%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	58%	–	–
Legia W or draw	32%	–	–
Legia W clean sheet	7%	–	–
Górnik Łęczna W clean sheet	28%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–2 at 8.1%

0123450 5.0 6.4 5.8 4.1 2.51 2.6 6.0 8.1 7.3 5.1 3.02 4.0 5.2 4.7 3.3 3 2.3 2.1 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Legia W down, Górnik Łęczna W across0–5 goals a side shown (91.6% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 427 Ekstraliga Women matches up to 17 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Ekstraliga Women matches have gone over 2.5 in 71.4% of games this season, across 42 played.

Head to head

No meeting between these two in any competition we cover since 2026/27.

Home and away form

Legia W at home: 2.75 scored, 2.25 conceded a game (last 4). Górnik Łęczna W away: 3.00 scored, 1.17 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.31 goals for Legia W, 2.84 for Górnik Łęczna W. Most likely score 1–2.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

No meetings since 2026/27

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2026/27.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Ekstraliga Women this season · since 2 Aug

LEGIA W

WWLWLL4–1 · 4–3 · 0–3 · 5–2 · 0–6 · 1–2

GÓRNIK ŁĘCZNA W

WWWWWL2–0 · 3–1 · 5–1 · 3–0 · 3–1 · 1–2

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	GKS Katowice W	6	+15	16
2	Górnik Łęczna W	6	+12	15
3	Pogon Szczecin W	8	+9	15
4	Czarni Sosnowiec W	6	+12	14
5	Akademia Piłkarska LG W	8	+2	14
6	UJ Krakow W	6	0	10
7	Legia W	7	−4	9
8	Rekord Bielsko-Biala W	8	−8	7
9	UKS Łódź W	7	−7	6
10	Lech Poznan W	7	−11	4
11	Sleza Wroclaw W	7	−10	4
12	Slask Wroclaw W	8	−10	3