GKS Katowice W v UJ Krakow W prediction · Ekstraliga Women

Full timeGraded 19 Oct 01:30

GKS Katowice W 3–0 UJ Krakow W GKS KATOWICE W WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT2–0 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said GKS Katowice W win~~75%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.095

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

GKS Katowice W are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: GKS Katowice W 75%, draw 14%, UJ Krakow W 11%. Over 2.5 goals 68%, both teams to score 53%.

The AI’s read on GKS Katowice W v UJ Krakow WBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

GKS Katowice W win75%

Draw14%

UJ Krakow W win11%

Kick-offSUN 18 OCT · 12:00

RoundMatchday 8

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

GKS Katowice W

UJ Krakow W

15Days since last match14

Last match: 3 Oct · Ekstraliga Women

Last match: 4 Oct · Ekstraliga Women

0Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · gks katowice w winFirst published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

75% The market–

Us75%

We make GKS Katowice W a 75% chance to win. The model expects 2.7–0.9, and 2–0 is the single most likely score at 10%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · GKS Katowice W v UJ Krakow W~~2.66 – 0.86

~~Form · Ekstraliga Women this season · since 1 Aug~~W5 D1 L0 · W3 D1 L2

~~Table places · points 16 v 10~~1 v 6

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
GKS Katowice W win	75%	–	–
Draw	14%	–	–
UJ Krakow W win	11%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	68%	–	–
Both teams to score	53%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	86%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	47%	–	–
GKS Katowice W or draw	89%	–	–
GKS Katowice W clean sheet	43%	–	–
UJ Krakow W clean sheet	7%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–0 at 10.4%

0123450 2.9 2.8 1 8.1 6.6 3.0 2 10.4 8.7 3.8 3 9.2 7.6 3.3 4 6.2 5.0 2.2 5 3.4 2.7

under 2% 5% 12%+GKS Katowice W down, UJ Krakow W across0–5 goals a side shown (94.1% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 427 Ekstraliga Women matches up to 17 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Ekstraliga Women matches have gone over 2.5 in 71.4% of games this season, across 42 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 4 previous meetings since 2023/24 in every competition we cover, 2.75 goals a meeting; 1 of 4 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

GKS Katowice W at home: 3.17 scored, 1.00 conceded a game (last 6). UJ Krakow W away: 0.83 scored, 0.83 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

2.66 goals for GKS Katowice W, 0.86 for UJ Krakow W. Most likely score 2–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

4 meetings since 2023/24

~~Goals a meeting~~2.75

~~Over 2.5~~1 of 4

~~Both scored~~2 of 4

~~Last meetings~~UJK 2–3 GKS · GKS 2–0 UJK · GKS 2–0 UJK · UJK 1–1 GKS

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Ekstraliga Women this season · since 1 Aug

GKS KATOWICE W

WWDWWW3–1 · 5–0 · 3–3 · 2–1 · 6–0 · 2–1

UJ KRAKOW W

WWLDLW2–1 · 2–1 · 1–4 · 1–1 · 0–2 · 4–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	GKS Katowice W	6	+15	16
2	Górnik Łęczna W	6	+12	15
3	Pogon Szczecin W	8	+9	15
4	Czarni Sosnowiec W	6	+12	14
5	Akademia Piłkarska LG W	8	+2	14
6	UJ Krakow W	6	0	10
7	Legia W	7	−4	9
8	Rekord Bielsko-Biala W	8	−8	7
9	UKS Łódź W	7	−7	6
10	Lech Poznan W	7	−11	4
11	Sleza Wroclaw W	7	−10	4
12	Slask Wroclaw W	8	−10	3