Górnik Łęczna W v UKS Łódź W prediction · Ekstraliga Women

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Górnik Łęczna WDrawUKS Łódź W

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 12:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Górnik Łęczna W 54%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Górnik Łęczna W are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Górnik Łęczna W 54%, draw 24%, UKS Łódź W 22%. Over 2.5 goals 49%, both teams to score 50%.

The AI’s read on Górnik Łęczna W v UKS Łódź WBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 24 Oct 00:02 · locked at kick-off

Górnik Łęczna W win54%

Draw24%

UKS Łódź W win22%

Kick-offFRI 30 OCT · 12:00

RoundMatchday 9

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Górnik Łęczna W

UKS Łódź W

12Days since last match13

Last match: 18 Oct · Ekstraliga Women

Last match: 17 Oct · Ekstraliga Women

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
2	Górnik Łęczna W	7	+12	16
11	UKS Łódź W	7	−7	6

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · górnik łęczna w winFirst published 24 Oct 00:02 · locked at kick-off

54% The market–

Us54%

We make Górnik Łęczna W a 54% chance to win. The model expects 1.7–1.0, and 1–0 is the single most likely score at 12%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Górnik Łęczna W v UKS Łódź W~~1.68 – 0.98

~~Form · last six in Ekstraliga Women this season · since 8 Aug~~W4 D1 L1 · W1 D3 L2

~~Table places · points 16 v 6~~2 v 11

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Górnik Łęczna W win	54%	–	–
Draw	24%	–	–
UKS Łódź W win	22%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	49%	–	–
Both teams to score	50%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	74%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	28%	–	–
Górnik Łęczna W or draw	78%	–	–
Górnik Łęczna W clean sheet	38%	–	–
UKS Łódź W clean sheet	19%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 12.0%

0123450 7.0 7.1 3.4 1 12.0 11.2 5.6 2 9.8 9.5 4.7 3 5.5 5.3 2.6 4 2.3 2.3 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Górnik Łęczna W down, UKS Łódź W across0–5 goals a side shown (99.1% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 431 Ekstraliga Women matches up to 21 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Ekstraliga Women matches have gone over 2.5 in 69.6% of games this season, across 46 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 6 previous meetings since 2023/24 in every competition we cover, 2.17 goals a meeting; 2 of 6 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Górnik Łęczna W at home: 1.67 scored, 1.33 conceded a game (last 6). UKS Łódź W away: 1.33 scored, 2.00 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.68 goals for Górnik Łęczna W, 0.98 for UKS Łódź W. Most likely score 1–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

6 meetings since 2023/24

~~Goals a meeting~~2.17

~~Over 2.5~~2 of 6

~~Both scored~~2 of 6

~~Last meetings~~GOR 3–0 UKS · UKS 1–1 GOR · GOR 1–0 UKS · UKS 0–1 GOR

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Ekstraliga Women this season · since 8 Aug

GÓRNIK ŁĘCZNA W

WWWWLD3–1 · 5–1 · 3–0 · 3–1 · 1–2 · 1–1

UKS ŁÓDŹ W

DDLLWD1–1 · 0–0 · 1–2 · 0–2 · 2–1 · 1–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	GKS Katowice W	7	+18	19
2	Górnik Łęczna W	7	+12	16
3	Pogon Szczecin W	8	+9	15
4	Czarni Sosnowiec W	7	+10	14
5	Akademia Piłkarska LG W	8	+2	14
6	Legia W	8	−4	10
7	UJ Krakow W	8	−5	10
8	Sleza Wroclaw W	8	−8	7
9	Rekord Bielsko-Biala W	8	−8	7
10	Lech Poznan W	8	−9	7
11	UKS Łódź W	7	−7	6
12	Slask Wroclaw W	8	−10	3